PhyloLM : Inferring the Phylogeny of Large Language Models and Predicting their Performances in Benchmarks
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Abstract (arXiv)
This paper introduces PhyloLM, a method adapting phylogenetic algorithms to Large Language Models (LLMs) to explore whether and how they relate to each other and to predict their performance characteristics. Our method calculates a phylogenetic distance metric based on the similarity of LLMs' output. The resulting metric is then used to construct dendrograms, which satisfactorily capture known relationships across a set of 111 open-source and 45 closed models. Furthermore, our phylogenetic distance predicts performance in standard benchmarks, thus demonstrating its functional validity and paving the way for a time and cost-effective estimation of LLM capabilities. To sum up, by translating population genetic concepts to machine learning, we propose and validate a tool to evaluate LLM development, relationships and capabilities, even in the absence of transparent training information.
Key facts. Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Apr 2024.
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16 of 41 references.
References · 16
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 5; 2026: 9.
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- 2025We Should Chart an Atlas of All the World's Modelscited by 25
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- 2024From Text to Life: On the Reciprocal Relationship between Artificial Life and Large Language Modelscited by 8
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- 2026Retrospective Distillation Attribution via Normalized Response Similarity26 Sep 2026
- 2026TokenPrint: A Calibrated Token-Space Fingerprint for Language-Model Provenance8 Aug 2026
- 2026Which Models Are Our Models Built On? Auditing Invisible Dependencies in Modern LLMs10 Jun 2026
- 2026Post-Training Recipe, More Than Model Family, Shapes Multi-Agent LLM Conversational Behavior30 May 2026
- 2026Analysis and Explainability of LLMs Via Evolutionary Methods27 Apr 2026
- 2026ABLE: Representing and Mapping LLMs via Attribution-Based Large-model Embedding20 Apr 2026
- 2026Language Model Maps for Prompt-Response Distributions via Log-Likelihood Vectors19 Mar 2026
- 2026Language Statistics and False Belief Reasoning: Evidence from 41 Open-Weight LMs17 Feb 2026
- 2026Discovering Hidden Gems in Model Repositories29 Jan 2026
- 2025LLM DNA: Tracing Model Evolution via Functional Representations29 Sep 2025
- 2025Toward a Theory of Generalizability in LLM Mechanistic Interpretability Research26 Sep 2025
- 2025Likelihood Variance as Text Importance for Resampling Texts to Map Language Models21 May 2025
6 more
- 2025We Should Chart an Atlas of All the World's Models13 Mar 2025
- 2025Independence Tests for Language Models17 Feb 2025
- 2024LogProber: Disentangling confidence from contamination in LLM responses26 Aug 2024
- 2024No Such Thing as a General Learner: Language models and their dual optimization18 Aug 2024
- 2024Shared Imagination: LLMs Hallucinate Alike23 Jul 2024
- 2024From Text to Life: On the Reciprocal Relationship between Artificial Life and Large Language Models14 Jun 2024
- 2025We Should Chart an Atlas of All the World's Modelscited by 25
- 2025LLM DNA: Tracing Model Evolution via Functional Representationscited by 15
- 2025Independence Tests for Language Modelscited by 10
- 2024From Text to Life: On the Reciprocal Relationship between Artificial Life and Large Language Modelscited by 8
- 2024Shared Imagination: LLMs Hallucinate Alikecited by 5
- 2025Toward a Theory of Generalizability in LLM Mechanistic Interpretability Researchcited by 4
- 2024LogProber: Disentangling confidence from contamination in LLM responsescited by 3
- 2025Likelihood Variance as Text Importance for Resampling Texts to Map Language Modelscited by 3
- 2024No Such Thing as a General Learner: Language models and their dual optimizationcited by 1
- 2026Which Models Are Our Models Built On? Auditing Invisible Dependencies in Modern LLMscited by 1
- 2026TokenPrint: A Calibrated Token-Space Fingerprint for Language-Model Provenancecited by 1
- 2026Discovering Hidden Gems in Model Repositoriescited by 0
12 most cited of 16 All 16 (JSON)
- 2026Retrospective Distillation Attribution via Normalized Response Similarity26 Sep 2026
- 2026TokenPrint: A Calibrated Token-Space Fingerprint for Language-Model Provenance8 Aug 2026
- 2026Which Models Are Our Models Built On? Auditing Invisible Dependencies in Modern LLMs10 Jun 2026
- 2026Analysis and Explainability of LLMs Via Evolutionary Methods27 Apr 2026
- 2026ABLE: Representing and Mapping LLMs via Attribution-Based Large-model Embedding20 Apr 2026
- 2026Language Model Maps for Prompt-Response Distributions via Log-Likelihood Vectors19 Mar 2026
- 2026Discovering Hidden Gems in Model Repositories29 Jan 2026
- 2025LLM DNA: Tracing Model Evolution via Functional Representations29 Sep 2025
- 2025Toward a Theory of Generalizability in LLM Mechanistic Interpretability Research26 Sep 2025
- 2025Likelihood Variance as Text Importance for Resampling Texts to Map Language Models21 May 2025
- 2025We Should Chart an Atlas of All the World's Models13 Mar 2025
- 2025Independence Tests for Language Models17 Feb 2025
12 newest of 16 All 16 (JSON)