Kronos: A Foundation Model for the Language of Financial Markets
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Abstract (arXiv)
The success of large-scale pre-training paradigm, exemplified by Large Language Models (LLMs), has inspired the development of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs). However, their application to financial candlestick (K-line) data remains limited, often underperforming non-pre-trained architectures. Moreover, existing TSFMs often overlook crucial downstream tasks such as volatility prediction and synthetic data generation. To address these limitations, we propose Kronos, a unified, scalable pre-training framework tailored to financial K-line modeling. Kronos introduces a specialized tokenizer that discretizes continuous market information into token sequences, preserving both price dynamics and trade activity patterns. We pre-train Kronos using an autoregressive objective on a massive, multi-market corpus of over 12 billion K-line records from 45 global exchanges, enabling it to learn nuanced temporal and cross-asset representations. Kronos excels in a zero-shot setting across a diverse set of financial tasks. On benchmark datasets, Kronos boosts price series forecasting RankIC by 93% over the leading TSFM and 87% over the best non-pre-trained baseline. It also achieves a 9% lower MAE in volatility forecasting and a 22% improvement in generative fidelity for synthetic K-line sequences. These results establish Kronos as a robust, versatile foundation model for end-to-end financial time series analysis. Our pre-trained model is publicly available at https://github.com/shiyu-coder/Kronos.
Key facts. Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 26 of its 52 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Aug 2025.
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26 of 52 references.
References · 26
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- 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 712
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- 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 588
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- 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 280
- 2024TimeXer: Empowering Transformers for Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variablescited by 241
- 2024Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmarkcited by 191
- 2024Diffusion-TS: Interpretable Diffusion for General Time Series Generationcited by 179
- 2025Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 168
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 22.
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- 2026Evaluating LLMs in Finance Requires Explicit Bias Considerationcited by 11
- 2026Unlocking Data Value in Finance: A Study on Distillation and Difficulty-Aware Trainingcited by 3
- 2026Bridging the Last Mile of Time Series Forecasting with LLM Agentscited by 3
- 2025Are Foundation Models Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction?cited by 2
- 2026MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Marketscited by 2
- 2025WindFM: An Open-Source Foundation Model for Zero-Shot Wind Power Forecastingcited by 1
- 2026Hindsight Preference Optimization for Financial Time Series Advisorycited by 1
- 2026Reasoning through Verifiable Forecast Actions: Consistency-Grounded RL for Financial LLMscited by 1
- 2026Detect by Yourself: Self-Designing Agentic Workflows for Few-Shot Graph Anomaly Detectioncited by 1
- 2025H3M-SSMoEs: Hypergraph-based Multimodal Learning with LLM Reasoning and Style-Structured Mixture of Expertscited by 0
- 2026GS-FUSE: Granger-Supervised Gated Fusion and Multi-Granularity Alignment for Event-Driven Financial Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026Unicorn: Scaling High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting via Universal Correlation Modelingcited by 0
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- 2026RAVEN: A Regime-Aware Variable-context Expert Network for Financial Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modelingcited by 0
- 2026Can Large Language Models Execute Parent Orders?cited by 0
- 2026Financial Numerical Prediction and Allocation as Token Generationcited by 0
- 2026M3: A State-Event Generative Foundation Model for Market Microstructure Dynamicscited by 0
- 2026LiveOption: Evaluating LLM Agents in Structured Option Trading with Nonlinear Payoffscited by 0
- 2026KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformerscited by 0
- 2026HALO: Enhancing Time Series Generation via Hyperspherical Latents and Masked AutoregRessive Modelingcited by 0
- 2026Can Language Models Learn to Forecast Stock Pricescited by 0
- 2026Volatility-Clustering Adaptation for Financial Time Seriescited by 0
