mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Robust Explanations Through Uncertainty Decomposition: A Path to Trustworthier AI

arXiv 2507.12913 ↗First posted 17 Jul 2025cs.LGcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

Recent advancements in machine learning have emphasized the need for transparency in model predictions, particularly as interpretability diminishes when using increasingly complex architectures. In this paper, we propose leveraging prediction uncertainty as a complementary approach to classical explainability methods. Specifically, we distinguish between aleatoric (data-related) and epistemic (model-related) uncertainty to guide the selection of appropriate explanations. Epistemic uncertainty serves as a rejection criterion for unreliable explanations and, in itself, provides insight into insufficient training (a new form of explanation). Aleatoric uncertainty informs the choice between feature-importance explanations and counterfactual explanations. This leverages a framework of explainability methods driven by uncertainty quantification and disentanglement. Our experiments demonstrate the impact of this uncertainty-aware approach on the robustness and attainability of explanations in both traditional machine learning and deep learning scenarios.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 38 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Jul 2025.

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38 of 62 references.

References · 38

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26 more
  1. 2018On the Robustness of Interpretability Methodscited by 310
  2. 2018Explanations based on the Missing: Towards Contrastive Explanations with Pertinent Negativescited by 261
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  18. 2021Trading Complexity for Sparsity in Random Forest Explanationscited by 32
  19. 2024Robust Counterfactual Explanations in Machine Learning: A Surveycited by 29
  20. 2022SAFARI: Versatile and Efficient Evaluations for Robustness of Interpretabilitycited by 28
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  26. 2024REPEAT: Improving Uncertainty Estimation in Representation Learning Explainabilitycited by 1

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