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Uncertainty of Network Topology with Applications to Out-of-Distribution Detection

arXiv 2511.18813 ↗First posted 24 Nov 2025stat.ML cs.LG stat.MEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Persistent homology (PH) is a crucial concept in computational topology, providing a multiscale topological description of a space. It is particularly significant in topological data analysis, which aims to make statistical inference from a topological perspective. In this work, we introduce a new topological summary for Bayesian neural networks, termed the predictive topological uncertainty (pTU). The proposed pTU measures the uncertainty in the interaction between the model and the inputs. It provides insights from the model perspective: if two samples interact with a model in a similar way, then they are considered identically distributed. We also show that the pTU is insensitive to the model architecture. As an application, pTU is used to solve the out-of-distribution (OOD) detection problem, which is critical to ensure model reliability. Failure to detect OOD input can lead to incorrect and unreliable predictions. To address this issue, we propose a significance test for OOD based on the pTU, providing a statistical framework for this issue. The effectiveness of the framework is validated through various experiments, in terms of its statistical power, sensitivity, and robustness.

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References · 14

  1. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,416
  2. 2017Fashion-MNIST: a Novel Image Dataset for Benchmarking Machine Learning Algorithmscited by 4,283
  3. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
  4. 2019Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methodscited by 903
  5. 2020A Review of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning: Techniques, Applications and Challengescited by 813
  6. 2021Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detection: A Surveycited by 796
  7. 2013Black Box Variational Inferencecited by 317
  8. 2016A Kernelized Stein Discrepancy for Goodness-of-fit Tests and Model Evaluationcited by 236
  9. 2015Persistence Images: A Stable Vector Representation of Persistent Homologycited by 235
  10. 2020Uncertainty Quantification and Deep Ensemblescited by 138
  11. 2020Topology of deep neural networkscited by 111
  12. 2018Neural Persistence: A Complexity Measure for Deep Neural Networks Using Algebraic Topologycited by 73
2 more
  1. 2021Topological Uncertainty: Monitoring trained neural networks through persistence of activation graphscited by 20
  2. 2019Variable Selection with Rigorous Uncertainty Quantification using Deep Bayesian Neural Networks: Posterior Concentration and Bernstein-von Mises Phenomenoncited by 4

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