Prediction-Powered Semi-Supervised Learning with Online Power Tuning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a recently proposed statistical inference technique for parameter estimation that leverages pseudo-labels on both labeled and unlabeled data to construct an unbiased, low-variance estimator. In this work, we extend its core idea to semi-supervised learning (SSL) for model training, introducing a novel unbiased gradient estimator. This extension addresses a key challenge in SSL: while unlabeled data can improve model performance, its benefit heavily depends on the quality of pseudo-labels. Inaccurate pseudo-labels can introduce bias, leading to suboptimal models.To balance the contributions of labeled and pseudo-labeled data, we utilize an interpolation parameter and tune it on the fly, alongside the model parameters, using a one-dimensional online learning algorithm. We verify the practical advantage of our approach through experiments on both synthetic and real datasets, demonstrating improved performance over classic SSL baselines and PPI methods that tune the interpolation parameter offline.
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 26 Oct 2025.
Builds on
29 of 41 references.
References · 29
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17 more
- 2023PPI++: Efficient Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 103
- 2021Graph-based Semi-supervised Learning: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 79
- 2023Cross-Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 57
- 2021DASO: Distribution-Aware Semantics-Oriented Pseudo-label for Imbalanced Semi-Supervised Learningcited by 51
- 2024Theoretical Analysis of Weak-to-Strong Generalizationcited by 46
- 2017Online to Offline Conversions, Universality and Adaptive Minibatch Sizescited by 39
- 2016Semi-supervised Inference: General Theory and Estimation of Meanscited by 38
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- 2023Knowledge Distillation Performs Partial Variance Reductioncited by 11
- 2024Semi-Supervised Learning via Cross-Prediction-Powered Inference for Wireless Systemscited by 10
- 2023SLaM: Student-Label Mixing for Distillation with Unlabeled Examplescited by 9
- 2022How Does Pseudo-Labeling Affect the Generalization Error of the Semi-Supervised Gibbs Algorithm?cited by 5
- 2024Dynamic Byzantine-Robust Learning: Adapting to Switching Byzantine Workerscited by 5
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 4.
5 papers.
- 2025Uncertainty Quantification and Data Efficiency in AI: An Information-Theoretic Perspectivecited by 2
- 2026Augmented Hypothesis Testing with Persona-Based LLM Simulationscited by 0
- 2026How Synthetic Labels Improve Conformal Prediction: A Perspective on Conditional Coveragecited by 0
- 2026ABC-Align: Prediction-Powered Alignment with Adaptive Bias Controlcited by 0
- 2026How to Run Statistics over LLM Judges and Trust the Results: Calibrated Inference for Small-Sample AI Evaluation with evalstatscited by 0
- 2026ABC-Align: Prediction-Powered Alignment with Adaptive Bias Control28 Sep 2026
- 2026How Synthetic Labels Improve Conformal Prediction: A Perspective on Conditional Coverage27 Sep 2026
- 2026Augmented Hypothesis Testing with Persona-Based LLM Simulations21 Sep 2026
- 2026How to Run Statistics over LLM Judges and Trust the Results: Calibrated Inference for Small-Sample AI Evaluation with evalstats20 Sep 2026
- 2025Uncertainty Quantification and Data Efficiency in AI: An Information-Theoretic Perspective4 Dec 2025