See Beyond a Single View: Multi-Attribution Learning Leads to Better Conversion Rate Prediction
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Conversion rate (CVR) prediction is a core component of online advertising systems, where the attribution mechanisms-rules for allocating conversion credit across user touchpoints-fundamentally determine label generation and model optimization. While many industrial platforms support diverse attribution mechanisms (e.g., First-Click, Last-Click, Linear, and Data-Driven Multi-Touch Attribution), conventional approaches restrict model training to labels from a single production-critical attribution mechanism, discarding complementary signals in alternative attribution perspectives. To address this limitation, we propose a novel Multi-Attribution Learning (MAL) framework for CVR prediction that integrates signals from multiple attribution perspectives to better capture the underlying patterns driving user conversions. Specifically, MAL is a joint learning framework consisting of two core components: the Attribution Knowledge Aggregator (AKA) and the Primary Target Predictor (PTP). AKA is implemented as a multi-task learner that integrates knowledge extracted from diverse attribution labels. PTP, in contrast, focuses on the task of generating well-calibrated conversion probabilities that align with the system-optimized attribution metric (e.g., CVR under the Last-Click attribution), ensuring direct compatibility with industrial deployment requirements. Additionally, we propose CAT, a novel training strategy that leverages the Cartesian product of all attribution label combinations to generate enriched supervision signals. This design substantially enhances the performance of the attribution knowledge aggregator. Empirical evaluations demonstrate the superiority of MAL over single-attribution learning baselines, achieving +0.51% GAUC improvement on offline metrics. Online experiments demonstrate that MAL achieved a +2.6% increase in ROI (Return on Investment).
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 32 of its 53 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Aug 2025.
Builds on
32 of 53 references.
References · 32
- 2017A Survey on Multi-Task Learningcited by 840
- 2017Deep Interest Network for Click-Through Rate Predictioncited by 544
- 2018Entire Space Multi-Task Model: An Effective Approach for Estimating Post-Click Conversion Ratecited by 173
- 2017Real-Time Bidding by Reinforcement Learning in Display Advertisingcited by 91
- 2021One Model to Serve All: Star Topology Adaptive Recommender for Multi-Domain CTR Predictioncited by 78
- 2018Real-Time Bidding with Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning in Display Advertisingcited by 65
- 2017Optimized Cost per Click in Taobao Display Advertisingcited by 57
- 2022ESCM2: Entire Space Counterfactual Multi-Task Model for Post-Click Conversion Rate Estimationcited by 47
- 2016Display Advertising with Real-Time Bidding (RTB) and Behavioural Targetingcited by 42
- 2019Bid Optimization by Multivariable Control in Display Advertisingcited by 37
- 2022Towards Understanding the Overfitting Phenomenon of Deep Click-Through Rate Prediction Modelscited by 33
- 2021Neural Auction: End-to-End Learning of Auction Mechanisms for E-Commerce Advertisingcited by 31
20 more
- 2022Sustainable Online Reinforcement Learning for Auto-biddingcited by 29
- 2024Enhancing Taobao Display Advertising with Multimodal Representations: Challenges, Approaches and Insightscited by 23
- 2022Joint Optimization of Ranking and Calibration with Contextualized Hybrid Modelcited by 22
- 2021Hierarchically Modeling Micro and Macro Behaviors via Multi-Task Learning for Conversion Rate Predictioncited by 21
- 2021Real Negatives Matter: Continuous Training with Real Negatives for Delayed Feedback Modelingcited by 20
- 2020Capturing Delayed Feedback in Conversion Rate Prediction via Elapsed-Time Samplingcited by 18
- 2024HoME: Hierarchy of Multi-Gate Experts for Multi-Task Learning at Kuaishoucited by 16
- 2022Asymptotically Unbiased Estimation for Delayed Feedback Modeling via Label Correctioncited by 15
- 2018Deep Neural Net with Attention for Multi-channel Multi-touch Attributioncited by 12
- 2020CAMTA: Causal Attention Model for Multi-touch Attributioncited by 12
- 2021CausalMTA: Eliminating the User Confounding Bias for Causal Multi-touch Attributioncited by 12
- 2022KEEP: An Industrial Pre-Training Framework for Online Recommendation via Knowledge Extraction and Pluggingcited by 11
- 2023AdaTT: Adaptive Task-to-Task Fusion Network for Multitask Learning in Recommendationscited by 10
- 2023Capturing Conversion Rate Fluctuation during Sales Promotions: A Novel Historical Data Reuse Approachcited by 8
- 2022Hierarchically Constrained Adaptive Ad Exposure in Feedscited by 6
- 2023Entire Space Cascade Delayed Feedback Modeling for Effective Conversion Rate Predictioncited by 5
- 2021On Designing a Two-stage Auction for Online Advertisingcited by 4
- 2024Contextual Generative Auction with Permutation-level Externalities for Online Advertisingcited by 4
- 2025On the Practice of Deep Hierarchical Ensemble Network for Ad Conversion Rate Predictioncited by 3
- 2025LiDDA: Data Driven Attribution at LinkedIncited by 3
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 5.
5 papers.
- 2026Modeling Cascaded Delay Feedback for Online Net Conversion Rate Prediction: Benchmark, Insights and Solutionscited by 2
- 2026Delayed Feedback Modeling for Post-Click Gross Merchandise Volume Prediction: Benchmark, Insights and Approachescited by 2
- 2026MAC: A Conversion Rate Prediction Benchmark Featuring Labels Under Multiple Attribution Mechanismscited by 1
- 2026Statistical Learning from Attribution Setscited by 0
- 2026Can Large Language Models Identify Meaningful Touchpoints in Conversion Attribution?cited by 0
- 2026Can Large Language Models Identify Meaningful Touchpoints in Conversion Attribution?18 Aug 2026
- 2026MAC: A Conversion Rate Prediction Benchmark Featuring Labels Under Multiple Attribution Mechanisms2 Mar 2026
- 2026Statistical Learning from Attribution Sets6 Feb 2026
- 2026Delayed Feedback Modeling for Post-Click Gross Merchandise Volume Prediction: Benchmark, Insights and Approaches28 Jan 2026
- 2026Modeling Cascaded Delay Feedback for Online Net Conversion Rate Prediction: Benchmark, Insights and Solutions27 Jan 2026