Calibrating Uncertainty Quantification of Multi-Modal LLMs using Grounding
On the map: Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models → MLLM training and visual instruction tuning
Abstract (arXiv)
We introduce a novel approach for calibrating uncertainty quantification (UQ) tailored for multi-modal large language models (LLMs). Existing state-of-the-art UQ methods rely on consistency among multiple responses generated by the LLM on an input query under diverse settings. However, these approaches often report higher confidence in scenarios where the LLM is consistently incorrect. This leads to a poorly calibrated confidence with respect to accuracy. To address this, we leverage cross-modal consistency in addition to self-consistency to improve the calibration of the multi-modal models. Specifically, we ground the textual responses to the visual inputs. The confidence from the grounding model is used to calibrate the overall confidence. Given that using a grounding model adds its own uncertainty in the pipeline, we apply temperature scaling - a widely accepted parametric calibration technique - to calibrate the grounding model's confidence in the accuracy of generated responses. We evaluate the proposed approach across multiple multi-modal tasks, such as medical question answering (Slake) and visual question answering (VQAv2), considering multi-modal models such as LLaVA-Med and LLaVA. The experiments demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves significantly improved calibration on both tasks.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in MLLM training and visual instruction tuning, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models. Builds on 43 of its 50 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Apr 2025.
Builds on
43 of 50 references.
Closest ancestors · 4
Same direction, newest first
- 2024On Domain-Adaptive Post-Training for Multimodal Large Language Models29 Nov
- 2024Qwen2-VL: Enhancing Vision-Language Model's Perception of the World at Any Resolution18 Sep
- 2024Explaining Multi-modal Large Language Models by Analyzing their Vision Perception23 May
- 2023Improved Baselines with Visual Instruction Tuning5 Oct
Other references · 39
- 2021Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervisioncited by 33,744
- 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,396
- 2024The Llama 3 Herd of Modelscited by 14,715
- 2023Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Modelscited by 13,028
- 2015Distilling the Knowledge in a Neural Networkcited by 10,324
- 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,708
- 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
- 2023Grounding DINO: Marrying DINO with Grounded Pre-Training for Open-Set Object Detectioncited by 3,332
- 2023Mistral 7Bcited by 3,164
- 2017TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehensioncited by 2,955
- 2016Making the V in VQA Matter: Elevating the Role of Image Understanding in Visual Question Answeringcited by 2,516
- 2020DeBERTa: Decoding-enhanced BERT with Disentangled Attentioncited by 2,181
27 more
- 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,856
- 2023A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models: Principles, Taxonomy, Challenges, and Open Questionscited by 1,601
- 2023LLaVA-Med: Training a Large Language-and-Vision Assistant for Biomedicine in One Daycited by 1,305
- 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 974
- 2024Grounded SAM: Assembling Open-World Models for Diverse Visual Taskscited by 929
- 2023Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generationcited by 819
- 2023Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedbackcited by 812
- 2018CoQA: A Conversational Question Answering Challengecited by 683
- 2023BiomedCLIP: a multimodal biomedical foundation model pretrained from fifteen million scientific image-text pairscited by 520
- 2021SLAKE: A Semantically-Labeled Knowledge-Enhanced Dataset for Medical Visual Question Answeringcited by 449
- 2018MAttNet: Modular Attention Network for Referring Expression Comprehensioncited by 431
- 2023Generating with Confidence: Uncertainty Quantification for Black-box Large Language Modelscited by 293
- 2020Unsupervised Quality Estimation for Neural Machine Translationcited by 211
- 2023Conformal Language Modelingcited by 170
- 2024Benchmarking LLMs via Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 126
- 2024A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directionscited by 121
- 2023A Confederacy of Models: a Comprehensive Evaluation of LLMs on Creative Writingcited by 99
- 2024VL-Uncertainty: Detecting Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Model via Uncertainty Estimationcited by 73
- 2024Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Modelscited by 54
- 2024Uncertainty-Aware Evaluation for Vision-Language Modelscited by 29
- 2024Pelican: Correcting Hallucination in Vision-LLMs via Claim Decomposition and Program of Thought Verificationcited by 17
- 2024Addressing Uncertainty in LLMs to Enhance Reliability in Generative AIcited by 15
- 2024Graph-based Confidence Calibration for Large Language Modelscited by 10
- 2024An Empirical Study of In-context Learning in LLMs for Machine Translationcited by 9
- 2019VQD: Visual Query Detection in Natural Scenescited by 7
- 2024CursorCore: Assist Programming through Aligning Anythingcited by 7
- 2025COPU: Conformal Prediction for Uncertainty Quantification in Natural Language Generationcited by 6
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 6.
8 papers.
- 2025HEDGE: Hallucination Estimation via Dense Geometric Entropy for VQA with Vision-Language Modelscited by 5
- 2025Polysemantic Dropout: Conformal OOD Detection for Specialized LLMscited by 2
- 2026VideoHEDGE: Entropy-Based Hallucination Detection for Video-VLMs via Semantic Clustering and Spatiotemporal Perturbationscited by 1
- 2026Beyond Static Datasets: Robust Offline Policy Optimization via Vetted Synthetic Transitionscited by 0
- 2026SCoOP: Semantic Consistent Opinion Pooling for Uncertainty Quantification in Multiple Vision-Language Model Systemscited by 0
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Decision Making in Multimodal Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Answer-Level Trust Selection for Physical Vision-Language Reasoningcited by 0
- 2026Pinocchio: Fast Uncertainty Estimates for Black-Box Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Pinocchio: Fast Uncertainty Estimates for Black-Box Language Models21 Sep 2026
- 2026Answer-Level Trust Selection for Physical Vision-Language Reasoning20 Aug 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Decision Making in Multimodal Large Language Models17 Aug 2026
- 2026SCoOP: Semantic Consistent Opinion Pooling for Uncertainty Quantification in Multiple Vision-Language Model Systems25 Mar 2026
- 2026Beyond Static Datasets: Robust Offline Policy Optimization via Vetted Synthetic Transitions26 Jan 2026
- 2026VideoHEDGE: Entropy-Based Hallucination Detection for Video-VLMs via Semantic Clustering and Spatiotemporal Perturbations13 Jan 2026
- 2025HEDGE: Hallucination Estimation via Dense Geometric Entropy for VQA with Vision-Language Models16 Nov 2025
- 2025Polysemantic Dropout: Conformal OOD Detection for Specialized LLMs4 Sep 2025
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026Semantic Calibration Prevails Where Token Confidence Fails: Benchmarking Long-Form Scientific QA
- 2024Functional-level Uncertainty Quantification for Calibrated Fine-tuning on LLMs
- 2025Can Linear Probes Measure LLM Uncertainty?
- 2025Uncertainty Quantification and Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models: A Survey
- 2024Unveiling Uncertainty: A Deep Dive into Calibration and Performance of Multimodal Large Language Models
- 2026ChainUQ: Reasoning Consistency-Aware Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models
- 2025Simple Yet Effective: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Multi-LLM Uncertainty Quantification
- 2025Revisiting Uncertainty Estimation and Calibration of Large Language Models