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A Dynamical View of the Question of Why

arXiv 2402.10240 ↗First posted 14 Feb 2024cs.LG cs.AI cs.SYcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We address causal reasoning in multivariate time series data generated by stochastic processes. Existing approaches are largely restricted to static settings, ignoring the continuity and emission of variations across time. In contrast, we propose a learning paradigm that directly establishes causation between events in the course of time. We present two key lemmas to compute causal contributions and frame them as reinforcement learning problems. Our approach offers formal and computational tools for uncovering and quantifying causal relationships in diffusion processes, subsuming various important settings such as discrete-time Markov decision processes. Finally, in fairly intricate experiments and through sheer learning, our framework reveals and quantifies causal links, which otherwise seem inexplicable.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Feb 2024.

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References · 15

  1. 2015Prioritized Experience Replaycited by 1,070
  2. 2017A Distributional Perspective on Reinforcement Learningcited by 743
  3. 2019Causal Discovery from Heterogeneous/Nonstationary Data with Independent Changescited by 166
  4. 2013Probabilities of Causation: Bounds and Identificationcited by 89
  5. 2017Invariant Causal Prediction for Sequential Datacited by 63
  6. 2015A Modification of the Halpern-Pearl Definition of Causalitycited by 47
  7. 2014From Ordinary Differential Equations to Structural Causal Models: the deterministic casecited by 41
  8. 2021Causes of Effects: Learning individual responses from population datacited by 36
  9. 2020Causal models for dynamical systemscited by 34
  10. 2016From Deterministic ODEs to Dynamic Structural Causal Modelscited by 32
  11. 2021Causal Sufficiency and Actual Causationcited by 29
  12. 2021Medical Dead-ends and Learning to Identify High-risk States and Treatmentscited by 28
3 more
  1. 2018Causal Modeling of Dynamical Systemscited by 24
  2. 2022Semi-Markov Offline Reinforcement Learning for Healthcarecited by 18
  3. 2023Systematic Rectification of Language Models via Dead-end Analysiscited by 16

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  1. 2025Causal Time Series Generation via Diffusion Models
  2. 2026An Introduction to Causal Reinforcement Learning
  3. 2026From Causal Discovery to Dynamic Causal Inference in Neural Time Series
  4. 2023Causal Modeling with Stationary Diffusions
  5. 2026Non-parametric recovery of causal diffusion mechanisms from steady-state observations
  6. 2022Causal Explanations for Sequential Decision Making Under Uncertainty
  7. 2026CausalGDP: Causality-Guided Diffusion Policies for Reinforcement Learning
  8. 2023Emergence and Causality in Complex Systems: A Survey on Causal Emergence and Related Quantitative Studies