TF-CoDiT: Conditional Time Series Synthesis with Diffusion Transformers for Treasury Futures
On the map: Diffusion models → Flow matching, time series and science
Abstract (arXiv)
Diffusion Transformers (DiT) have achieved milestones in synthesizing financial time-series data, such as stock prices and order flows. However, their performance in synthesizing treasury futures data is still underexplored. This work emphasizes the characteristics of treasury futures data, including its low volume, market dependencies, and the grouped correlations among multivariables. To overcome these challenges, we propose TF-CoDiT, the first DiT framework for language-controlled treasury futures synthesis. To facilitate low-data learning, TF-CoDiT adapts the standard DiT by transforming multi-channel 1-D time series into Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) coefficient matrices. A U-shape VAE is proposed to encode cross-channel dependencies hierarchically into a latent variable and bridge the latent and DWT spaces through decoding, thereby enabling latent diffusion generation. To derive prompts that cover essential conditions, we introduce the Financial Market Attribute Protocol (FinMAP) - a multi-level description system that standardizes daily/periodical market dynamics by recognizing 17/23 economic indicators from 7/8 perspectives. In our experiments, we gather four types of treasury futures data covering the period from 2015 to 2025, and define data synthesis tasks with durations ranging from one week to four months. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that TF-CoDiT can produce highly authentic data with errors at most 0.433 (MSE) and 0.453 (MAE) to the ground-truth. Further studies evidence the robustness of TF-CoDiT across contracts and temporal horizons.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 10 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Jan 2026.
Builds on
10 of 25 references.
Closest ancestors · 2
Same direction, newest first
- 2025T2S: High-resolution Time Series Generation with Text-to-Series Diffusion Models5 May
- 2024TimeDiT: General-purpose Diffusion Transformers for Time Series Foundation Model3 Sep
Other references · 8
- 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,141
- 2022DPM-Solver: A Fast ODE Solver for Diffusion Probabilistic Model Sampling in Around 10 Stepscited by 1,961
- 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,654
- 2019Quant GANs: Deep Generation of Financial Time Seriescited by 107
- 2024CALF: Aligning LLMs for Time Series Forecasting via Cross-modal Fine-Tuningcited by 105
- 2020Qlib: An AI-oriented Quantitative Investment Platformcited by 77
- 2025TimeHF: Billion-Scale Time Series Models Guided by Human Feedbackcited by 10
- 2025FinCast: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecastingcited by 9
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.
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Close in wording, no citation either way
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