mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Measuring (some aspects of) the metacognition of AI

arXiv 2603.29693 ↗First posted 31 Mar 2026cs.AIcited by 2

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

A robust decision-making process must take into account uncertainty, especially when the choice involves inherent risks. Because artificial intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly integrated into decision-making workflows, managing uncertainty relies more and more on the metacognitive capabilities of these systems; i.e, their ability to assess the reliability of and regulate their own decisions. Hence, it is crucial to employ robust methods to measure the metacognitive abilities of AI. This paper is primarily a methodological contribution that highlights a key limitation of commonly used measures of AI metacognitive sensitivity--the ability to generate confidence ratings that distinguish correct from incorrect responses. We then draw attention to the meta-d' framework, a well-established approach from psychology and neuroscience designed to address this limitation. Moreover, we propose to leverage signal detection theory (SDT) to measure the ability of AIs to spontaneously regulate their decisions based on uncertainty and risk. To demonstrate the practical utility of these psychophysical frameworks, we conduct two series of experiments on three large language models (LLMs)--GPT-5, DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp, and Mistral-Medium-2508.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 19 of its 74 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 31 Mar 2026.

Builds on

19 of 74 references.

References · 19

  1. 2023A Survey on Evaluation of Large Language Modelscited by 1,227
  2. 2021Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Modelscited by 957
  3. 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 946
  4. 2023Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedbackcited by 788
  5. 2023Siren's Song in the AI Ocean: A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Modelscited by 695
  6. 2023LM-Polygraph: Uncertainty Estimation for Language Modelscited by 130
  7. 2024Benchmarking LLMs via Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 124
  8. 2024A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directionscited by 115
  9. 2024What Large Language Models Know and What People Think They Knowcited by 109
  10. 2025Metacognition and Uncertainty Communication in Humans and Large Language Modelscited by 23
  11. 2026How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidencecited by 23
  12. 2023Human-AI collaboration is not very collaborative yet: A taxonomy of interaction patterns in AI-assisted decision making from a systematic reviewcited by 18
7 more
  1. 2022Artificial Intelligence and Life in 2030: The One Hundred Year Study on Artificial Intelligencecited by 16
  2. 2026Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behaviorcited by 9
  3. 2025ADVICE: Answer-Dependent Verbalized Confidence Estimationcited by 8
  4. 2026Do LLMs Know What They Know? Measuring Metacognitive Efficiency with Signal Detection Theorycited by 6
  5. 2025Joint Decision-Making in Robot Teleoperation: When are Two Heads Better Than One?cited by 2
  6. 2025Beyond Accuracy: How AI Metacognitive Sensitivity improves AI-assisted Decision Makingcited by 2
  7. 2025Metacognitive Sensitivity for Test-Time Dynamic Model Selectioncited by 2

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.