LUCIE-3D: A three-dimensional climate emulator for forced responses
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Abstract (arXiv)
We introduce LUCIE-3D, a lightweight three-dimensional climate emulator designed to capture the vertical structure of the atmosphere, respond to climate change forcings, and maintain computational efficiency with long-term stability. Building on the original LUCIE-2D framework, LUCIE-3D employs a Spherical Fourier Neural Operator (SFNO) backbone and is trained on 30 years of ERA5 reanalysis data spanning eight vertical σ-levels. The model incorporates atmospheric CO2 as a forcing variable and optionally integrates prescribed sea surface temperature (SST) to simulate coupled ocean--atmosphere dynamics. Results demonstrate that LUCIE-3D successfully reproduces climatological means, variability, and long-term climate change signals, including surface warming and stratospheric cooling under increasing CO2 concentrations. The model further captures key dynamical processes such as equatorial Kelvin waves, the Madden--Julian Oscillation, and annular modes, while showing credible behavior in the statistics of extreme events. Despite requiring longer training than its 2D predecessor, LUCIE-3D remains efficient, training in under five hours on four GPUs. Its combination of stability, physical consistency, and accessibility makes it a valuable tool for rapid experimentation, ablation studies, and the exploration of coupled climate dynamics, with potential applications extending to paleoclimate research and future Earth system emulation.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 37 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Sep 2025.
Builds on
11 of 37 references.
References · 11
- 2022FourCastNet: A Global Data-driven High-resolution Weather Model using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operatorscited by 776
- 2023FuXi: A cascade machine learning forecasting system for 15-day global weather forecastcited by 241
- 2023Neural General Circulation Models for Weather and Climatecited by 239
- 2023Spherical Fourier Neural Operators: Learning Stable Dynamics on the Spherecited by 233
- 2023ACE: A fast, skillful learned global atmospheric model for climate predictioncited by 56
- 2024ACE2: Accurately learning subseasonal to decadal atmospheric variability and forced responsescited by 54
- 2024LUCIE: A Lightweight Uncoupled ClImate Emulator with long-term stability and physical consistency for O(1000)-member ensemblescited by 30
- 2024Can AI weather models predict out-of-distribution gray swan tropical cyclones?cited by 26
- 2023Dynamical Tests of a Deep-Learning Weather Prediction Modelcited by 24
- 2024Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamics in a Machine Learning Earth System Modelcited by 21
- 2024FengWu-W2S: A deep learning model for seamless weather-to-subseasonal forecast of global atmospherecited by 8
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 2.
3 papers.