mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Expected Free Energy-based Planning as Variational Inference

arXiv 2504.14898 ↗First posted 21 Apr 2025stat.ML cs.LGcited by 10

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Abstract (arXiv)

We address the problem of planning under uncertainty, where an agent must choose actions that not only achieve desired outcomes but also reduce uncertainty. Traditional methods often treat exploration and exploitation as separate objectives, lacking a unified inferential foundation. Active inference, grounded in the Free Energy Principle, provides such a foundation by minimizing Expected Free Energy (EFE), a cost function that combines utility with epistemic drives, such as ambiguity resolution and novelty seeking. However, the computational burden of EFE minimization had remained a significant obstacle to its scalability. In this paper, we show that EFE-based planning arises naturally from minimizing a variational free energy functional on a generative model augmented with preference and epistemic priors. This result reinforces theoretical consistency with the Free Energy Principle by casting planning under uncertainty itself as a form of variational inference. Our formulation yields policies that jointly support goal achievement and information gain, while incorporating a complexity term that accounts for bounded computational resources. This unifying framework connects and extends existing methods, enabling scalable, resource-aware implementations of active inference agents.

Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 18 of its 50 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Apr 2025.

Builds on

18 of 50 references.

References · 18

  1. 2018Adafactor: Adaptive Learning Rates with Sublinear Memory Costcited by 905
  2. 2023Minigrid & Miniworld: Modular & Customizable Reinforcement Learning Environments for Goal-Oriented Taskscited by 327
  3. 2020Active inference on discrete state-spaces: a synthesiscited by 92
  4. 2020Sophisticated Inferencecited by 56
  5. 2019A free energy principle for a particular physicscited by 40
  6. 2022pymdp: A Python library for active inference in discrete state spacescited by 40
  7. 2022Path integrals, particular kinds, and strange thingscited by 20
  8. 2021Reactive Message Passing for Scalable Bayesian Inferencecited by 16
  9. 2021Branching Time Active Inference: the theory and its generalitycited by 15
  10. 2023On efficient computation in active inferencecited by 15
  11. 2018Model-free, Model-based, and General Intelligencecited by 14
  12. 2024Active Inference as a Model of Agencycited by 12
6 more
  1. 2024What type of inference is planning?cited by 9
  2. 2023Realising Synthetic Active Inference Agents, Part II: Variational Message Updatescited by 7
  3. 2022Kullback-Leibler control for discrete-time nonlinear systems on continuous spacescited by 6
  4. 2023Realising Synthetic Active Inference Agents, Part I: Epistemic Objectives and Graphical Specification Languagecited by 4
  5. 2024On Predictive planning and counterfactual learning in active inferencecited by 4
  6. 2023Toward Design of Synthetic Active Inference Agents by Mere Mortalscited by 3

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 7.

10 papers.