mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

PDE foundation models are skillful AI weather emulators for the Martian atmosphere

arXiv 2602.15004 ↗First posted 16 Feb 2026cs.LG physics.ao-phcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

We show that AI foundation models that are pretrained on numerical solutions to a diverse corpus of partial differential equations can be adapted and fine-tuned to obtain skillful predictive weather emulators for the Martian atmosphere. We base our work on the Poseidon PDE foundation model for two-dimensional systems. We develop a method to extend Poseidon from two to three dimensions while keeping the pretraining information. Moreover, we investigate the performance of the model in the presence of sparse initial conditions. Our results make use of four Martian years (approx.~34 GB) of training data and a median compute budget of 13 GPU hours. We find that the combination of pretraining and model extension yields a performance increase of 34.4% on a held-out year. This shows that PDEs-FMs can not only approximate solutions to (other) PDEs but also anchor models for real-world problems with complex interactions that lack a sufficient amount of training data or a suitable compute budget.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 19 of its 26 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Feb 2026.

Builds on

19 of 26 references.

References · 19

  1. 2021On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Modelscited by 4,033
  2. 2022A ConvNet for the 2020scited by 3,579
  3. 2023Align your Latents: High-Resolution Video Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Modelscited by 1,476
  4. 2023AnimateDiff: Animate Your Personalized Text-to-Image Diffusion Models without Specific Tuningcited by 1,433
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  6. 2022FourCastNet: A Global Data-driven High-resolution Weather Model using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operatorscited by 776
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  10. 2024Poseidon: Efficient Foundation Models for PDEscited by 200
  11. 2022Forecasting Global Weather with Graph Neural Networkscited by 168
  12. 2024The Well: a Large-Scale Collection of Diverse Physics Simulations for Machine Learningcited by 145
7 more
  1. 2023Deep Learning for Day Forecasts from Sparse Observationscited by 72
  2. 2023AtmoRep: A stochastic model of atmosphere dynamics using large scale representation learningcited by 40
  3. 2025Walrus: A Cross-Domain Foundation Model for Continuum Dynamicscited by 36
  4. 2024Regional data-driven weather modeling with a global stretched-gridcited by 21
  5. 2025MORPH: PDE Foundation Models with Arbitrary Data Modalitycited by 14
  6. 2025High-Resolution Probabilistic Data-Driven Weather Modeling with a Stretched-Gridcited by 9
  7. 2025HRRRCast: a data-driven emulator for regional weather forecasting at convection allowing scalescited by 7

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Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.