mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

As Confidence Aligns: Exploring the Effect of AI Confidence on Human Self-confidence in Human-AI Decision Making

arXiv 2501.12868 ↗First posted 22 Jan 2025cs.HC cs.AIcited by 19

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Abstract (arXiv)

Complementary collaboration between humans and AI is essential for human-AI decision making. One feasible approach to achieving it involves accounting for the calibrated confidence levels of both AI and users. However, this process would likely be made more difficult by the fact that AI confidence may influence users' self-confidence and its calibration. To explore these dynamics, we conducted a randomized behavioral experiment. Our results indicate that in human-AI decision-making, users' self-confidence aligns with AI confidence and such alignment can persist even after AI ceases to be involved. This alignment then affects users' self-confidence calibration. We also found the presence of real-time correctness feedback of decisions reduced the degree of alignment. These findings suggest that users' self-confidence is not independent of AI confidence, which practitioners aiming to achieve better human-AI collaboration need to be aware of. We call for research focusing on the alignment of human cognition and behavior with AI.

Key facts. Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 77 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 Jan 2025.

Builds on

16 of 77 references.

References · 16

  1. 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,396
  2. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
  3. 2020Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performancecited by 399
  4. 2020Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 281
  5. 2020Evaluating Explainable AI: Which Algorithmic Explanations Help Users Predict Model Behavior?cited by 190
  6. 2021Expanding Explainability: Towards Social Transparency in AI systemscited by 124
  7. 2021To Trust or to Think: Cognitive Forcing Functions Can Reduce Overreliance on AI in AI-assisted Decision-makingcited by 118
  8. 2021Be Confident! Towards Trustworthy Graph Neural Networks via Confidence Calibrationcited by 92
  9. 2021AI in Finance: Challenges, Techniques and Opportunitiescited by 81
  10. 2023Understanding the Role of Human Intuition on Reliance in Human-AI Decision-Making with Explanationscited by 73
  11. 2022Human-AI Collaboration via Conditional Delegation: A Case Study of Content Moderationcited by 67
  12. 2023Who Should I Trust: AI or Myself? Leveraging Human and AI Correctness Likelihood to Promote Appropriate Trust in AI-Assisted Decision-Makingcited by 67
4 more
  1. 2024"Are You Really Sure?" Understanding the Effects of Human Self-Confidence Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 26
  2. 2019A Human-Grounded Evaluation of SHAP for Alert Processingcited by 23
  3. 2021Uncertainty Quantification 360: A Holistic Toolkit for Quantifying and Communicating the Uncertainty of AIcited by 22
  4. 2024Does More Advice Help? The Effects of Second Opinions in AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 14

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 6; 2026: 13.

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  1. 2025ConfTuner: Training Large Language Models to Express Their Confidence Verballycited by 39
  2. 2025Conformal Linguistic Calibration: Trading-off between Factuality and Specificitycited by 20
  3. 2025Exploring the Effects of Chatbot Anthropomorphism and Human Empathy on Human Prosocial Behavior Toward Chatbotscited by 3
  4. 2026AI-exhibited Personality Traits Can Shape Human Self-concept through Conversationscited by 3
  5. 2025Psychological and behavioural responses in human-agent vs. human-human interactions: a systematic review and meta-analysiscited by 2
  6. 2025Exploring the Impact of Explainable AI and Cognitive Capabilities on Users' Decisionscited by 1
  7. 2026More Isn't Always Better: Balancing Decision Accuracy and Conformity Pressures in Multi-AI Advicecited by 1
  8. 2026Constructive Alignment: Governing Preference Dynamics in Human-AI Interactioncited by 1
  9. 2025"Is This Really a Human Peer Supporter?": Misalignments Between Peer Supporters and Experts in LLM-Supported Interactionscited by 0
  10. 2026Is Length Really A Liability? An Evaluation of Multi-turn LLM Conversations using BoolQcited by 0
  11. 2026When Life Gives You AI, Will You Turn It Into A Market for Lemons? Understanding How Information Asymmetries About AI System Capabilities Affect Market Outcomes and Adoptioncited by 0
  12. 2026Density-Informed Pseudo-Counts for Calibrated Evidential Deep Learningcited by 0
7 more
  1. 2026Not All Trust is the Same: Effects of Decision Workflow and Explanations in Human-AI Decision Makingcited by 0
  2. 2026Beyond the Steeper Curve: AI-Mediated Metacognitive Decoupling and the Limits of the Dunning-Kruger Metaphorcited by 0
  3. 2026Trust the AI, Doubt Yourself: The Effect of Urgency on Self-Confidence in Human-AI Interactioncited by 0
  4. 2026Identifying High-Confidence Social Biases in LLMs for Trustworthy Conversational Tutoring Agentscited by 0
  5. 2026Human-AI Coordination Zones: A Framework for Designing Human-in-the-Loop Experiences with Agentic AIcited by 0
  6. 2026Human-AI Teaming Through the Lens of Calibrationcited by 0
  7. 2026Novice Reliance Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Making: The Role of Explanations and Self-Assessmentcited by 0