Regression-aware Inference with LLMs
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong results on a range of applications, including regression and scoring tasks. Typically, one obtains outputs from an LLM via autoregressive sampling from the model's output distribution. We show that this inference strategy can be sub-optimal for common regression and scoring evaluation metrics. As a remedy, we build on prior work on Minimum Bayes Risk decoding, and propose alternate inference strategies that estimate the Bayes-optimal solution for regression and scoring metrics in closed-form from sampled responses. We show that our proposal significantly improves over baselines across datasets and models.
Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 34 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Mar 2024.
Builds on
17 of 34 references.
References · 17
- 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,601
- 2021Finetuned Language Models Are Zero-Shot Learnerscited by 3,747
- 2017TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehensioncited by 2,895
- 2018Hierarchical Neural Story Generationcited by 1,182
- 2017SemEval-2017 Task 1: Semantic Textual Similarity - Multilingual and Cross-lingual Focused Evaluationcited by 998
- 2023Large Language Modelscited by 774
- 2022Large Language Models with Controllable Working Memorycited by 169
- 2020Is MAP Decoding All You Need? The Inadequacy of the Mode in Neural Machine Translationcited by 137
- 2023Goat: Fine-tuned LLaMA Outperforms GPT-4 on Arithmetic Taskscited by 84
- 2023GPT Can Solve Mathematical Problems Without a Calculatorcited by 68
- 2023Epsilon Sampling Rocks: Investigating Sampling Strategies for Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding for Machine Translationcited by 57
- 2022Follow the Wisdom of the Crowd: Effective Text Generation via Minimum Bayes Risk Decodingcited by 54
5 more
- 2023It's MBR All the Way Down: Modern Generation Techniques Through the Lens of Minimum Bayes Riskcited by 49
- 2023Faster Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding with Confidence-based Pruningcited by 34
- 2023MBR and QE Finetuning: Training-time Distillation of the Best and Most Expensive Decoding Methodscited by 33
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 6; 2026: 7.
13 papers.
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- 2025Decoding-based Regressioncited by 11
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Decoding with Minimum Bayes Riskcited by 10
- 2025Quantile Regression with Large Language Models for Price Predictioncited by 9
- 2026VERTIGO: Visual Preference Optimization for Cinematic Camera Trajectory Generationcited by 3
- 2026NumericJev: Jev-like LLM Numerical Decoding with Multiway Decision Treescited by 3
- 2025Rethinking the Capability of Fine-Tuned Language Models for Automated Vulnerability Repaircited by 2
- 2026Task-Awareness Improves LLM Generations and Uncertaintycited by 2
- 2025Beyond Token-level Supervision: Unlocking the Potential of Decoding-based Regression via Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2026REAL: Regression-Aware Reinforcement Learning for LLM-as-a-Judgecited by 1
- 2026RELISH: LLM REgression with a Latent Iterative State Headcited by 1
- 2026Reinforcement Learning over Predictive Distributions for LLM Regressioncited by 1
- 2025KidsArtBench: Multi-Dimensional Children's Art Evaluation with Attribute-Aware MLLMscited by 0
1 more
- 2026NumericJev: Jev-like LLM Numerical Decoding with Multiway Decision Trees23 Sep 2026
- 2026Reinforcement Learning over Predictive Distributions for LLM Regression20 May 2026
- 2026Task-Aware Calibration: Provably Optimal Decoding in LLMs11 May 2026
- 2026VERTIGO: Visual Preference Optimization for Cinematic Camera Trajectory Generation2 Apr 2026
- 2026RELISH: LLM REgression with a Latent Iterative State Head1 Apr 2026
- 2026REAL: Regression-Aware Reinforcement Learning for LLM-as-a-Judge17 Mar 2026
- 2026Task-Awareness Improves LLM Generations and Uncertainty29 Jan 2026
- 2025Rethinking the Capability of Fine-Tuned Language Models for Automated Vulnerability Repair27 Dec 2025
- 2025KidsArtBench: Multi-Dimensional Children's Art Evaluation with Attribute-Aware MLLMs14 Dec 2025
- 2025Beyond Token-level Supervision: Unlocking the Potential of Decoding-based Regression via Reinforcement Learning6 Dec 2025
- 2025Quantile Regression with Large Language Models for Price Prediction7 Jun 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Decoding with Minimum Bayes Risk7 Mar 2025
1 more
- 2025Decoding-based Regression31 Jan 2025
- 2025Decoding-based Regressioncited by 11
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Decoding with Minimum Bayes Riskcited by 10
- 2025Quantile Regression with Large Language Models for Price Predictioncited by 9
- 2026VERTIGO: Visual Preference Optimization for Cinematic Camera Trajectory Generationcited by 3
- 2026NumericJev: Jev-like LLM Numerical Decoding with Multiway Decision Treescited by 3
- 2026Task-Awareness Improves LLM Generations and Uncertaintycited by 2
- 2025Beyond Token-level Supervision: Unlocking the Potential of Decoding-based Regression via Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2026REAL: Regression-Aware Reinforcement Learning for LLM-as-a-Judgecited by 1
- 2026RELISH: LLM REgression with a Latent Iterative State Headcited by 1
- 2026Reinforcement Learning over Predictive Distributions for LLM Regressioncited by 1
- 2026Task-Aware Calibration: Provably Optimal Decoding in LLMscited by 0
- 2026NumericJev: Jev-like LLM Numerical Decoding with Multiway Decision Trees23 Sep 2026
- 2026Reinforcement Learning over Predictive Distributions for LLM Regression20 May 2026
- 2026Task-Aware Calibration: Provably Optimal Decoding in LLMs11 May 2026
- 2026VERTIGO: Visual Preference Optimization for Cinematic Camera Trajectory Generation2 Apr 2026
- 2026RELISH: LLM REgression with a Latent Iterative State Head1 Apr 2026
- 2026REAL: Regression-Aware Reinforcement Learning for LLM-as-a-Judge17 Mar 2026
- 2026Task-Awareness Improves LLM Generations and Uncertainty29 Jan 2026
- 2025Beyond Token-level Supervision: Unlocking the Potential of Decoding-based Regression via Reinforcement Learning6 Dec 2025
- 2025Quantile Regression with Large Language Models for Price Prediction7 Jun 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Decoding with Minimum Bayes Risk7 Mar 2025
- 2025Decoding-based Regression31 Jan 2025