mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Trust Me, I'm Wrong: LLMs Hallucinate with Certainty Despite Knowing the Answer

arXiv 2502.12964 ↗First posted 18 Feb 2025cs.CLcited by 26

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Abstract (arXiv)

Prior work on large language model (LLM) hallucinations has associated them with model uncertainty or inaccurate knowledge. In this work, we define and investigate a distinct type of hallucination, where a model can consistently answer a question correctly, but a seemingly trivial perturbation, which can happen in real-world settings, causes it to produce a hallucinated response with high certainty. This phenomenon, which we dub CHOKE (Certain Hallucinations Overriding Known Evidence), is particularly concerning in high-stakes domains such as medicine or law, where model certainty is often used as a proxy for reliability. We show that CHOKE examples are consistent across prompts, occur in different models and datasets, and are fundamentally distinct from other hallucinations. This difference leads existing mitigation methods to perform worse on CHOKE examples than on general hallucinations. Finally, we introduce a probing-based mitigation that outperforms existing methods on CHOKE hallucinations. These findings reveal an overlooked aspect of hallucinations, emphasizing the need to understand their origins and improve mitigation strategies to enhance LLM safety. The code is available at https://github.com/technion-cs-nlp/Trust_me_Im_wrong .

Key facts. Cited by 26 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 35 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Feb 2025.

Builds on

35 of 62 references.

References · 35

  1. 2024The Llama 3 Herd of Modelscited by 14,192
  2. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,860
  3. 2017TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehensioncited by 2,895
  4. 2020DeBERTa: Decoding-enhanced BERT with Disentangled Attentioncited by 2,157
  5. 2023Jailbroken: How Does LLM Safety Training Fail?cited by 1,565
  6. 2023Inference-Time Intervention: Eliciting Truthful Answers from a Language Modelcited by 1,259
  7. 2023Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Modelscited by 988
  8. 2024How Johnny Can Persuade LLMs to Jailbreak Them: Rethinking Persuasion to Challenge AI Safety by Humanizing LLMscited by 533
  9. 2024Jailbreaking Leading Safety-Aligned LLMs with Simple Adaptive Attackscited by 450
  10. 2024Scaling Synthetic Data Creation with 1,000,000,000 Personascited by 397
  11. 2023State of What Art? A Call for Multi-Prompt LLM Evaluationcited by 299
  12. 2022Prompting GPT-3 To Be Reliablecited by 258
23 more
  1. 2024Semantic Entropy Probes: Robust and Cheap Hallucination Detection in LLMscited by 246
  2. 2024LLMs Know More Than They Show: On the Intrinsic Representation of LLM Hallucinationscited by 230
  3. 2023LLM Lies: Hallucinations are not Bugs, but Features as Adversarial Examplescited by 177
  4. 2024Don't Hallucinate, Abstain: Identifying LLM Knowledge Gaps via Multi-LLM Collaborationcited by 176
  5. 2022The Unreliability of Explanations in Few-shot Prompting for Textual Reasoningcited by 169
  6. 2024Does Prompt Formatting Have Any Impact on LLM Performance?cited by 132
  7. 2024To Believe or Not to Believe Your LLMcited by 120
  8. 2023The Earth is Flat because...: Investigating LLMs' Belief towards Misinformation via Persuasive Conversationcited by 107
  9. 2023How to Catch an AI Liar: Lie Detection in Black-Box LLMs by Asking Unrelated Questionscited by 82
  10. 2018Quantifying Uncertainties in Natural Language Processing Taskscited by 79
  11. 2024Truth is Universal: Robust Detection of Lies in LLMscited by 78
  12. 2023Do Androids Know They're Only Dreaming of Electric Sheep?cited by 67
  13. 2023Uncertainty in Natural Language Generation: From Theory to Applicationscited by 61
  14. 2024Uncertainty-Based Abstention in LLMs Improves Safety and Reduces Hallucinationscited by 51
  15. 2023Personas as a Way to Model Truthfulness in Language Modelscited by 46
  16. 2023Uncertainty in Natural Language Processing: Sources, Quantification, and Applicationscited by 44
  17. 2024MAQA: Evaluating Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs Regarding Data Uncertaintycited by 25
  18. 2024WildVis: Open Source Visualizer for Million-Scale Chat Logs in the Wildcited by 20
  19. 2024Distinguishing Ignorance from Error in LLM Hallucinationscited by 14
  20. 2023Exploring the Relationship between LLM Hallucinations and Prompt Linguistic Nuances: Readability, Formality, and Concretenesscited by 13
  21. 2024Measuring Free-Form Decision-Making Inconsistency of Language Models in Military Crisis Simulationscited by 11
  22. 2024The Factuality of Large Language Models in the Legal Domaincited by 10
  23. 2024Fine-Tuning Large Language Models to Appropriately Abstain with Semantic Entropycited by 9

