Partial Identification of Causal Effects Using Proxy Variables
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Abstract (arXiv)
Proximal causal inference is a framework for evaluating the causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. For point identification, it leverages a pair of proxy variables to identify a bridge function that matches the dependence of potential outcomes or treatment variables on the hidden factors to corresponding functions of observed proxies. Unique identification requires that proxies are sufficiently relevant for hidden factors, a requirement that has previously been formalized as a completeness condition. However, completeness is not empirically testable, and although a bridge function may be well-defined in a given setting, lack of completeness, sometimes manifested by availability of a single type of proxy, may severely limit prospects for identification of a bridge function and thus a causal effect; therefore, potentially restricting the application of the framework. In this paper, we propose partial identification methods that do not require completeness and obviate the need for identification of a bridge function. We establish that proxies can be leveraged to obtain bounds on the causal effect even if available information does not suffice to identify either a bridge function or a corresponding causal effect of interest. Our bounds are non-smooth functionals of the underlying distribution. For inference, we employ LogSumExp approximations that yield smooth lower and upper bounds, and we derive the efficient influence functions of the resulting bound functionals which enable analytic variance estimation, while bootstrap confidence intervals remain available for regular plug-in implementations. We further establish analogous results in related settings where identification hinges upon hidden mediators for which proxies are available, however such proxies are not sufficiently rich for point identification of a bridge function or a corresponding causal effect of interest.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 19 of its 35 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Apr 2023.
Builds on
19 of 35 references.
References · 19
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7 more
- 2023Covariate-assisted bounds on causal effects with instrumental variablescited by 10
- 2019A Universal Approximation Result for Difference of log-sum-exp Neural Networkscited by 9
- 2021Causal Inference with Hidden Mediatorscited by 6
- 2022Double Negative Control Inference in Test-Negative Design Studies of Vaccine Effectivenesscited by 5
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 2; 2024: 1; 2025: 1; 2026: 3.
7 papers.
- 2023Causal Reinforcement Learning: A Surveycited by 22
- 2023Causal Discovery via Conditional Independence Testing with Proxy Variablescited by 3
- 2024Predictive Performance Comparison of Decision Policies Under Confoundingcited by 2
- 2026Information-Theoretic Causal Bounds under Unmeasured Confoundingcited by 2
- 2025Detecting clinician implicit biases in diagnoses using proximal causal inferencecited by 1
- 2026Computational Identifiabilitycited by 1
- 2026Point-Identification of a Robust Predictor Under Latent Shift with Imperfect Proxiescited by 0
- 2026Computational Identifiability8 Jun 2026
- 2026Point-Identification of a Robust Predictor Under Latent Shift with Imperfect Proxies16 Mar 2026
- 2026Information-Theoretic Causal Bounds under Unmeasured Confounding23 Jan 2026
- 2025Detecting clinician implicit biases in diagnoses using proximal causal inference27 Jan 2025
- 2024Predictive Performance Comparison of Decision Policies Under Confounding1 Apr 2024
- 2023Causal Reinforcement Learning: A Survey4 Jul 2023
- 2023Causal Discovery via Conditional Independence Testing with Proxy Variables9 May 2023