Hypothesis Testing the Circuit Hypothesis in LLMs
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large language models (LLMs) demonstrate surprising capabilities, but we do not understand how they are implemented. One hypothesis suggests that these capabilities are primarily executed by small subnetworks within the LLM, known as circuits. But how can we evaluate this hypothesis? In this paper, we formalize a set of criteria that a circuit is hypothesized to meet and develop a suite of hypothesis tests to evaluate how well circuits satisfy them. The criteria focus on the extent to which the LLM's behavior is preserved, the degree of localization of this behavior, and whether the circuit is minimal. We apply these tests to six circuits described in the research literature. We find that synthetic circuits -- circuits that are hard-coded in the model -- align with the idealized properties. Circuits discovered in Transformer models satisfy the criteria to varying degrees. To facilitate future empirical studies of circuits, we created the textitcircuitry package, a wrapper around the textitTransformerLens library, which abstracts away lower-level manipulations of hooks and activations. The software is available at urlhttps://github.com/blei-lab/circuitry.
Key facts. Cited by 29 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 24 of its 37 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Oct 2024.
Builds on
24 of 37 references.
References · 24
- 2017Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learningcited by 1,400
- 2022Interpretability in the Wild: a Circuit for Indirect Object Identification in GPT-2 smallcited by 1,130
- 2022In-context Learning and Induction Headscited by 930
- 2023Progress measures for grokking via mechanistic interpretabilitycited by 822
- 2023Towards Automated Circuit Discovery for Mechanistic Interpretabilitycited by 700
- 2020Towards Faithfully Interpretable NLP Systems: How should we define and evaluate faithfulness?cited by 590
- 2021Causal Abstractions of Neural Networkscited by 401
- 2023Towards Best Practices of Activation Patching in Language Models: Metrics and Methodscited by 328
- 2023Does Localization Inform Editing? Surprising Differences in Causality-Based Localization vs. Knowledge Editing in Language Modelscited by 237
- 2023How does GPT-2 compute greater-than?: Interpreting mathematical abilities in a pre-trained language modelcited by 199
- 2023Finding Alignments Between Interpretable Causal Variables and Distributed Neural Representationscited by 197
- 2023Attribution Patching Outperforms Automated Circuit Discoverycited by 196
12 more
- 2021Thinking Like Transformerscited by 182
- 2020Compositional Explanations of Neuronscited by 172
- 2023The Clock and the Pizza: Two Stories in Mechanistic Explanation of Neural Networkscited by 153
- 2023Does Circuit Analysis Interpretability Scale? Evidence from Multiple Choice Capabilities in Chinchillacited by 145
- 2023Tracr: Compiled Transformers as a Laboratory for Interpretabilitycited by 99
- 2023Learning Transformer Programscited by 40
- 2023Understanding Addition in Transformerscited by 34
- 2023FIND: A Function Description Benchmark for Evaluating Interpretability Methodscited by 32
- 2023Grokking Group Multiplication with Cosetscited by 22
- 2023Red Teaming Deep Neural Networks with Feature Synthesis Toolscited by 21
- 2023Look Before You Leap: A Universal Emergent Decomposition of Retrieval Tasks in Language Modelscited by 17
- 2023ALMANACS: A Simulatability Benchmark for Language Model Explainabilitycited by 11
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 14; 2026: 14.
29 papers.
