Trust the Model Where It Trusts Itself -- Model-Based Actor-Critic with Uncertainty-Aware Rollout Adaption
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Abstract (arXiv)
Dyna-style model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) combines model-free agents with predictive transition models through model-based rollouts. This combination raises a critical question: 'When to trust your model?'; i.e., which rollout length results in the model providing useful data? Janner et al. (2019) address this question by gradually increasing rollout lengths throughout the training. While theoretically tempting, uniform model accuracy is a fallacy that collapses at the latest when extrapolating. Instead, we propose asking the question 'Where to trust your model?'. Using inherent model uncertainty to consider local accuracy, we obtain the Model-Based Actor-Critic with Uncertainty-Aware Rollout Adaption (MACURA) algorithm. We propose an easy-to-tune rollout mechanism and demonstrate substantial improvements in data efficiency and performance compared to state-of-the-art deep MBRL methods on the MuJoCo benchmark.
Key facts. Cited by 17 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 43 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 May 2024.
Builds on
43 of 57 references.
References · 43
- 2017Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithmscited by 14,441
- 2018Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Maximum Entropy Deep Reinforcement Learning with a Stochastic Actorcited by 4,635
- 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
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- 2018Model-Ensemble Trust-Region Policy Optimizationcited by 214
- 2018Sample-Efficient Reinforcement Learning with Stochastic Ensemble Value Expansioncited by 167
- 2018Model-Based Value Estimation for Efficient Model-Free Reinforcement Learningcited by 152
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- 2020Bidirectional Model-based Policy Optimizationcited by 38
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- 2021Model Predictive Actor-Critic: Accelerating Robot Skill Acquisition with Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 25
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- 2023Model-Based Uncertainty in Value Functionscited by 15
- 2022When to Update Your Model: Constrained Model-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 14
- 2021On Effective Scheduling of Model-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 13
- 2021On-Policy Model Errors in Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2024Optimistic Model Rollouts for Pessimistic Offline Policy Optimizationcited by 6
- 2019Uncertainty-aware Model-based Policy Optimizationcited by 5
- 2023Data-efficient Deep Reinforcement Learning for Vehicle Trajectory Controlcited by 4
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- 2023Model-Based Epistemic Variance of Values for Risk-Aware Policy Optimizationcited by 3
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12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2026All Models are Wrong, Knowing Where is Useful: On Model Uncertainty in Reinforcement Learning31 May 2026
- 2026Robust Shielding for Safe Reinforcement Learning29 May 2026
- 2026ELVIS: Ensemble-Calibrated Latent Imagination for Long-Horizon Visual MPC6 May 2026
- 2026Learning to Race in Minutes: Infoprop Dyna on the Mini Wheelbot1 May 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Predictive Safety Filters for Probabilistic Neural Network Dynamics29 Apr 2026
- 2026Dyna-Style Safety Augmented Reinforcement Learning: Staying Safe in the Face of Uncertainty28 Apr 2026
- 2026Biased Dreams: Limitations to Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification in Latent Dynamics Models28 Apr 2026
- 2026Soft MPCritic: Amortized Model Predictive Value Iteration1 Apr 2026
- 2026A Pontryagin Method of Model-based Reinforcement Learning via Hamiltonian Actor-Critic30 Mar 2026
- 2025Double Horizon Model-Based Policy Optimization17 Dec 2025
- 2025A Forensic Analysis of Synthetic Data in RL: Diagnosing and Solving Algorithmic Failures in Model-Based Policy Optimization1 Oct 2025
- 2025Sample-Efficient Reinforcement Learning of Koopman eNMPC24 Mar 2025
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)