CryptoMamba: Leveraging State Space Models for Accurate Bitcoin Price Prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
Predicting Bitcoin price remains a challenging problem due to the high volatility and complex non-linear dynamics of cryptocurrency markets. Traditional time-series models, such as ARIMA and GARCH, and recurrent neural networks, like LSTMs, have been widely applied to this task but struggle to capture the regime shifts and long-range dependencies inherent in the data. In this work, we propose CryptoMamba, a novel Mamba-based State Space Model (SSM) architecture designed to effectively capture long-range dependencies in financial time-series data. Our experiments show that CryptoMamba not only provides more accurate predictions but also offers enhanced generalizability across different market conditions, surpassing the limitations of previous models. Coupled with trading algorithms for real-world scenarios, CryptoMamba demonstrates its practical utility by translating accurate forecasts into financial outcomes. Our findings signal a huge advantage for SSMs in stock and cryptocurrency price forecasting tasks.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 30 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Jan 2025.
Builds on
13 of 30 references.
References · 13
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
- 2014Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimizationcited by 36,960
- 2023Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spacescited by 4,616
- 2021Efficiently Modeling Long Sequences with Structured State Spacescited by 2,424
- 2024Transformers are SSMs: Generalized Models and Efficient Algorithms Through Structured State Space Dualitycited by 1,283
- 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 906
- 2019Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecastingcited by 748
- 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 744
- 2021Combining Recurrent, Convolutional, and Continuous-time Models with Linear State-Space Layerscited by 607
- 2024Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 110
- 2018Anticipating cryptocurrency prices using machine learningcited by 9
- 2024Serpent: Scalable and Efficient Image Restoration via Multi-scale Structured State Space Modelscited by 7
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
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- 2024Deep State Space Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting
- 2023Deep State-Space Model for Predicting Cryptocurrency Price
- 2026PRICE: A Systematic Study of LLM Adaptation Choices for Bitcoin Price Forecasting
- 2024Mamba Meets Financial Markets: A Graph-Mamba Approach for Stock Price Prediction
- 2026Deep Learning for Financial Time Series: A Large-Scale Benchmark of Risk-Adjusted Performance
- 2025LLM-Powered Multi-Agent System for Automated Crypto Portfolio Management
- 2024Bi-Mamba+: Bidirectional Mamba for Time Series Forecasting
- 2026PredictionMarketBench: A SWE-bench-Style Framework for Backtesting Trading Agents on Prediction Markets