mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization

arXiv 2508.09191 ↗First posted 8 Aug 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 13

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Abstract (arXiv)

Time series forecasting plays a vital role in supporting decision-making across a wide range of critical applications, including energy, healthcare, and finance. Despite recent advances, forecasting accuracy remains limited due to the challenge of integrating historical numerical sequences with contextual features, which often comprise unstructured textual data. To address this challenge, we propose TokenCast, a large language model (LLM) driven framework that leverages language-based symbolic representations as a unified intermediary for context-aware time series forecasting. Specifically, TokenCast employs a discrete tokenizer to transform continuous numerical sequences into temporal tokens, enabling structural alignment with language-based inputs. To effectively bridge the semantic gap between modalities, both temporal and contextual tokens are embedded into a shared representation space via a pre-trained LLM, further optimized with generative objectives. Building upon this unified semantic space, the aligned LLM is subsequently fine-tuned in a supervised manner to predict future temporal tokens, which are then decoded back into the original numerical space. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework and highlight its potential as a generative framework for context-aware time series forecasting. The code is available at https://github.com/Xiaoyu-Tao/TokenCast.

Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 52 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Aug 2025.

Builds on

29 of 52 references.

References · 29

  1. 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,120
  2. 2023A Survey of Large Language Modelscited by 2,537
  3. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,654
  4. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,400
  5. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,200
  6. 2017DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networkscited by 1,004
  7. 2017Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networkscited by 869
  8. 2019Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecastingcited by 748
  9. 2023Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Modelscited by 680
  10. 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 615
  11. 2024TimeMixer: Decomposable Multiscale Mixing for Time Series Forecastingcited by 333
  12. 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 280
17 more
  1. 2024TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methodscited by 242
  2. 2023TEMPO: Prompt-based Generative Pre-trained Transformer for Time Series Forecastingcited by 170
  3. 2023TEST: Text Prototype Aligned Embedding to Activate LLM's Ability for Time Seriescited by 165
  4. 2023LLM4TS: Aligning Pre-Trained LLMs as Data-Efficient Time-Series Forecasterscited by 127
  5. 2023SimMTM: A Simple Pre-Training Framework for Masked Time-Series Modelingcited by 112
  6. 2024CALF: Aligning LLMs for Time Series Forecasting via Cross-modal Fine-Tuningcited by 105
  7. 2018Temporal Relational Ranking for Stock Predictioncited by 100
  8. 2019Deep Factors for Forecastingcited by 86
  9. 2024Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Informationcited by 78
  10. 2024LSTPrompt: Large Language Models as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters by Long-Short-Term Promptingcited by 56
  11. 2025Context-Alignment: Activating and Enhancing LLM Capabilities in Time Seriescited by 34
  12. 2024ConvTimeNet: A Deep Hierarchical Fully Convolutional Model for Multivariate Time Series Analysiscited by 26
  13. 2025Multi-modal Time Series Analysis: A Tutorial and Surveycited by 24
  14. 2025TimeDP: Learning to Generate Multi-Domain Time Series with Domain Promptscited by 21
  15. 2024TimeDART: A Diffusion Autoregressive Transformer for Self-Supervised Time Series Representationcited by 14
  16. 2024Cross-Domain Pre-training with Language Models for Transferable Time Series Representationscited by 12
  17. 2024Advancing Time Series Classification with Multimodal Language Modelingcited by 10

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Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 12.

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