Safety by Measurement: A Systematic Literature Review of AI Safety Evaluation Methods
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Abstract (arXiv)
As frontier AI systems advance toward transformative capabilities, we need a parallel transformation in how we measure and evaluate these systems to ensure safety and inform governance. While benchmarks have been the primary method for estimating model capabilities, they often fail to establish true upper bounds or predict deployment behavior. This literature review consolidates the rapidly evolving field of AI safety evaluations, proposing a systematic taxonomy around three dimensions: what properties we measure, how we measure them, and how these measurements integrate into frameworks. We show how evaluations go beyond benchmarks by measuring what models can do when pushed to the limit (capabilities), the behavioral tendencies exhibited by default (propensities), and whether our safety measures remain effective even when faced with subversive adversarial AI (control). These properties are measured through behavioral techniques like scaffolding, red teaming and supervised fine-tuning, alongside internal techniques such as representation analysis and mechanistic interpretability. We provide deeper explanations of some safety-critical capabilities like cybersecurity exploitation, deception, autonomous replication, and situational awareness, alongside concerning propensities like power-seeking and scheming. The review explores how these evaluation methods integrate into governance frameworks to translate results into concrete development decisions. We also highlight challenges to safety evaluations - proving absence of capabilities, potential model sandbagging, and incentives for "safetywashing" - while identifying promising research directions. By synthesizing scattered resources, this literature review aims to provide a central reference point for understanding AI safety evaluations.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 8 May 2025.
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 10; 2026: 5.
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- 2025Quantifying CBRN Risk in Frontier Modelscited by 6
- 2026Capabilities Ain't All You Need: Measuring Propensities in AIcited by 6
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Actioncited by 5
- 2026Measuring What AI Systems Might Do: Towards A Measurement Science in AIcited by 3
- 2026Evaluating Human-AI Safety: A Framework for Measuring Harmful Capability Upliftcited by 3
- 2025Against racing to AGI: Cooperation, deterrence, and catastrophic riskscited by 2
- 2025The 2025 OpenAI Preparedness Framework does not guarantee any AI risk mitigation practices: a proof-of-concept for affordance analyses of AI safety policiescited by 2
- 2025Safe for Whom? Rethinking How We Evaluate the Safety of LLMs for Real Userscited by 2
- 2025A Review of Developmental Interpretability in Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2025CASE: An Agentic AI Framework for Enhancing Scam Intelligence in Digital Paymentscited by 1
- 2026Physical Foundation Models: Fixed hardware implementations of large-scale neural networkscited by 1
- 2026SysAdmin: Measuring Instrumental Power-Seeking in Frontier AIcited by 1
3 more
- 2025Mass-Scale Analysis of In-the-Wild Conversations Reveals Complexity Bounds on LLM Jailbreakingcited by 0
- 2025BlueGlass: A Framework for Composite AI Safetycited by 0
- 2025"Just a strange pic": Evaluating 'safety' in GenAI Image safety annotation tasks from diverse annotators' perspectivescited by 0
- 2026Physical Foundation Models: Fixed hardware implementations of large-scale neural networks30 Apr 2026
- 2026SysAdmin: Measuring Instrumental Power-Seeking in Frontier AI10 Apr 2026
- 2026Evaluating Human-AI Safety: A Framework for Measuring Harmful Capability Uplift6 Mar 2026
- 2026Capabilities Ain't All You Need: Measuring Propensities in AI20 Feb 2026
- 2026Measuring What AI Systems Might Do: Towards A Measurement Science in AI10 Feb 2026
- 2025Safe for Whom? Rethinking How We Evaluate the Safety of LLMs for Real Users11 Dec 2025
- 2025Quantifying CBRN Risk in Frontier Models24 Oct 2025
- 2025The 2025 OpenAI Preparedness Framework does not guarantee any AI risk mitigation practices: a proof-of-concept for affordance analyses of AI safety policies29 Sep 2025
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Action28 Aug 2025
- 2025CASE: An Agentic AI Framework for Enhancing Scam Intelligence in Digital Payments27 Aug 2025
- 2025A Review of Developmental Interpretability in Large Language Models19 Aug 2025
- 2025Against racing to AGI: Cooperation, deterrence, and catastrophic risks29 Jul 2025
3 more
- 2025"Just a strange pic": Evaluating 'safety' in GenAI Image safety annotation tasks from diverse annotators' perspectives21 Jul 2025
- 2025BlueGlass: A Framework for Composite AI Safety14 Jul 2025
- 2025Mass-Scale Analysis of In-the-Wild Conversations Reveals Complexity Bounds on LLM Jailbreaking6 Jul 2025
- 2025Quantifying CBRN Risk in Frontier Modelscited by 6
- 2026Capabilities Ain't All You Need: Measuring Propensities in AIcited by 6
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Actioncited by 5
- 2026Measuring What AI Systems Might Do: Towards A Measurement Science in AIcited by 3
- 2026Evaluating Human-AI Safety: A Framework for Measuring Harmful Capability Upliftcited by 3
- 2025Against racing to AGI: Cooperation, deterrence, and catastrophic riskscited by 2
- 2025The 2025 OpenAI Preparedness Framework does not guarantee any AI risk mitigation practices: a proof-of-concept for affordance analyses of AI safety policiescited by 2
- 2026Physical Foundation Models: Fixed hardware implementations of large-scale neural networkscited by 1
- 2026SysAdmin: Measuring Instrumental Power-Seeking in Frontier AIcited by 1
- 2025BlueGlass: A Framework for Composite AI Safetycited by 0
- 2025"Just a strange pic": Evaluating 'safety' in GenAI Image safety annotation tasks from diverse annotators' perspectivescited by 0
- 2026Physical Foundation Models: Fixed hardware implementations of large-scale neural networks30 Apr 2026
- 2026SysAdmin: Measuring Instrumental Power-Seeking in Frontier AI10 Apr 2026
- 2026Evaluating Human-AI Safety: A Framework for Measuring Harmful Capability Uplift6 Mar 2026
- 2026Capabilities Ain't All You Need: Measuring Propensities in AI20 Feb 2026
- 2026Measuring What AI Systems Might Do: Towards A Measurement Science in AI10 Feb 2026
- 2025Quantifying CBRN Risk in Frontier Models24 Oct 2025
- 2025The 2025 OpenAI Preparedness Framework does not guarantee any AI risk mitigation practices: a proof-of-concept for affordance analyses of AI safety policies29 Sep 2025
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Action28 Aug 2025
- 2025Against racing to AGI: Cooperation, deterrence, and catastrophic risks29 Jul 2025
- 2025"Just a strange pic": Evaluating 'safety' in GenAI Image safety annotation tasks from diverse annotators' perspectives21 Jul 2025
- 2025BlueGlass: A Framework for Composite AI Safety14 Jul 2025
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