mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Kronos: A Foundation Model for the Language of Financial Markets

arXiv 2508.02739 ↗First posted 2 Aug 2025q-fin.ST cs.AI cs.LGcited by 25

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Abstract (arXiv)

The success of large-scale pre-training paradigm, exemplified by Large Language Models (LLMs), has inspired the development of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs). However, their application to financial candlestick (K-line) data remains limited, often underperforming non-pre-trained architectures. Moreover, existing TSFMs often overlook crucial downstream tasks such as volatility prediction and synthetic data generation. To address these limitations, we propose Kronos, a unified, scalable pre-training framework tailored to financial K-line modeling. Kronos introduces a specialized tokenizer that discretizes continuous market information into token sequences, preserving both price dynamics and trade activity patterns. We pre-train Kronos using an autoregressive objective on a massive, multi-market corpus of over 12 billion K-line records from 45 global exchanges, enabling it to learn nuanced temporal and cross-asset representations. Kronos excels in a zero-shot setting across a diverse set of financial tasks. On benchmark datasets, Kronos boosts price series forecasting RankIC by 93% over the leading TSFM and 87% over the best non-pre-trained baseline. It also achieves a 9% lower MAE in volatility forecasting and a 22% improvement in generative fidelity for synthetic K-line sequences. These results establish Kronos as a robust, versatile foundation model for end-to-end financial time series analysis. Our pre-trained model is publicly available at https://github.com/shiyu-coder/Kronos.

Key facts. Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 26 of its 52 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Aug 2025.

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26 of 52 references.

References · 26

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  2. 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,199
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  10. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 712
  11. 2023Language Model Beats Diffusion -- Tokenizer is Key to Visual Generationcited by 633
  12. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 588
14 more
  1. 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 280
  2. 2024TimeXer: Empowering Transformers for Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variablescited by 241
  3. 2024Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmarkcited by 191
  4. 2024Diffusion-TS: Interpretable Diffusion for General Time Series Generationcited by 179
  5. 2025Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 168
  6. 2021TimeVAE: A Variational Auto-Encoder for Multivariate Time Series Generationcited by 139
  7. 2024Image and Video Tokenization with Binary Spherical Quantizationcited by 110
  8. 2020Qlib: An AI-oriented Quantitative Investment Platformcited by 77
  9. 2024Addressing Representation Collapse in Vector Quantized Models with One Linear Layercited by 77
  10. 2024Towards Neural Scaling Laws for Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 30
  11. 2025Bridging Continuous and Discrete Tokens for Autoregressive Visual Generationcited by 29
  12. 2024MarS: a Financial Market Simulation Engine Powered by Generative Foundation Modelcited by 27
  13. 2020The Effectiveness of Discretization in Forecasting: An Empirical Study on Neural Time Series Modelscited by 18
  14. 2024LENS: Large Pre-trained Transformer for Exploring Financial Time Series Regularitiescited by 3

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Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 22.

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  1. 2026Evaluating LLMs in Finance Requires Explicit Bias Considerationcited by 11
  2. 2026Unlocking Data Value in Finance: A Study on Distillation and Difficulty-Aware Trainingcited by 3
  3. 2026Bridging the Last Mile of Time Series Forecasting with LLM Agentscited by 3
  4. 2025Are Foundation Models Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction?cited by 2
  5. 2026MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Marketscited by 2
  6. 2025WindFM: An Open-Source Foundation Model for Zero-Shot Wind Power Forecastingcited by 1
  7. 2026Hindsight Preference Optimization for Financial Time Series Advisorycited by 1
  8. 2026Reasoning through Verifiable Forecast Actions: Consistency-Grounded RL for Financial LLMscited by 1
  9. 2026Detect by Yourself: Self-Designing Agentic Workflows for Few-Shot Graph Anomaly Detectioncited by 1
  10. 2025H3M-SSMoEs: Hypergraph-based Multimodal Learning with LLM Reasoning and Style-Structured Mixture of Expertscited by 0
  11. 2026GS-FUSE: Granger-Supervised Gated Fusion and Multi-Granularity Alignment for Event-Driven Financial Forecastingcited by 0
  12. 2026Unicorn: Scaling High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting via Universal Correlation Modelingcited by 0
13 more
  1. 2026Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecastingcited by 0
  2. 2026FMplex: Model Virtualization for Serving Extensible Foundation Modelscited by 0
  3. 2026Time Series as Language: A Universal Tokenizer for General-Purpose Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 0
  4. 2026RAVEN: A Regime-Aware Variable-context Expert Network for Financial Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
  5. 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modelingcited by 0
  6. 2026Can Large Language Models Execute Parent Orders?cited by 0
  7. 2026Financial Numerical Prediction and Allocation as Token Generationcited by 0
  8. 2026M3: A State-Event Generative Foundation Model for Market Microstructure Dynamicscited by 0
  9. 2026LiveOption: Evaluating LLM Agents in Structured Option Trading with Nonlinear Payoffscited by 0
  10. 2026KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformerscited by 0
  11. 2026HALO: Enhancing Time Series Generation via Hyperspherical Latents and Masked AutoregRessive Modelingcited by 0
  12. 2026Can Language Models Learn to Forecast Stock Pricescited by 0
  13. 2026Volatility-Clustering Adaptation for Financial Time Seriescited by 0