FinCast: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Financial time-series forecasting is critical for maintaining economic stability, guiding informed policymaking, and promoting sustainable investment practices. However, it remains challenging due to various underlying pattern shifts. These shifts arise primarily from three sources: temporal non-stationarity (distribution changes over time), multi-domain diversity (distinct patterns across financial domains such as stocks, commodities, and futures), and varying temporal resolutions (patterns differing across per-second, hourly, daily, or weekly indicators). While recent deep learning methods attempt to address these complexities, they frequently suffer from overfitting and typically require extensive domain-specific fine-tuning. To overcome these limitations, we introduce FinCast, the first foundation model specifically designed for financial time-series forecasting, trained on large-scale financial datasets. Remarkably, FinCast exhibits robust zero-shot performance, effectively capturing diverse patterns without domain-specific fine-tuning. Comprehensive empirical and qualitative evaluations demonstrate that FinCast surpasses existing state-of-the-art methods, highlighting its strong generalization capabilities.
Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 21 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Aug 2025.
Builds on
21 of 45 references.
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9 more
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 8.
10 papers.
- 2026Timer-S1: A Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Model with Serial Scalingcited by 28
- 2026FinTexTS: Financial Text-Paired Time-Series Dataset via Semantic-Based and Multi-Level Pairingcited by 5
- 2026EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Seriescited by 3
- 2025Are Foundation Models Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction?cited by 2
- 2026TF-CoDiT: Conditional Time Series Synthesis with Diffusion Transformers for Treasury Futurescited by 1
- 2025Foundation Model Forecasts: Form and Functioncited by 0
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modelingcited by 0
- 2026EXAONE Demand 1.0: A Time Series Foundation Model for Demand Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformerscited by 0
- 2026DIVINE: Simple Cross-Market Stock Pretraining via Diverse Indicator Reconstructioncited by 0
- 2026DIVINE: Simple Cross-Market Stock Pretraining via Diverse Indicator Reconstruction2 Oct 2026
- 2026KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformers28 Sep 2026
- 2026EXAONE Demand 1.0: A Time Series Foundation Model for Demand Forecasting25 Sep 2026
- 2026EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series4 Aug 2026
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modeling15 Jul 2026
- 2026Timer-S1: A Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Model with Serial Scaling5 Mar 2026
- 2026FinTexTS: Financial Text-Paired Time-Series Dataset via Semantic-Based and Multi-Level Pairing3 Mar 2026
- 2026TF-CoDiT: Conditional Time Series Synthesis with Diffusion Transformers for Treasury Futures17 Jan 2026
- 2025Are Foundation Models Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction?20 Nov 2025
- 2025Foundation Model Forecasts: Form and Function22 Oct 2025