mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Calibrating the Full Predictive Class Distribution of 3D Object Detectors for Autonomous Driving

arXiv 2510.01829 ↗First posted 2 Oct 2025cs.CVcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In autonomous systems, precise object detection and uncertainty estimation are critical for self-aware and safe operation. This work addresses confidence calibration for the classification task of 3D object detectors. We argue that it is necessary to regard the calibration of the full predictive confidence distribution over all classes and deduce a metric which captures the calibration of dominant and secondary class predictions. We propose two auxiliary regularizing loss terms which introduce either calibration of the dominant prediction or the full prediction vector as a training goal. We evaluate a range of post-hoc and train-time methods for CenterPoint, PillarNet and DSVT-Pillar and find that combining our loss term, which regularizes for calibration of the full class prediction, and isotonic regression lead to the best calibration of CenterPoint and PillarNet with respect to both dominant and secondary class predictions. We further find that DSVT-Pillar can not be jointly calibrated for dominant and secondary predictions using the same method.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 28 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2025.

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28 of 41 references.

References · 28

  1. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,860
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  3. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
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  5. 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,335
  6. 2020Center-based 3D Object Detection and Trackingcited by 1,143
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  12. 2017Concrete Dropoutcited by 227
16 more
  1. 2020Mix-n-Match: Ensemble and Compositional Methods for Uncertainty Calibration in Deep Learningcited by 190
  2. 2023DSVT: Dynamic Sparse Voxel Transformer with Rotated Setscited by 122
  3. 2020A Review and Comparative Study on Probabilistic Object Detection in Autonomous Drivingcited by 115
  4. 2022PillarNet: Real-Time and High-Performance Pillar-based 3D Object Detectioncited by 99
  5. 2020Multivariate Confidence Calibration for Object Detectioncited by 98
  6. 2019Calibration tests in multi-class classification: A unifying frameworkcited by 79
  7. 2018Lightweight Probabilistic Deep Networkscited by 77
  8. 2019Sampling-free Epistemic Uncertainty Estimation Using Approximated Variance Propagationcited by 74
  9. 2022A Stitch in Time Saves Nine: A Train-Time Regularizing Loss for Improved Neural Network Calibrationcited by 49
  10. 2020Improved Trainable Calibration Method for Neural Networks on Medical Imaging Classificationcited by 37
  11. 2022AdaFocal: Calibration-aware Adaptive Focal Losscited by 32
  12. 2019Can We Trust You? On Calibration of a Probabilistic Object Detector for Autonomous Drivingcited by 30
  13. 2015Binary Classifier Calibration using an Ensemble of Near Isotonic Regression Modelscited by 21
  14. 2023Multiclass Confidence and Localization Calibration for Object Detectioncited by 16
  15. 2024On Calibration of Object Detectors: Pitfalls, Evaluation and Baselinescited by 11
  16. 2021Bayesian Confidence Calibration for Epistemic Uncertainty Modellingcited by 5

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