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- 2025MIB: A Mechanistic Interpretability Benchmarkcited by 49
- 2025How Do LLMs Perform Two-Hop Reasoning in Context?cited by 20
- 2025Mechanistic Interpretability as Statistical Estimation: A Variance Analysiscited by 14
- 2025Are formal and functional linguistic mechanisms dissociated in language models?cited by 11
- 2025Interpretation Meets Safety: A Survey on Interpretation Methods and Tools for Improving LLM Safetycited by 10
- 2025The Dead Salmons of AI Interpretabilitycited by 10
- 2026Formal Mechanistic Interpretability: Automated Circuit Discovery with Provable Guaranteescited by 10
- 2026The Curse of Multiple Mediators: Hidden Interaction Effects in Activation Patchingcited by 9
- 2025Can LLMs Lie? Investigation beyond Hallucinationcited by 7
- 2025A Mathematical Philosophy of Explanations in Mechanistic Interpretability -- The Strange Science Part I.icited by 6
- 2025Circuit Stability Characterizes Language Model Generalizationcited by 6
- 2025Addressing divergent representations from causal interventions on neural networkscited by 6
17 more
- 2025Evaluating Explanations: An Explanatory Virtues Framework for Mechanistic Interpretability -- The Strange Science Part I.iicited by 2
- 2026How Much Do Circuits Tell Us? Measuring the Consistency and Specificity of Language Model Circuitscited by 2
- 2026Make Mechanistic Interpretability Auditable: A Call to Develop Guidelines via Continuous Collaborative Reviewingcited by 2
- 2026When Attribution Patching Lies: Diagnosis and a Second-Order Correctioncited by 2
- 2026Certified Interventional Fidelity: Anytime-Valid, Adaptive Evaluation of Causal Claims in Mechanistic Interpretabilitycited by 2
- 2026Circuit Claims Depend on What Is Extracted and How It Is Comparedcited by 2
- 2024Identifying Sub-networks in Neural Networks via Functionally Similar Representationscited by 0
- 2025Direct Preference Optimization for Adaptive Concept-based Explanationscited by 0
- 2025Concept Concentration for Faithful Representation Interventioncited by 0
- 2025Circuit Distillationcited by 0
- 2026Comparing Explanations is Not Enough, Explain the Change: New Standards are Needed to Explain Behavioral Shifts in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Mechanistically Interpreting Compression in Vision-Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026How Modular Is a Frontier Mixture-of-Experts? A Pre-registered Causal Test in Which Apparent Expert Modularity Mostly Dissolvescited by 0
- 2026Position: Reasoning is a Learnable Rule-Based Processcited by 0
- 2026RACE: Scalable Statistical Estimation of Functional Consistency in LLM Neuronscited by 0
- 2026Rethinking Circuit Evaluation: Do Circuits Explain Model Errors?cited by 0
- 2026Are We Recovering Mechanisms? Objective-Level Recovery Gaps in Mechanistic Interpretabilitycited by 0
- 2026Are We Recovering Mechanisms? Objective-Level Recovery Gaps in Mechanistic Interpretability1 Oct 2026
- 2026Rethinking Circuit Evaluation: Do Circuits Explain Model Errors?28 Sep 2026
- 2026RACE: Scalable Statistical Estimation of Functional Consistency in LLM Neurons25 Aug 2026
- 2026Circuit Claims Depend on What Is Extracted and How It Is Compared21 Jul 2026
- 2026Certified Interventional Fidelity: Anytime-Valid, Adaptive Evaluation of Causal Claims in Mechanistic Interpretability9 Jul 2026
- 2026The Curse of Multiple Mediators: Hidden Interaction Effects in Activation Patching25 Jun 2026
- 2026How Modular Is a Frontier Mixture-of-Experts? A Pre-registered Causal Test in Which Apparent Expert Modularity Mostly Dissolves23 Jun 2026
- 2026When Attribution Patching Lies: Diagnosis and a Second-Order Correction5 Jun 2026
- 2026Position: Reasoning is a Learnable Rule-Based Process29 May 2026
- 2026How Much Do Circuits Tell Us? Measuring the Consistency and Specificity of Language Model Circuits8 May 2026
- 2026Make Mechanistic Interpretability Auditable: A Call to Develop Guidelines via Continuous Collaborative Reviewing24 Apr 2026
- 2026Mechanistically Interpreting Compression in Vision-Language Models26 Mar 2026
