mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Reasoning Bias of Next Token Prediction Training

arXiv 2502.02007 ↗First posted 4 Feb 2025cs.CL cs.LGcited by 3

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Since the inception of Large Language Models (LLMs), the quest to efficiently train them for superior reasoning capabilities has been a pivotal challenge. The dominant training paradigm for LLMs is based on next token prediction (NTP). Alternative methodologies, called Critical Token Prediction (CTP), focused exclusively on specific critical tokens (such as the answer in Q&A dataset), aiming to reduce the overfitting of extraneous information and noise. Contrary to initial assumptions, our research reveals that despite NTP's exposure to noise during training, it surpasses CTP in reasoning ability. We attribute this counterintuitive outcome to the regularizing influence of noise on the training dynamics. Our empirical analysis shows that NTP-trained models exhibit enhanced generalization and robustness across various benchmark reasoning datasets, demonstrating greater resilience to perturbations and achieving flatter loss minima. These findings illuminate that NTP is instrumental in fostering reasoning abilities during pretraining, whereas CTP is more effective for finetuning, thereby enriching our comprehension of optimal training strategies in LLM development.

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 22 of its 67 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Feb 2025.

Builds on

22 of 67 references.

References · 22

  1. 2024Training Large Language Models to Reason in a Continuous Latent Spacecited by 763
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10 more
  1. 2024Initialization is Critical to Whether Transformers Fit Composite Functions by Reasoning or Memorizingcited by 15
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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 1.

3 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Fast Quiet-STaR: Thinking Without Thought Tokens
  2. 2024Critical Tokens Matter: Token-Level Contrastive Estimation Enhances LLM's Reasoning Capability
  3. 2026Beyond Tokens: Concept-Level Training Objectives for LLMs
  4. 2026AdaMTP: An Adaptive Training Paradigm for Multi-Token Prediction
  5. 2025Alternatives To Next Token Prediction In Text Generation -- A Survey
  6. 2025LLM Post-Training: A Deep Dive into Reasoning Large Language Models
  7. 2025Cautious Next Token Prediction
  8. 2025On multi-token prediction for efficient LLM inference