Anticipating cryptocurrency prices using machine learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal profits. We analyse daily data for 1,681 cryptocurrencies for the period between Nov. 2015 and Apr. 2018. We show that simple trading strategies assisted by state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms outperform standard benchmarks. Our results show that nontrivial, but ultimately simple, algorithmic mechanisms can help anticipate the short-term evolution of the cryptocurrency market.
Key facts. Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 22 May 2018.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 1; 2023: 1; 2024: 1; 2025: 2; 2026: 2.
9 papers.
- 2023Artificial Intelligence for Web 3.0: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 4
- 2025Ethereum Price Prediction Employing Large Language Models for Short-term and Few-shot Forecastingcited by 2
- 2021Financial Vision Based Differential Privacy Applicationscited by 1
- 2022Forecasting Cryptocurrency Returns from Sentiment Signals: An Analysis of BERT Classifiers and Weak Supervisioncited by 1
- 2024Machine Learning on Blockchain Data: A Systematic Mapping Studycited by 1
- 2025CryptoMamba: Leveraging State Space Models for Accurate Bitcoin Price Predictioncited by 1
- 2026Machine Learning-Based Bitcoin Trading Under Transaction Costs: Evidence From Walk-Forward Forecastingcited by 1
- 2021RCURRENCY: Live Digital Asset Trading Using a Recurrent Neural Network-based Forecasting Systemcited by 0
- 2026Predictive Extrema, Unprofitable Policies: An AI-Assisted Audit of Candle-Based Binance Spot Timing Modelscited by 0
- 2026Predictive Extrema, Unprofitable Policies: An AI-Assisted Audit of Candle-Based Binance Spot Timing Models21 Jul 2026
- 2026Machine Learning-Based Bitcoin Trading Under Transaction Costs: Evidence From Walk-Forward Forecasting19 May 2026
- 2025Ethereum Price Prediction Employing Large Language Models for Short-term and Few-shot Forecasting29 Mar 2025
- 2025CryptoMamba: Leveraging State Space Models for Accurate Bitcoin Price Prediction2 Jan 2025
- 2024Machine Learning on Blockchain Data: A Systematic Mapping Study25 Mar 2024
- 2023Artificial Intelligence for Web 3.0: A Comprehensive Survey17 Aug 2023
- 2022Forecasting Cryptocurrency Returns from Sentiment Signals: An Analysis of BERT Classifiers and Weak Supervision6 Apr 2022
- 2021Financial Vision Based Differential Privacy Applications28 Dec 2021
- 2021RCURRENCY: Live Digital Asset Trading Using a Recurrent Neural Network-based Forecasting System13 Jun 2021