Symmetric Composition of Anisotropic Operators for Global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Climate Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Accurate global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) climate forecasting is critical for disaster preparedness and resource management, yet it remains challenging due to chaotic atmospheric dynamics. Despite advances in geometry-aware representations, existing methods do not specify how the zonal and meridional interactions that govern real atmospheric dynamics should be explicitly coordinated and composed, leaving an important architectural gap for S2S forecasting. In this paper, we propose AnisoCast, which explicitly models anisotropic global atmospheric dynamics for accurate S2S climate forecasting. It couples: (1) an Anisotropic Embedding strategy that tokenizes the global grid into latitudinal rings, preserving the integrity of zonal periodic structures; and (2) stacked Aniso Blocks that arrange latent Zonal and Meridional Operators in a weight-shared palindromic composition inspired by symmetric operator splitting. Extensive experiments on the ERA5 reanalysis dataset demonstrate that AnisoCast establishes a new state-of-the-art, significantly outperforming existing methods in both forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 55 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Feb 2026.
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References · 20
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- 2025OneForecast: A Universal Framework for Global and Regional Weather Forecastingcited by 30
- 2022Adaptive Bias Correction for Improved Subseasonal Forecastingcited by 18
8 more
- 2025CirT: Global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Forecasting with Geometry-inspired Transformercited by 13
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- 2025OmniCast: A Masked Latent Diffusion Model for Weather Forecasting Across Time Scalescited by 11
- 2025Unraveling Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models via the Pipeline Lens: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 10
- 2022TSFool: Crafting Highly-Imperceptible Adversarial Time Series through Multi-Objective Attackcited by 9
- 2025Utilizing Strategic Pre-training to Reduce Overfitting: Baguan -- A Pre-trained Weather Forecasting Modelcited by 6
- 2025Mesh Interpolation Graph Network for Dynamic and Spatially Irregular Global Weather Forecastingcited by 3
- 2025Physics-Informed Teleconnection-Aware Transformer for Global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Forecastingcited by 2
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