mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Goal-Oriented Time-Series Forecasting: Foundation Framework Design

arXiv 2504.17493 ↗First posted 24 Apr 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that enables forecasting models to adapt their focus to application-specific regions of interest at inference time, without retraining. The approach partitions the prediction space into fine-grained segments during training, which are dynamically reweighted and aggregated to emphasize the target range specified by the application. Unlike prior methods that predefine these ranges, our framework supports flexible, on-demand adjustments. Experiments on standard benchmarks and a newly collected wireless communication dataset demonstrate that our method not only improves forecast accuracy within regions of interest but also yields measurable gains in downstream task performance. These results highlight the potential for closer integration between predictive modeling and decision-making in real-world systems.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 49 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 24 Apr 2025.

Builds on

22 of 49 references.

References · 22

  1. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
  2. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  3. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
  4. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
  5. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
  6. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 931
  7. 2015End-to-End Training of Deep Visuomotor Policiescited by 875
  8. 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 692
  9. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
  10. 2024MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Modelscited by 482
  11. 2022Non-stationary Transformers: Exploring the Stationarity in Time Series Forecastingcited by 391
  12. 2017Smart "Predict, then Optimize"cited by 339
10 more
  1. 2014From Predictive to Prescriptive Analyticscited by 143
  2. 2023CARD: Channel Aligned Robust Blend Transformer for Time Series Forecastingcited by 55
  3. 2024Toto: Time Series Optimized Transformer for Observabilitycited by 48
  4. 2019Learning Surrogate Lossescited by 21
  5. 2021Deep Reinforcement Learning with Spatio-temporal Traffic Forecasting for Data-Driven Base Station Sleep Controlcited by 7
  6. 2023Deep Imbalanced Time-series Forecasting via Local Discrepancy Densitycited by 7
  7. 2018Load-Based On/Off Scheduling for Energy-Efficient Delay-Tolerant 5G Networkscited by 4
  8. 2024Loss Shaping Constraints for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 4
  9. 2024Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza predictionscited by 4
  10. 2025Kairos: Energy-Efficient Radio Unit Control for O-RAN via Advanced Sleep Modescited by 4

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.