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Interpretable Event Diagnosis in Water Distribution Networks

arXiv 2505.07299 ↗First posted 12 May 2025cs.AI cs.LG cs.SYcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

The increasing penetration of information and communication technologies in the design, monitoring, and control of water systems enables the use of algorithms for detecting and identifying unanticipated events (such as leakages or water contamination) using sensor measurements. However, data-driven methodologies do not always give accurate results and are often not trusted by operators, who may prefer to use their engineering judgment and experience to deal with such events. In this work, we propose a framework for interpretable event diagnosis -- an approach that assists the operators in associating the results of algorithmic event diagnosis methodologies with their own intuition and experience. This is achieved by providing contrasting (i.e., counterfactual) explanations of the results provided by fault diagnosis algorithms; their aim is to improve the understanding of the algorithm's inner workings by the operators, thus enabling them to take a more informed decision by combining the results with their personal experiences. Specifically, we propose counterfactual event fingerprints, a representation of the difference between the current event diagnosis and the closest alternative explanation, which can be presented in a graphical way. The proposed methodology is applied and evaluated on a realistic use case using the L-Town benchmark.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 52 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 May 2025.

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References · 13

  1. 2016"Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifiercited by 5,040
  2. 2017Explanation in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Social Sciencescited by 1,201
  3. 2017Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPRcited by 1,086
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  5. 2019Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanationscited by 612
  6. 2019FACE: Feasible and Actionable Counterfactual Explanationscited by 232
  7. 2019Interpretable Counterfactual Explanations Guided by Prototypescited by 223
  8. 2019Efficient Search for Diverse Coherent Explanationscited by 111
  9. 2021Beyond Trivial Counterfactual Explanations with Diverse Valuable Explanationscited by 56
  10. 2020Convex Density Constraints for Computing Plausible Counterfactual Explanationscited by 32
  11. 2024Physics-Informed Graph Neural Networks for Water Distribution Systemscited by 9
  12. 2022One Explanation to Rule them All -- Ensemble Consistent Explanationscited by 7
1 more
  1. 2021Convex optimization for actionable & plausible counterfactual explanationscited by 6

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