17 more
- 2026Formal Mechanistic Interpretability: Automated Circuit Discovery with Provable Guarantees18 Feb 2026
- 2026Comparing Explanations is Not Enough, Explain the Change: New Standards are Needed to Explain Behavioral Shifts in Large Language Models2 Feb 2026
- 2025The Dead Salmons of AI Interpretability21 Dec 2025
- 2025Addressing divergent representations from causal interventions on neural networks6 Nov 2025
- 2025Mechanistic Interpretability as Statistical Estimation: A Variance Analysis1 Oct 2025
- 2025Circuit Distillation29 Sep 2025
- 2025Can LLMs Lie? Investigation beyond Hallucination3 Sep 2025
- 2025Interpretation Meets Safety: A Survey on Interpretation Methods and Tools for Improving LLM Safety5 Jun 2025
- 2025Circuit Stability Characterizes Language Model Generalization30 May 2025
- 2025Concept Concentration for Faithful Representation Intervention24 May 2025
- 2025Direct Preference Optimization for Adaptive Concept-based Explanations21 May 2025
- 2025Evaluating Explanations: An Explanatory Virtues Framework for Mechanistic Interpretability -- The Strange Science Part I.ii2 May 2025
- 2025A Mathematical Philosophy of Explanations in Mechanistic Interpretability -- The Strange Science Part I.i1 May 2025
- 2025MIB: A Mechanistic Interpretability Benchmark17 Apr 2025
- 2025Are formal and functional linguistic mechanisms dissociated in language models?14 Mar 2025
- 2025How Do LLMs Perform Two-Hop Reasoning in Context?19 Feb 2025
- 2024Identifying Sub-networks in Neural Networks via Functionally Similar Representations21 Oct 2024
- 2025How Do LLMs Perform Two-Hop Reasoning in Context?cited by 20
- 2025How Do LLMs Perform Two-Hop Reasoning in Context?19 Feb 2025
- 2025MIB: A Mechanistic Interpretability Benchmarkcited by 49
- 2025Mechanistic Interpretability as Statistical Estimation: A Variance Analysiscited by 14
- 2025Are formal and functional linguistic mechanisms dissociated in language models?cited by 11
- 2025The Dead Salmons of AI Interpretabilitycited by 10
- 2026Formal Mechanistic Interpretability: Automated Circuit Discovery with Provable Guaranteescited by 10
- 2026The Curse of Multiple Mediators: Hidden Interaction Effects in Activation Patchingcited by 9
- 2025Can LLMs Lie? Investigation beyond Hallucinationcited by 7
- 2025A Mathematical Philosophy of Explanations in Mechanistic Interpretability -- The Strange Science Part I.icited by 6
- 2025Circuit Stability Characterizes Language Model Generalizationcited by 6
- 2025Addressing divergent representations from causal interventions on neural networkscited by 6
- 2025Evaluating Explanations: An Explanatory Virtues Framework for Mechanistic Interpretability -- The Strange Science Part I.iicited by 2
- 2026How Much Do Circuits Tell Us? Measuring the Consistency and Specificity of Language Model Circuitscited by 2
12 most cited of 22 All 22 (JSON)
- 2026Are We Recovering Mechanisms? Objective-Level Recovery Gaps in Mechanistic Interpretability1 Oct 2026
- 2026Rethinking Circuit Evaluation: Do Circuits Explain Model Errors?28 Sep 2026
- 2026RACE: Scalable Statistical Estimation of Functional Consistency in LLM Neurons25 Aug 2026
- 2026Circuit Claims Depend on What Is Extracted and How It Is Compared21 Jul 2026
- 2026Certified Interventional Fidelity: Anytime-Valid, Adaptive Evaluation of Causal Claims in Mechanistic Interpretability9 Jul 2026
- 2026The Curse of Multiple Mediators: Hidden Interaction Effects in Activation Patching25 Jun 2026
- 2026When Attribution Patching Lies: Diagnosis and a Second-Order Correction5 Jun 2026
- 2026Position: Reasoning is a Learnable Rule-Based Process29 May 2026
- 2026How Much Do Circuits Tell Us? Measuring the Consistency and Specificity of Language Model Circuits8 May 2026
- 2026Make Mechanistic Interpretability Auditable: A Call to Develop Guidelines via Continuous Collaborative Reviewing24 Apr 2026
- 2026Formal Mechanistic Interpretability: Automated Circuit Discovery with Provable Guarantees18 Feb 2026
- 2025The Dead Salmons of AI Interpretability21 Dec 2025
12 newest of 22 All 22 (JSON)