Delving Deep into Engagement Prediction of Short Videos
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Abstract (arXiv)
Understanding and modeling the popularity of User Generated Content (UGC) short videos on social media platforms presents a critical challenge with broad implications for content creators and recommendation systems. This study delves deep into the intricacies of predicting engagement for newly published videos with limited user interactions. Surprisingly, our findings reveal that Mean Opinion Scores from previous video quality assessment datasets do not strongly correlate with video engagement levels. To address this, we introduce a substantial dataset comprising 90,000 real-world UGC short videos from Snapchat. Rather than relying on view count, average watch time, or rate of likes, we propose two metrics: normalized average watch percentage (NAWP) and engagement continuation rate (ECR) to describe the engagement levels of short videos. Comprehensive multi-modal features, including visual content, background music, and text data, are investigated to enhance engagement prediction. With the proposed dataset and two key metrics, our method demonstrates its ability to predict engagements of short videos purely from video content.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 40 of its 63 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Sep 2024.
Builds on
40 of 63 references.
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 2; 2026: 2.
4 papers.
- 2025VQualA 2025 Challenge on Engagement Prediction for Short Videos: Methods and Resultscited by 6
- 2025Engagement Prediction of Short Videos with Large Multimodal Modelscited by 4
- 2026Bounded-Compute Multimodal Regression for Product-Rating Predictioncited by 1
- 2026DREAMS: A Social Exchange Theory-Informed Modeling of Misinformation Engagement on Social Mediacited by 0
- 2026Bounded-Compute Multimodal Regression for Product-Rating Prediction26 May 2026
- 2026DREAMS: A Social Exchange Theory-Informed Modeling of Misinformation Engagement on Social Media2 Feb 2026
- 2025VQualA 2025 Challenge on Engagement Prediction for Short Videos: Methods and Results3 Sep 2025
- 2025Engagement Prediction of Short Videos with Large Multimodal Models4 Aug 2025