Metacognition and Uncertainty Communication in Humans and Large Language Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
Metacognition--the capacity to monitor and evaluate one's own knowledge and performance--is foundational to human decision-making, learning, and communication. As large language models (LLMs) become increasingly embedded in both high-stakes and widespread low-stakes contexts, it is important to assess whether, how, and to what extent they exhibit metacognitive abilities. Here, we provide an overview of current knowledge of LLMs' metacognitive capacities, how they might be studied, and how they relate to our knowledge of metacognition in humans. We show that while humans and LLMs can sometimes appear quite aligned in their metacognitive capacities and behaviors, it is clear many differences remain; attending to these differences is important for enhancing human-AI collaboration. Finally, we discuss how endowing future LLMs with more sensitive and more calibrated metacognition may also help them develop new capacities such as more efficient learning, self-direction, and curiosity.
Key facts. Cited by 23 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 49 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Apr 2025.
Builds on
12 of 49 references.
References · 12
- 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,856
- 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 974
- 2020Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 281
- 2023Do Large Language Models Know What They Don't Know?cited by 243
- 2024Looking Inward: Language Models Can Learn About Themselves by Introspectioncited by 113
- 2023R-Tuning: Instructing Large Language Models to Say `I Don't Know'cited by 111
- 2024What Large Language Models Know and What People Think They Knowcited by 110
- 2024Relying on the Unreliable: The Impact of Language Models' Reluctance to Express Uncertaintycited by 106
- 2025Uncertainty Quantification and Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models: A Surveycited by 95
- 2025Tell me about yourself: LLMs are aware of their learned behaviorscited by 91
- 2024Metacognitive Capabilities of LLMs: An Exploration in Mathematical Problem Solvingcited by 84
- 2024Perceptions of Linguistic Uncertainty by Language Models and Humanscited by 15
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 7; 2026: 16.
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- 2026How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidencecited by 26
- 2025Self-Interpretability: LLMs Can Describe Complex Internal Processes that Drive Their Decisionscited by 25
- 2026Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behaviorcited by 10
- 2025Understanding the Thinking Process of Reasoning Models: A Perspective from Schoenfeld's Episode Theorycited by 9
- 2026LLMs as Signal Detectors: Sensitivity, Bias, and the Temperature-Criterion Analogycited by 7
- 2026Do LLMs Know What They Know? Measuring Metacognitive Efficiency with Signal Detection Theorycited by 6
- 2026TRIAGE: Evaluating Prospective Metacognitive Control in LLMs under Resource Constraintscited by 6
- 2025Generalization of Fine-Tuned Uncertainty Communication and Metacognition in Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2025Before you <think>, monitor: Implementing Flavell's metacognitive framework in LLMscited by 3
- 2025Agents Require Metacognitive and Strategic Reasoning to Succeed in the Coming Labor Marketscited by 2
- 2025Metacognitive Sensitivity for Test-Time Dynamic Model Selectioncited by 2
- 2026Fine-Tuning Language Models to Know What They Knowcited by 2
11 more
- 2026Measuring (some aspects of) the metacognition of AIcited by 2
- 2026Verbal Confidence Saturation in 3-9B Open-Weight Instruction-Tuned LLMs: A Pre-Registered Psychometric Validity Screencited by 2
- 2026Can LLMs Use Linguistic Uncertainty Markers to Reliably Reflect Intrinsic Confidence?cited by 2
- 2026Self-Reference in Large Language Models: The Introspection Threshold for Recursive Self-Improvementcited by 2
- 2026Machine Psychometrics: A Mathematical Psychology of Artificial Intelligencecited by 1
- 2026Metacognition in LLMs: Foundations, Progress, and Opportunitiescited by 1
- 2026The Computational Basis of Confidence in Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2025Automatic Minds: Cognitive Parallels Between Hypnotic States and Large Language Model Processingcited by 0
- 2026Domain-level metacognitive monitoring in frontier LLMs: A 33-model atlascited by 0
- 2026metasignal: A Python Package for Comprehensive Metacognitive Analysis and Decision-Makingcited by 0
