Quantitative AI Risk Assessments: Opportunities and Challenges
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Abstract (arXiv)
Although AI systems are increasingly being leveraged to provide value to organizations, individuals, and society, significant attendant risks have been identified and have manifested. These risks have led to proposed regulations, litigation, and general societal concerns. As with any promising technology, organizations want to benefit from the positive capabilities of AI technology while reducing the risks. The best way to reduce risks is to implement comprehensive AI lifecycle governance where policies and procedures are described and enforced during the design, development, deployment, and monitoring of an AI system. Although support for comprehensive governance is beginning to emerge, organizations often need to identify the risks of deploying an already-built model without knowledge of how it was constructed or access to its original developers. Such an assessment will quantitatively assess the risks of an existing model in a manner analogous to how a home inspector might assess the risks of an already-built home or a physician might assess overall patient health based on a battery of tests. Several AI risks can be quantified using metrics from the technical community. However, there are numerous issues in deciding how these metrics can be leveraged to create a quantitative AI risk assessment. This paper explores these issues, focusing on the opportunities, challenges, and potential impacts of such an approach, and discussing how it might influence AI regulations.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 110 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Sep 2022.
Builds on
25 of 110 references.
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13 more
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 3; 2024: 1.
4 papers.
- 2023Model Reporting for Certifiable AI: A Proposal from Merging EU Regulation into AI Developmentcited by 6
- 2023Selecting Models based on the Risk of Damage Caused by Adversarial Attackscited by 1
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- 2023Selecting Models based on the Risk of Damage Caused by Adversarial Attacks28 Jan 2023