Zero-shot Causal Graph Extrapolation from Text via LLMs
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Abstract (arXiv)
We evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to infer causal relations from natural language. Compared to traditional natural language processing and deep learning techniques, LLMs show competitive performance in a benchmark of pairwise relations without needing (explicit) training samples. This motivates us to extend our approach to extrapolating causal graphs through iterated pairwise queries. We perform a preliminary analysis on a benchmark of biomedical abstracts with ground-truth causal graphs validated by experts. The results are promising and support the adoption of LLMs for such a crucial step in causal inference, especially in medical domains, where the amount of scientific text to analyse might be huge, and the causal statements are often implicit.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 15 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 Dec 2023.
Builds on
9 of 15 references.
References · 9
- 2020A Survey on Knowledge Graphs: Representation, Acquisition and Applicationscited by 643
- 2021Prompt Programming for Large Language Models: Beyond the Few-Shot Paradigmcited by 599
- 2017Deep Learning for Medical Image Analysiscited by 399
- 2023Can Large Language Models Infer Causation from Correlation?cited by 142
- 2017Comparative Study of CNN and RNN for Natural Language Processingcited by 81
- 2020A Survey on Text Classification: From Shallow to Deep Learningcited by 80
- 2023Large Language Models and Knowledge Graphs: Opportunities and Challengescited by 71
- 2023Understanding Causality with Large Language Models: Feasibility and Opportunitiescited by 53
- 2023Approximating Counterfactual Bounds while Fusing Observational, Biased and Randomised Data Sourcescited by 9
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 4; 2026: 7.
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- 2024ALCM: Autonomous LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery Frameworkcited by 29
- 2024Large Language Models and Causal Inference in Collaboration: A Surveycited by 26
- 2024Causality for Large Language Modelscited by 24
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Datacited by 18
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 17
- 2025Structure-Augmented Reasoning Generationcited by 2
- 2025Score-informed Neural Operator for Enhancing Ordering-based Causal Discoverycited by 2
- 2025StructSynth: Dependency Graphs as Generation Plans for Low-Data Tabular Synthesis with Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Designing Computational Tools for Exploring Causal Relationships in Qualitative Datacited by 0
- 2026iTAG: Inverse Design for Natural Text Generation with Accurate Causal Graph Annotationscited by 0
- 2026InsightFlow: LLM-Driven Synthesis of Patient Narratives for Mental Health into Causal Modelscited by 0
- 2026ORCA: An End-to-End Interactive Copilot for Optimized Root Cause Analysiscited by 0
- 2026DKCD: Domain Knowledge-Enhanced Causal Discovery from Unstructured Data10 Jul 2026
- 2026CausalSteward: An Agentic Divide-Conquer-Combine Copilot for Causal Discovery2 Jul 2026
- 2026ORCA: An End-to-End Interactive Copilot for Optimized Root Cause Analysis26 May 2026
- 2026Implicit Causal Graph Construction in Text via Chain Discovery20 Apr 2026
- 2026InsightFlow: LLM-Driven Synthesis of Patient Narratives for Mental Health into Causal Models14 Apr 2026
- 2026iTAG: Inverse Design for Natural Text Generation with Accurate Causal Graph Annotations8 Apr 2026
- 2026Designing Computational Tools for Exploring Causal Relationships in Qualitative Data6 Feb 2026
- 2025Score-informed Neural Operator for Enhancing Ordering-based Causal Discovery18 Aug 2025
- 2025StructSynth: Dependency Graphs as Generation Plans for Low-Data Tabular Synthesis with Language Models4 Aug 2025
- 2025Structure-Augmented Reasoning Generation10 Jun 2025
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Models6 Mar 2025
- 2024Causality for Large Language Models20 Oct 2024
- 2024ALCM: Autonomous LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery Frameworkcited by 29
- 2025Structure-Augmented Reasoning Generationcited by 2
- 2025Structure-Augmented Reasoning Generation10 Jun 2025
- 2024ALCM: Autonomous LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery Framework2 May 2024
- 2024Large Language Models and Causal Inference in Collaboration: A Surveycited by 26
- 2024Causality for Large Language Modelscited by 24
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Datacited by 18
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 17
- 2025Score-informed Neural Operator for Enhancing Ordering-based Causal Discoverycited by 2
- 2025StructSynth: Dependency Graphs as Generation Plans for Low-Data Tabular Synthesis with Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Designing Computational Tools for Exploring Causal Relationships in Qualitative Datacited by 0
- 2026iTAG: Inverse Design for Natural Text Generation with Accurate Causal Graph Annotationscited by 0
- 2026InsightFlow: LLM-Driven Synthesis of Patient Narratives for Mental Health into Causal Modelscited by 0
- 2026ORCA: An End-to-End Interactive Copilot for Optimized Root Cause Analysiscited by 0
- 2026Implicit Causal Graph Construction in Text via Chain Discoverycited by 0
- 2026DKCD: Domain Knowledge-Enhanced Causal Discovery from Unstructured Datacited by 0
- 2026DKCD: Domain Knowledge-Enhanced Causal Discovery from Unstructured Data10 Jul 2026
- 2026ORCA: An End-to-End Interactive Copilot for Optimized Root Cause Analysis26 May 2026
- 2026Implicit Causal Graph Construction in Text via Chain Discovery20 Apr 2026
- 2026InsightFlow: LLM-Driven Synthesis of Patient Narratives for Mental Health into Causal Models14 Apr 2026
- 2026iTAG: Inverse Design for Natural Text Generation with Accurate Causal Graph Annotations8 Apr 2026
- 2026Designing Computational Tools for Exploring Causal Relationships in Qualitative Data6 Feb 2026
- 2025Score-informed Neural Operator for Enhancing Ordering-based Causal Discovery18 Aug 2025
- 2025StructSynth: Dependency Graphs as Generation Plans for Low-Data Tabular Synthesis with Language Models4 Aug 2025
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Models6 Mar 2025
- 2024Causality for Large Language Models20 Oct 2024
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Data9 Jul 2024
- 2024Large Language Models and Causal Inference in Collaboration: A Survey14 Mar 2024