Prompt Perturbations Reveal Human-Like Biases in Large Language Model Survey Responses
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used as proxies for human subjects in social science surveys, but their reliability and susceptibility to known human-like response biases, such as central tendency, opinion floating and primacy bias are poorly understood. This work investigates the response robustness of LLMs in normative survey contexts, we test nine LLMs on questions from the World Values Survey (WVS), applying a comprehensive set of ten perturbations to both question phrasing and answer option structure, resulting in over 167,000 simulated survey interviews. In doing so, we not only reveal LLMs' vulnerabilities to perturbations but also show that all tested models exhibit a consistent recency bias, disproportionately favoring the last-presented answer option. While larger models are generally more robust, all models remain sensitive to semantic variations like paraphrasing and to combined perturbations. This underscores the critical importance of prompt design and robustness testing when using LLMs to generate synthetic survey data.
Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 14 of its 49 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 9 Jul 2025.
Builds on
14 of 49 references.
References · 14
- 2024The Llama 3 Herd of Modelscited by 14,715
- 2024Gemini 1.5: Unlocking multimodal understanding across millions of tokens of contextcited by 3,224
- 2024Phi-3 Technical Report: A Highly Capable Language Model Locally on Your Phonecited by 1,917
- 2022Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samplescited by 752
- 2023Do LLMs exhibit human-like response biases? A case study in survey designcited by 180
- 2023Large Language Models Understand and Can be Enhanced by Emotional Stimulicited by 146
- 2021Evaluating the Robustness of Neural Language Models to Input Perturbationscited by 87
- 2024"My Answer is C": First-Token Probabilities Do Not Match Text Answers in Instruction-Tuned Language Modelscited by 69
- 2024Prompt Perturbation Consistency Learning for Robust Language Modelscited by 26
- 2023Challenging the Validity of Personality Tests for Large Language Modelscited by 25
- 2021Dealing with Typos for BERT-based Passage Retrieval and Rankingcited by 23
- 2023Revisit Input Perturbation Problems for LLMs: A Unified Robustness Evaluation Framework for Noisy Slot Filling Taskcited by 23
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 12.
13 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2025German General Social Survey Personas: A Survey-Derived Persona Prompt Collection for Population-Aligned LLM Studiescited by 5
- 2026Beyond the Mean: Three-Axis Fidelity for Aligning LLM-Based Survey Simulators from Small Pilot Datacited by 3
- 2026Generalization to Political Beliefs from Fine-Tuning on Sports Team Preferencescited by 1
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgmentcited by 1
- 2026Prompt Robustness Is Task-Dependent: Comparing Objective and Belief-Style Questions in LLM Evaluationcited by 1
- 2026Auditing Question-Order Effects in Large Language Models with the QQ Equality: Mechanism Characterization and a Saturation Caveatcited by 1
- 2026Effects of Answer Format Variation on Gender Bias in Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2026The Unsampled Truth: Quantifying Prompt Artifacts in LM Psychometricscited by 0
- 2026AuAu: A Benchmark for Auditing Authoritarian Alignment in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Understanding the Impact of Linguistic Realization Choices on LLM Stance with Causal Tracingcited by 0
- 2026Navigating the digital spectrum: Assessing political bias, stability, and downstream fairness in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026GYROval: A Robust Benchmark for Cultural Value Orientation in Large Language Modelscited by 0
1 more
- 2026Multi-agent discussion gains less when dissent is withheld29 Sep 2026
- 2026GYROval: A Robust Benchmark for Cultural Value Orientation in Large Language Models16 Sep 2026
- 2026Navigating the digital spectrum: Assessing political bias, stability, and downstream fairness in Large Language Models8 Sep 2026
- 2026Effects of Answer Format Variation on Gender Bias in Large Language Models18 Aug 2026
- 2026Understanding the Impact of Linguistic Realization Choices on LLM Stance with Causal Tracing22 Jul 2026
- 2026Auditing Question-Order Effects in Large Language Models with the QQ Equality: Mechanism Characterization and a Saturation Caveat19 Jul 2026
- 2026Prompt Robustness Is Task-Dependent: Comparing Objective and Belief-Style Questions in LLM Evaluation6 Jul 2026
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgment6 Jul 2026
- 2026Beyond the Mean: Three-Axis Fidelity for Aligning LLM-Based Survey Simulators from Small Pilot Data27 Jun 2026
- 2026AuAu: A Benchmark for Auditing Authoritarian Alignment in Large Language Models15 Jun 2026
- 2026The Unsampled Truth: Quantifying Prompt Artifacts in LM Psychometrics2 Jun 2026
- 2026Generalization to Political Beliefs from Fine-Tuning on Sports Team Preferences7 Jan 2026
- 2026Multi-agent discussion gains less when dissent is withheld29 Sep 2026
- 2025German General Social Survey Personas: A Survey-Derived Persona Prompt Collection for Population-Aligned LLM Studiescited by 5
- 2026Beyond the Mean: Three-Axis Fidelity for Aligning LLM-Based Survey Simulators from Small Pilot Datacited by 3
- 2026Generalization to Political Beliefs from Fine-Tuning on Sports Team Preferencescited by 1
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgmentcited by 1
- 2026Prompt Robustness Is Task-Dependent: Comparing Objective and Belief-Style Questions in LLM Evaluationcited by 1
- 2026Auditing Question-Order Effects in Large Language Models with the QQ Equality: Mechanism Characterization and a Saturation Caveatcited by 1
- 2026Effects of Answer Format Variation on Gender Bias in Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2026The Unsampled Truth: Quantifying Prompt Artifacts in LM Psychometricscited by 0
- 2026AuAu: A Benchmark for Auditing Authoritarian Alignment in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Understanding the Impact of Linguistic Realization Choices on LLM Stance with Causal Tracingcited by 0
- 2026Navigating the digital spectrum: Assessing political bias, stability, and downstream fairness in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026GYROval: A Robust Benchmark for Cultural Value Orientation in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026GYROval: A Robust Benchmark for Cultural Value Orientation in Large Language Models16 Sep 2026
- 2026Navigating the digital spectrum: Assessing political bias, stability, and downstream fairness in Large Language Models8 Sep 2026
- 2026Effects of Answer Format Variation on Gender Bias in Large Language Models18 Aug 2026
- 2026Understanding the Impact of Linguistic Realization Choices on LLM Stance with Causal Tracing22 Jul 2026
- 2026Auditing Question-Order Effects in Large Language Models with the QQ Equality: Mechanism Characterization and a Saturation Caveat19 Jul 2026
- 2026Prompt Robustness Is Task-Dependent: Comparing Objective and Belief-Style Questions in LLM Evaluation6 Jul 2026
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgment6 Jul 2026
- 2026Beyond the Mean: Three-Axis Fidelity for Aligning LLM-Based Survey Simulators from Small Pilot Data27 Jun 2026
- 2026AuAu: A Benchmark for Auditing Authoritarian Alignment in Large Language Models15 Jun 2026
- 2026The Unsampled Truth: Quantifying Prompt Artifacts in LM Psychometrics2 Jun 2026
- 2026Generalization to Political Beliefs from Fine-Tuning on Sports Team Preferences7 Jan 2026
- 2025German General Social Survey Personas: A Survey-Derived Persona Prompt Collection for Population-Aligned LLM Studies19 Nov 2025