Expected Free Energy-based Planning as Variational Inference
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
We address the problem of planning under uncertainty, where an agent must choose actions that not only achieve desired outcomes but also reduce uncertainty. Traditional methods often treat exploration and exploitation as separate objectives, lacking a unified inferential foundation. Active inference, grounded in the Free Energy Principle, provides such a foundation by minimizing Expected Free Energy (EFE), a cost function that combines utility with epistemic drives, such as ambiguity resolution and novelty seeking. However, the computational burden of EFE minimization had remained a significant obstacle to its scalability. In this paper, we show that EFE-based planning arises naturally from minimizing a variational free energy functional on a generative model augmented with preference and epistemic priors. This result reinforces theoretical consistency with the Free Energy Principle by casting planning under uncertainty itself as a form of variational inference. Our formulation yields policies that jointly support goal achievement and information gain, while incorporating a complexity term that accounts for bounded computational resources. This unifying framework connects and extends existing methods, enabling scalable, resource-aware implementations of active inference agents.
Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 18 of its 50 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Apr 2025.
Builds on
18 of 50 references.
References · 18
- 2018Adafactor: Adaptive Learning Rates with Sublinear Memory Costcited by 905
- 2023Minigrid & Miniworld: Modular & Customizable Reinforcement Learning Environments for Goal-Oriented Taskscited by 327
- 2020Active inference on discrete state-spaces: a synthesiscited by 92
- 2020Sophisticated Inferencecited by 56
- 2019A free energy principle for a particular physicscited by 40
- 2022pymdp: A Python library for active inference in discrete state spacescited by 40
- 2022Path integrals, particular kinds, and strange thingscited by 20
- 2021Reactive Message Passing for Scalable Bayesian Inferencecited by 16
- 2021Branching Time Active Inference: the theory and its generalitycited by 15
- 2023On efficient computation in active inferencecited by 15
- 2018Model-free, Model-based, and General Intelligencecited by 14
- 2024Active Inference as a Model of Agencycited by 12
6 more
- 2024What type of inference is planning?cited by 9
- 2023Realising Synthetic Active Inference Agents, Part II: Variational Message Updatescited by 7
- 2022Kullback-Leibler control for discrete-time nonlinear systems on continuous spacescited by 6
- 2023Realising Synthetic Active Inference Agents, Part I: Epistemic Objectives and Graphical Specification Languagecited by 4
- 2024On Predictive planning and counterfactual learning in active inferencecited by 4
- 2023Toward Design of Synthetic Active Inference Agents by Mere Mortalscited by 3
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 7.
10 papers.
- 2025A Message Passing Realization of Expected Free Energy Minimizationcited by 5
- 2026Active Inference for Physical AI Agents -- An Engineering Perspectivecited by 2
- 2026What Type of Inference is Active Inference?cited by 2
- 2025Message passing-based inference in an autoregressive active inference agentcited by 1
- 2026Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Processcited by 1
- 2025Active Inference is a Subtype of Variational Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Expected Free Energy as Belief-Dependent Utility for rho-POMDPscited by 0
- 2026Sophisticated Policies from Epistemic Priorscited by 0
- 2026Information Geometry of Message Passingcited by 0
- 2026Expected free energy as an information constraint on the Bethe Lagrangiancited by 0
- 2026Expected free energy as an information constraint on the Bethe Lagrangian17 Aug 2026
- 2026Information Geometry of Message Passing16 Aug 2026
- 2026Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process22 Jul 2026
- 2026Sophisticated Policies from Epistemic Priors21 Jul 2026
- 2026Expected Free Energy as Belief-Dependent Utility for rho-POMDPs18 Jul 2026
- 2026What Type of Inference is Active Inference?3 Jun 2026
- 2026Active Inference for Physical AI Agents -- An Engineering Perspective21 Mar 2026
- 2025Active Inference is a Subtype of Variational Inference24 Nov 2025
- 2025Message passing-based inference in an autoregressive active inference agent29 Sep 2025
- 2025A Message Passing Realization of Expected Free Energy Minimization4 Aug 2025