- 2026Volatility-Clustering Adaptation for Financial Time Series29 Sep 2026
- 2026Can Language Models Learn to Forecast Stock Prices29 Sep 2026
- 2026HALO: Enhancing Time Series Generation via Hyperspherical Latents and Masked AutoregRessive Modeling28 Sep 2026
- 2026KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformers28 Sep 2026
- 2026LiveOption: Evaluating LLM Agents in Structured Option Trading with Nonlinear Payoffs27 Sep 2026
- 2026Financial Numerical Prediction and Allocation as Token Generation10 Aug 2026
- 2026Can Large Language Models Execute Parent Orders?30 Jul 2026
- 2026M3: A State-Event Generative Foundation Model for Market Microstructure Dynamics29 Jul 2026
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modeling15 Jul 2026
- 2026RAVEN: A Regime-Aware Variable-context Expert Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting23 Jun 2026
- 2026FMplex: Model Virtualization for Serving Extensible Foundation Models8 Jun 2026
- 2026Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting7 Jun 2026
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- 2026Bridging the Last Mile of Time Series Forecasting with LLM Agents1 Jun 2026
- 2026Time Series as Language: A Universal Tokenizer for General-Purpose Time Series Foundation Models31 May 2026
- 2026GS-FUSE: Granger-Supervised Gated Fusion and Multi-Granularity Alignment for Event-Driven Financial Forecasting27 May 2026
- 2026Unicorn: Scaling High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting via Universal Correlation Modeling26 May 2026
- 2026Detect by Yourself: Self-Designing Agentic Workflows for Few-Shot Graph Anomaly Detection26 May 2026
- 2026Reasoning through Verifiable Forecast Actions: Consistency-Grounded RL for Financial LLMs21 May 2026
- 2026Hindsight Preference Optimization for Financial Time Series Advisory27 Apr 2026
- 2026Unlocking Data Value in Finance: A Study on Distillation and Difficulty-Aware Training7 Mar 2026
- 2026Evaluating LLMs in Finance Requires Explicit Bias Consideration15 Feb 2026
- 2026MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets12 Feb 2026
- 2025Are Foundation Models Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction?20 Nov 2025
- 2025H3M-SSMoEs: Hypergraph-based Multimodal Learning with LLM Reasoning and Style-Structured Mixture of Experts29 Oct 2025
- 2025WindFM: An Open-Source Foundation Model for Zero-Shot Wind Power Forecasting8 Sep 2025
- 2026Evaluating LLMs in Finance Requires Explicit Bias Considerationcited by 11
- 2026Unlocking Data Value in Finance: A Study on Distillation and Difficulty-Aware Trainingcited by 3
- 2025Are Foundation Models Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction?cited by 2
- 2026MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Marketscited by 2
- 2025WindFM: An Open-Source Foundation Model for Zero-Shot Wind Power Forecastingcited by 1
- 2026GS-FUSE: Granger-Supervised Gated Fusion and Multi-Granularity Alignment for Event-Driven Financial Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026Unicorn: Scaling High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting via Universal Correlation Modelingcited by 0
- 2026Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026FMplex: Model Virtualization for Serving Extensible Foundation Modelscited by 0
- 2026Time Series as Language: A Universal Tokenizer for General-Purpose Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 0
- 2026RAVEN: A Regime-Aware Variable-context Expert Network for Financial Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modelingcited by 0
12 most cited of 17 All 17 (JSON)
- 2026Volatility-Clustering Adaptation for Financial Time Series29 Sep 2026
- 2026HALO: Enhancing Time Series Generation via Hyperspherical Latents and Masked AutoregRessive Modeling28 Sep 2026
- 2026Financial Numerical Prediction and Allocation as Token Generation10 Aug 2026
- 2026Can Large Language Models Execute Parent Orders?30 Jul 2026
- 2026M3: A State-Event Generative Foundation Model for Market Microstructure Dynamics29 Jul 2026
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modeling15 Jul 2026
- 2026RAVEN: A Regime-Aware Variable-context Expert Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting23 Jun 2026
- 2026FMplex: Model Virtualization for Serving Extensible Foundation Models8 Jun 2026
- 2026Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting7 Jun 2026
- 2026Time Series as Language: A Universal Tokenizer for General-Purpose Time Series Foundation Models31 May 2026
- 2026GS-FUSE: Granger-Supervised Gated Fusion and Multi-Granularity Alignment for Event-Driven Financial Forecasting27 May 2026
- 2026Unicorn: Scaling High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting via Universal Correlation Modeling26 May 2026
12 newest of 17 All 17 (JSON)