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Box Thirding: Anytime Best Arm Identification under Insufficient Sampling

arXiv 2602.18186 ↗First posted 20 Feb 2026stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce Box Thirding (B3), a flexible and efficient algorithm for Best Arm Identification (BAI) under fixed-budget constraints. It is designed for both anytime BAI and scenarios with large N, where the number of arms is too large for exhaustive evaluation within a limited budget T. The algorithm employs an iterative ternary comparison: in each iteration, three arms are compared--the best-performing arm is explored further, the median is deferred for future comparisons, and the weakest is discarded. Even without prior knowledge of T, B3 achieves an epsilon-best arm misidentification probability comparable to Successive Halving (SH), which requires T as a predefined parameter, applied to a randomly selected subset of c0 arms that fit within the budget. Empirical results show that B3 outperforms existing methods under limited-budget constraints in terms of simple regret, as demonstrated on the New Yorker Cartoon Caption Contest dataset.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 22 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2026.

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References · 9

  1. 2014On the Complexity of Best Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Modelscited by 280
  2. 2016Tight (Lower) Bounds for the Fixed Budget Best Arm Identification Bandit Problemcited by 79
  3. 2019The True Sample Complexity of Identifying Good Armscited by 37
  4. 2022Revisiting Simple Regret: Fast Rates for Returning a Good Armcited by 25
  5. 2017A framework for Multi-A(rmed)/B(andit) testing with online FDR controlcited by 17
  6. 2021Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Samplingcited by 15
  7. 2023Bandit Pareto Set Identification: the Fixed Budget Settingcited by 13
  8. 2013On Finding the Largest Mean Among Manycited by 9
  9. 2023An Anytime Algorithm for Good Arm Identificationcited by 6

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