MoFE: A Novel Mixture-of-Experts Framework with Fourier Neural Operators for Cryptocurrency Forecasting
On the map: Mixture-of-experts → MoE for time series and graphs
Abstract (arXiv)
Forecasting cryptocurrency prices remains a formidable challenge due to inherent non-stationarity, abrupt regime shifts, and multi-scale stochastic dependencies. Conventional deep learning models often struggle to capture complex underlying dynamics, frequently resulting in persistent phase-lagged predictions. To address these limitations, we propose MoFE, a novel deep learning framework that integrates Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) within a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture. Rooted in the theoretical framework of stochastic differential equations, MoFE conceptualizes cryptocurrency volatility as a superposition of multi-frequency components, which includes user network based fundamental growth, mining costs and halving mechanism caused seasonal volatility, and market sentiment-induced chaos. Specifically, specialized adaptive FNO (AFNO) and Convolution dual-domain experts learn continuous function-to-function mappings to encapsulate global spectral trends, cyclical adjustments and microstructures, while a dynamic gating based MoE mechanism enables adaptive strategy switching across diverse market regimes. Extensive experiments on Bitcoin datasets spanning January 2020 to December 2025 demonstrate that MoFE achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in both T+1 and T+5 forecasting horizons. Notably, the model effectively mitigates the phase-lag effect, delivering superior Directional Accuracy (DA) and Information Coefficient (IC). In high-fidelity simulated trading environments, these predictive gains transfer into significant excess returns and robust risk-adjusted performance, characterized by a high Sharpe ratio.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in MoE for time series and graphs, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts. Builds on 11 of its 34 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Aug 2026.
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- 2021Expert Aggregation for Financial Forecastingcited by 3
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- 2025Fourier Basis Mapping: A Time-Frequency Learning Framework for Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
- 2025Adaptive Temporal Fusion Transformers for Cryptocurrency Price Predictioncited by 1
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