Is Score Matching Suitable for Estimating Point Processes?
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Score matching estimators have gained widespread attention in recent years partly because they are free from calculating the integral of normalizing constant, thereby addressing the computational challenges in maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Some existing works have proposed score matching estimators for point processes. However, this work demonstrates that the incompleteness of the estimators proposed in those works renders them applicable only to specific problems, and they fail for more general point processes. To address this issue, this work introduces the weighted score matching estimator to point processes. Theoretically, we prove the consistency of our estimator and establish its rate of convergence. Experimental results indicate that our estimator accurately estimates model parameters on synthetic data and yields results consistent with MLE on real data. In contrast, existing score matching estimators fail to perform effectively. Codes are publicly available at urlhttps://github.com/KenCao2007/WSMTPP.
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 7 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Oct 2024.
Builds on
7 of 28 references.
References · 7
- 2020Transformer Hawkes Processcited by 230
- 2015SEISMIC: A Self-Exciting Point Process Model for Predicting Tweet Popularitycited by 76
- 2022HYPRO: A Hybridly Normalized Probabilistic Model for Long-Horizon Prediction of Event Sequencescited by 57
- 2019Estimating Density Models with Truncation Boundaries using Score Matchingcited by 20
- 2020Autoregressive Score Matchingcited by 15
- 2023Integration-free Training for Spatio-temporal Multimodal Covariate Deep Kernel Point Processescited by 8
- 2023SMURF-THP: Score Matching-based UnceRtainty quantiFication for Transformer Hawkes Processcited by 7
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 3.
5 papers.
- 2025Proper scoring rules for estimation and forecast evaluationcited by 18
- 2025Advances in Temporal Point Processes: Bayesian, Neural, and LLM Approachescited by 2
- 2026Score-Based Change-Point Detection and Region Localization for Spatio-Temporal Point Processescited by 1
- 2026Efficient Temporal Point Processes via Monotone Alternating Splinescited by 0
- 2026Model-Based Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Multi-Robot Task Assignment Under Distribution Shiftscited by 0
- 2026Model-Based Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Multi-Robot Task Assignment Under Distribution Shifts21 Aug 2026
- 2026Efficient Temporal Point Processes via Monotone Alternating Splines2 Jul 2026
- 2026Score-Based Change-Point Detection and Region Localization for Spatio-Temporal Point Processes4 Feb 2026
- 2025Proper scoring rules for estimation and forecast evaluation2 Apr 2025
- 2025Advances in Temporal Point Processes: Bayesian, Neural, and LLM Approaches24 Jan 2025