Had enough of experts? Quantitative knowledge retrieval from large language models
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large language models (LLMs) have been extensively studied for their abilities to generate convincing natural language sequences, however their utility for quantitative information retrieval is less well understood. Here we explore the feasibility of LLMs as a mechanism for quantitative knowledge retrieval to aid two data analysis tasks: elicitation of prior distributions for Bayesian models and imputation of missing data. We introduce a framework that leverages LLMs to enhance Bayesian workflows by eliciting expert-like prior knowledge and imputing missing data. Tested on diverse datasets, this approach can improve predictive accuracy and reduce data requirements, offering significant potential in healthcare, environmental science and engineering applications. We discuss the implications and challenges of treating LLMs as 'experts'.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 35 of its 74 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Feb 2024.
Builds on
35 of 74 references.
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23 more
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 2; 2026: 1.
4 papers.
- 2024AutoElicit: Using Large Language Models for Expert Prior Elicitation in Predictive Modellingcited by 15
- 2025Extracting Probabilistic Knowledge from Large Language Models for Bayesian Network Parameterizationcited by 15
- 2025OpenEstimate: Evaluating LLMs on Reasoning Under Uncertainty with Real-World Datacited by 3
- 2026Generative Priors Conditioned on Natural Language for Bayesian Inversion in PDEscited by 0
- 2026Generative Priors Conditioned on Natural Language for Bayesian Inversion in PDEs26 Sep 2026
- 2025OpenEstimate: Evaluating LLMs on Reasoning Under Uncertainty with Real-World Data16 Oct 2025
- 2025Extracting Probabilistic Knowledge from Large Language Models for Bayesian Network Parameterization21 May 2025
- 2024AutoElicit: Using Large Language Models for Expert Prior Elicitation in Predictive Modelling26 Nov 2024