Confidence Estimation Using Unlabeled Data
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this paper, we propose the first confidence estimation method for a semi-supervised setting, when most training labels are unavailable. We stipulate that even with limited training labels, we can still reasonably approximate the confidence of model on unlabeled samples by inspecting the prediction consistency through the training process. We use training consistency as a surrogate function and propose a consistency ranking loss for confidence estimation. On both image classification and segmentation tasks, our method achieves state-of-the-art performances in confidence estimation. Furthermore, we show the benefit of the proposed method through a downstream active learning task. The code is available at https://github.com/TopoXLab/consistency-ranking-loss
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 30 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Jul 2023.
Builds on
30 of 45 references.
References · 30
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18 more
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 2; 2025: 4; 2026: 1.
8 papers.
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- 2025MetaSSL: A General Heterogeneous Loss for Semi-Supervised Medical Image Segmentationcited by 6
- 2024Spatial Diffusion for Cell Layout Generationcited by 5
- 2025MATCH: Multi-faceted Adaptive Topo-Consistency for Semi-Supervised Histopathology Segmentationcited by 3
- 2026ORCE: Order-Aware Alignment of Verbalized Confidence in Large Language Modelscited by 3
- 2025Uncertainty Estimation for Pretrained Medical Image Registration Models via Transformation Equivariancecited by 1
- 2024Learning Topological Representations for Deep Image Understandingcited by 0
- 2025Multi-Channel Uncertainty-Weighted Score Matching for Conditional Diffusion in Medical UDAcited by 0
- 2026ORCE: Order-Aware Alignment of Verbalized Confidence in Large Language Models12 May 2026
- 2025MATCH: Multi-faceted Adaptive Topo-Consistency for Semi-Supervised Histopathology Segmentation2 Oct 2025
- 2025Uncertainty Estimation for Pretrained Medical Image Registration Models via Transformation Equivariance27 Sep 2025
- 2025Multi-Channel Uncertainty-Weighted Score Matching for Conditional Diffusion in Medical UDA26 Sep 2025
- 2025MetaSSL: A General Heterogeneous Loss for Semi-Supervised Medical Image Segmentation1 Sep 2025
- 2024Spatial Diffusion for Cell Layout Generation4 Sep 2024
- 2024Learning Topological Representations for Deep Image Understanding22 Mar 2024
- 2023Calibrating Uncertainty for Semi-Supervised Crowd Counting19 Aug 2023