mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Learning Causal States Under Partial Observability and Perturbation

arXiv 2512.00357 ↗First posted 29 Nov 2025cs.LG stat.MLcited by 0

On the map: Diffusion models → Diffusion and flow policies for robotics

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Abstract (arXiv)

A critical challenge for reinforcement learning (RL) is making decisions based on incomplete and noisy observations, especially in perturbed and partially observable Markov decision processes (P2OMDPs). Existing methods fail to mitigate perturbations while addressing partial observability. We propose textitCausal State Representation under Asynchronous Diffusion Model (CaDiff), a framework that enhances any RL algorithm by uncovering the underlying causal structure of P2OMDPs. This is achieved by incorporating a novel asynchronous diffusion model (ADM) and a new bisimulation metric. ADM enables forward and reverse processes with different numbers of steps, thus interpreting the perturbation of P2OMDP as part of the noise suppressed through diffusion. The bisimulation metric quantifies the similarity between partially observable environments and their causal counterparts. Moreover, we establish the theoretical guarantee of CaDiff by deriving an upper bound for the value function approximation errors between perturbed observations and denoised causal states, reflecting a principled trade-off between approximation errors of reward and transition-model. Experiments on Roboschool tasks show that CaDiff enhances returns by at least 14.18% compared to baselines. CaDiff is the first framework that approximates causal states using diffusion models with both theoretical rigor and practicality.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Diffusion and flow policies for robotics, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 33 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Nov 2025.

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33 of 46 references.

Closest ancestors · 2

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2023Policy Representation via Diffusion Probability Model for Reinforcement Learning22 May
  2. 2022Is Conditional Generative Modeling all you need for Decision-Making?28 Nov

Other references · 31

  1. 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 21,076
  2. 2021Improved Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 3,761
  3. 2019Mastering Atari, Go, Chess and Shogi by Planning with a Learned Modelcited by 1,353
  4. 2022Planning with Diffusion for Flexible Behavior Synthesiscited by 1,061
  5. 2018Recurrent World Models Facilitate Policy Evolutioncited by 785
  6. 2017Time-Contrastive Networks: Self-Supervised Learning from Videocited by 459
  7. 2022Sampling is as easy as learning the score: theory for diffusion models with minimal data assumptionscited by 445
  8. 2020Learning Invariant Representations for Reinforcement Learning without Reconstructioncited by 436
  9. 2019A Theoretical Analysis of Deep Q-Learningcited by 215
  10. 2019Scalable methods for computing state similarity in deterministic Markov Decision Processescited by 133
  11. 2018State Representation Learning for Control: An Overviewcited by 127
  12. 2018Deep Variational Reinforcement Learning for POMDPscited by 125
19 more
  1. 2021Recurrent Model-Free RL Can Be a Strong Baseline for Many POMDPscited by 122
  2. 2022PlanT: Explainable Planning Transformers via Object-Level Representationscited by 105
  3. 2023Diffusion Models Without Attentioncited by 75
  4. 2019Nonparametric Regression on Low-Dimensional Manifolds using Deep ReLU Networks : Function Approximation and Statistical Recoverycited by 73
  5. 2024Unveil Conditional Diffusion Models with Classifier-free Guidance: A Sharp Statistical Theorycited by 63
  6. 2024Accelerating Diffusion Models with Parallel Sampling: Inference at Sub-Linear Time Complexitycited by 42
  7. 2022Bisimulation Makes Analogies in Goal-Conditioned Reinforcement Learningcited by 38
  8. 2021Action-Sufficient State Representation Learning for Control with Structural Constraintscited by 31
  9. 2019Learning Causal State Representations of Partially Observable Environmentscited by 30
  10. 2024Causal Diffusion Autoencoders: Toward Counterfactual Generation via Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 18
  11. 2023Lower Bounds for Learning in Revealing POMDPscited by 15
  12. 2023Invariant Causal Imitation Learning for Generalizable Policiescited by 15
  13. 2020On the rate of convergence of a deep recurrent neural network estimate in a regression problem with dependent datacited by 14
  14. 2018Ensemble Bayesian Decision Making with Redundant Deep Perceptual Control Policiescited by 13
  15. 2023CAR-DESPOT: Causally-Informed Online POMDP Planning for Robots in Confounded Environmentscited by 12
  16. 2023ODE-based Recurrent Model-free Reinforcement Learning for POMDPscited by 7
  17. 2013Active Classification for POMDPs: a Kalman-like State Estimatorcited by 4
  18. 2024Learning Interpretable Policies in Hindsight-Observable POMDPs through Partially Supervised Reinforcement Learningcited by 2
  19. 2024Dynamical-VAE-based Hindsight to Learn the Causal Dynamics of Factored-POMDPscited by 2

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