mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

KAIROS: Unified Training for Universal Non-Autoregressive Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2510.02084 ↗First posted 2 Oct 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In the World Wide Web, reliable time series forecasts provide the forward-looking signals that drive resource planning, cache placement, and anomaly response, enabling platforms to operate efficiently as user behavior and content distributions evolve. Compared with other domains, time series forecasting for Web applications requires much faster responsiveness to support real-time decision making. We present KAIROS, a non-autoregressive time series forecasting framework that directly models segment-level multi-peak distributions. Unlike autoregressive approaches, KAIROS avoids error accumulation and achieves just-in-time inference, while improving over existing non-autoregressive models that collapse to over-smoothed predictions. Trained on the large-scale corpus, KAIROS demonstrates strong zero-shot generalization on six widely used benchmarks, delivering forecasting performance comparable to state-of-the-art foundation models with similar scale, at a fraction of their inference cost. Beyond empirical results, KAIROS highlights the importance of non-autoregressive design as a scalable paradigm for foundation models in time series.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 30 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2025.

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References · 30

  1. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
  2. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  3. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
  4. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
  5. 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 632
  6. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
  7. 2015Sequence Level Training with Recurrent Neural Networkscited by 576
  8. 2023Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 500
  9. 2017Non-Autoregressive Neural Machine Translationcited by 463
  10. 2020WeatherBench: A benchmark dataset for data-driven weather forecastingcited by 275
  11. 2024TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methodscited by 249
  12. 2024GIFT-Eval: A Benchmark For General Time Series Forecasting Model Evaluationcited by 212
18 more
  1. 2021AdaRNN: Adaptive Learning and Forecasting of Time Seriescited by 121
  2. 2024TimeMixer++: A General Time Series Pattern Machine for Universal Predictive Analysiscited by 116
  3. 2024CALF: Aligning LLMs for Time Series Forecasting via Cross-modal Fine-Tuningcited by 108
  4. 2024TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignmentcited by 103
  5. 2024FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domaincited by 79
  6. 2024AutoTimes: Autoregressive Time Series Forecasters via Large Language Modelscited by 65
  7. 2025TimeFilter: Patch-Specific Spatial-Temporal Graph Filtration for Time Series Forecastingcited by 64
  8. 2023Multi-Modal Self-Supervised Learning for Recommendationcited by 45
  9. 2024xPatch: Dual-Stream Time Series Forecasting with Exponential Seasonal-Trend Decompositioncited by 36
  10. 2021REST: Relational Event-driven Stock Trend Forecastingcited by 30
  11. 2022EXIT: Extrapolation and Interpolation-based Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Time-series Classification and Forecastingcited by 22
  12. 2024Non-autoregressive Generative Models for Reranking Recommendationcited by 18
  13. 2025BLAST: Balanced Sampling Time Series Corpus for Universal Forecasting Modelscited by 16
  14. 2025TimeMosaic: Temporal Heterogeneity Guided Time Series Forecasting via Adaptive Granularity Patch and Segment-wise Decodingcited by 12
  15. 2024Dynamic Multi-Network Mining of Tensor Time Seriescited by 8
  16. 2025DualSG: A Dual-Stream Explicit Semantic-Guided Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Frameworkcited by 7
  17. 2022What is the best RNN-cell structure to forecast each time series behavior?cited by 5
  18. 2024Navigating Multidimensional Ideologies with Reddit's Political Compass: Economic Conflict and Social Affinitycited by 3

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