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 8; 2026: 18.

26 papers.

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  1. 2025Causal Sufficiency and Necessity Improves Chain-of-Thought Reasoningcited by 16
  2. 2025United Minds or Isolated Agents? Exploring Coordination of LLMs under Cognitive Load Theorycited by 10
  3. 2026BaseCal: Unsupervised Confidence Calibration via Base Model Signalscited by 7
  4. 2025DTS: Enhancing Large Reasoning Models via Decoding Tree Sketchingcited by 5
  5. 2025Fair Foundation Models for Medical Image Analysis: Challenges and Perspectivescited by 3
  6. 2025SEReDeEP: Hallucination Detection in Retrieval-Augmented Models via Semantic Entropy and Context-Parameter Fusioncited by 3
  7. 2026Scaling with Confidence: Calibrating Confidence of LLMs for Adaptive Test Time Scalingcited by 3
  8. 2025TPA: Next Token Probability Attribution for Detecting Hallucinations in RAGcited by 2
  9. 2026Quantifying Faithful Confidence Expression in Large Reasoning Modelscited by 2
  10. 2025Concept-RuleNet: Grounded Multi-Agent Neurosymbolic Reasoning in Vision Language Modelscited by 1
  11. 2026Decomposed Prompting Does Not Fix Knowledge Gaps, But Helps Models Say "I Don't Know"cited by 1
  12. 2026Hallucination as Commitment Failure: Larger LLMs Misfire Despite Knowing the Answercited by 1
14 more
  1. 2026Sigma-Mem: An Online Reliability Memory for LLM-based Multi-Agent Systemscited by 1
  2. 2026Don't `Well, Actually' Me Unless You Know What You're Talking About: Weak Presupposition Verification Degrades General QA Performancecited by 1
  3. 2026Temporal Multi-Signal Fusion for Token-Level Hallucination Detectioncited by 1
  4. 2026SABER: Stability-Aware Early Exit for LLM Reasoning via Adversarial Branch Probingcited by 1
  5. 2025Tractable Asymmetric Verification for Large Language Models via Deterministic Replicabilitycited by 0
  6. 2026Aletheia: Quantifying Cognitive Conviction in Reasoning Models via Regularized Inverse Confusion Matrixcited by 0
  7. 2026Answering the Wrong Question: Reasoning Trace Inversion for Abstention in LLMscited by 0
  8. 2026Logical Consistency as a Bridge: Improving LLM Hallucination Detection via Label Constraint Modeling between Responses and Self-Judgmentscited by 0
  9. 2026Position: Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs is Just Unsupervised Clusteringcited by 0
  10. 2026The Role of Ambiguity in Error Prediction via Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 0
  11. 2026Reliability Scales Inversely: Hallucinations Snowball Faster in Bigger Language Modelscited by 0
  12. 2026Epistemic Trustworthiness in Generative AI: A Normative Framework for Warranted Reliance in High-Stakes Workflowscited by 0
  13. 2026TruthLens: Object Hallucination Detection via Self-Evaluating Truthfulness Scores in LVLMscited by 0
  14. 2026The Commit-Abstain Circuit: Why Language Models Hallucinate Instead of Abstainingcited by 0