mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

FinCast: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv 2508.19609 ↗First posted 27 Aug 2025cs.LG cs.AI q-fin.CPcited by 10

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Financial time-series forecasting is critical for maintaining economic stability, guiding informed policymaking, and promoting sustainable investment practices. However, it remains challenging due to various underlying pattern shifts. These shifts arise primarily from three sources: temporal non-stationarity (distribution changes over time), multi-domain diversity (distinct patterns across financial domains such as stocks, commodities, and futures), and varying temporal resolutions (patterns differing across per-second, hourly, daily, or weekly indicators). While recent deep learning methods attempt to address these complexities, they frequently suffer from overfitting and typically require extensive domain-specific fine-tuning. To overcome these limitations, we introduce FinCast, the first foundation model specifically designed for financial time-series forecasting, trained on large-scale financial datasets. Remarkably, FinCast exhibits robust zero-shot performance, effectively capturing diverse patterns without domain-specific fine-tuning. Comprehensive empirical and qualitative evaluations demonstrate that FinCast surpasses existing state-of-the-art methods, highlighting its strong generalization capabilities.

Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 21 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Aug 2025.

Builds on

21 of 45 references.

References · 21

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 60,361
  2. 2020An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scalecited by 30,186
  3. 2023LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Modelscited by 14,132
  4. 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,586
  5. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
  6. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  7. 2020GShard: Scaling Giant Models with Conditional Computation and Automatic Shardingcited by 1,631
  8. 2019Root Mean Square Layer Normalizationcited by 1,480
  9. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
  10. 2022ST-MoE: Designing Stable and Transferable Sparse Expert Modelscited by 399
  11. 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 287
  12. 2019Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019cited by 273
9 more
  1. 2020Graph Prototypical Networks for Few-shot Learning on Attributed Networkscited by 90
  2. 2023ClimateLearn: Benchmarking Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Modelingcited by 47
  3. 2021Generalized Huber Loss for Robust Learning and its Efficient Minimization for a Robust Statisticscited by 32
  4. 2024LSR-IGRU: Stock Trend Prediction Based on Long Short-Term Relationships and Improved GRUcited by 11
  5. 2022MetaTrader: An Reinforcement Learning Approach Integrating Diverse Policies for Portfolio Optimizationcited by 10
  6. 2023Diffusion Variational Autoencoder for Tackling Stochasticity in Multi-Step Regression Stock Price Predictioncited by 10
  7. 2020Efficient Sampling Algorithms for Approximate Temporal Motif Counting (Extended Version)cited by 6
  8. 2022Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Reviewcited by 4
  9. 2025Tokenizing Stock Prices for Enhanced Multi-Step Forecast and Predictioncited by 1

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 8.

10 papers.