- 2026Evaluating Persistent Calibration under Evolving Model Knowledgecited by 0
- 2026Evaluating Persistent Calibration under Evolving Model Knowledge30 Sep 2026
- 2026metasignal: A Python Package for Comprehensive Metacognitive Analysis and Decision-Making31 Jul 2026
- 2026The Computational Basis of Confidence in Large Language Models14 Jul 2026
- 2026Metacognition in LLMs: Foundations, Progress, and Opportunities13 Jul 2026
- 2026Self-Reference in Large Language Models: The Introspection Threshold for Recursive Self-Improvement5 Jul 2026
- 2026Can LLMs Use Linguistic Uncertainty Markers to Reliably Reflect Intrinsic Confidence?27 May 2026
- 2026TRIAGE: Evaluating Prospective Metacognitive Control in LLMs under Resource Constraints13 May 2026
- 2026Machine Psychometrics: A Mathematical Psychology of Artificial Intelligence10 May 2026
- 2026Verbal Confidence Saturation in 3-9B Open-Weight Instruction-Tuned LLMs: A Pre-Registered Psychometric Validity Screen24 Apr 2026
- 2026Domain-level metacognitive monitoring in frontier LLMs: A 33-model atlas21 Apr 2026
- 2026Measuring (some aspects of) the metacognition of AI31 Mar 2026
- 2026Do LLMs Know What They Know? Measuring Metacognitive Efficiency with Signal Detection Theory26 Mar 2026
11 more
- 2026Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behavior23 Mar 2026
- 2026How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidence18 Mar 2026
- 2026LLMs as Signal Detectors: Sensitivity, Bias, and the Temperature-Criterion Analogy16 Mar 2026
- 2026Fine-Tuning Language Models to Know What They Know2 Feb 2026
- 2025Metacognitive Sensitivity for Test-Time Dynamic Model Selection11 Dec 2025
- 2025Automatic Minds: Cognitive Parallels Between Hypnotic States and Large Language Model Processing3 Nov 2025
- 2025Before you <think>, monitor: Implementing Flavell's metacognitive framework in LLMs18 Oct 2025
- 2025Generalization of Fine-Tuned Uncertainty Communication and Metacognition in Large Language Models30 Sep 2025
- 2025Understanding the Thinking Process of Reasoning Models: A Perspective from Schoenfeld's Episode Theory18 Sep 2025
- 2025Agents Require Metacognitive and Strategic Reasoning to Succeed in the Coming Labor Markets26 May 2025
- 2025Self-Interpretability: LLMs Can Describe Complex Internal Processes that Drive Their Decisions21 May 2025
- 2026How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidencecited by 26
- 2025Self-Interpretability: LLMs Can Describe Complex Internal Processes that Drive Their Decisionscited by 25
- 2026Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behaviorcited by 10
- 2026LLMs as Signal Detectors: Sensitivity, Bias, and the Temperature-Criterion Analogycited by 7
- 2026Do LLMs Know What They Know? Measuring Metacognitive Efficiency with Signal Detection Theorycited by 6
- 2026TRIAGE: Evaluating Prospective Metacognitive Control in LLMs under Resource Constraintscited by 6
- 2025Generalization of Fine-Tuned Uncertainty Communication and Metacognition in Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2025Agents Require Metacognitive and Strategic Reasoning to Succeed in the Coming Labor Marketscited by 2
- 2025Metacognitive Sensitivity for Test-Time Dynamic Model Selectioncited by 2
- 2026Fine-Tuning Language Models to Know What They Knowcited by 2
- 2026Measuring (some aspects of) the metacognition of AIcited by 2
- 2026Verbal Confidence Saturation in 3-9B Open-Weight Instruction-Tuned LLMs: A Pre-Registered Psychometric Validity Screencited by 2
12 most cited of 20 All 20 (JSON)
- 2026Evaluating Persistent Calibration under Evolving Model Knowledge30 Sep 2026
- 2026metasignal: A Python Package for Comprehensive Metacognitive Analysis and Decision-Making31 Jul 2026
- 2026The Computational Basis of Confidence in Large Language Models14 Jul 2026
- 2026Metacognition in LLMs: Foundations, Progress, and Opportunities13 Jul 2026
- 2026Can LLMs Use Linguistic Uncertainty Markers to Reliably Reflect Intrinsic Confidence?27 May 2026
- 2026TRIAGE: Evaluating Prospective Metacognitive Control in LLMs under Resource Constraints13 May 2026
- 2026Machine Psychometrics: A Mathematical Psychology of Artificial Intelligence10 May 2026
- 2026Verbal Confidence Saturation in 3-9B Open-Weight Instruction-Tuned LLMs: A Pre-Registered Psychometric Validity Screen24 Apr 2026
- 2026Domain-level metacognitive monitoring in frontier LLMs: A 33-model atlas21 Apr 2026
- 2026Measuring (some aspects of) the metacognition of AI31 Mar 2026
- 2026Do LLMs Know What They Know? Measuring Metacognitive Efficiency with Signal Detection Theory26 Mar 2026
- 2026Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behavior23 Mar 2026
12 newest of 20 All 20 (JSON)