When can I Speak? Predicting initiation points for spoken dialogue agents
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Abstract (arXiv)
Current spoken dialogue systems initiate their turns after a long period of silence (700-1000ms), which leads to little real-time feedback, sluggish responses, and an overall stilted conversational flow. Humans typically respond within 200ms and successfully predicting initiation points in advance would allow spoken dialogue agents to do the same. In this work, we predict the lead-time to initiation using prosodic features from a pre-trained speech representation model (wav2vec 1.0) operating on user audio and word features from a pre-trained language model (GPT-2) operating on incremental transcriptions. To evaluate errors, we propose two metrics w.r.t. predicted and true lead times. We train and evaluate the models on the Switchboard Corpus and find that our method outperforms features from prior work on both metrics and vastly outperforms the common approach of waiting for 700ms of silence.
Key facts. Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 5 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Aug 2022.
Builds on
5 of 29 references.
References · 5
- 2020What is More Likely to Happen Next? Video-and-Language Future Event Predictioncited by 62
- 2020TurnGPT: a Transformer-based Language Model for Predicting Turn-taking in Spoken Dialogcited by 56
- 2018Investigating Speech Features for Continuous Turn-Taking Prediction Using LSTMscited by 16
- 2017Scalable Joint Models for Reliable Uncertainty-Aware Event Predictioncited by 13
- 2017Yeah, Right, Uh-Huh: A Deep Learning Backchannel Predictorcited by 12
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 0; 2025: 6; 2026: 2.
9 papers.
- 2025Talking Turns: Benchmarking Audio Foundation Models on Turn-Taking Dynamicscited by 47
- 2025Visual Cues Enhance Predictive Turn-Taking for Two-Party Human Interactioncited by 8
- 2025EgoSpeak: Learning When to Speak for Egocentric Conversational Agents in the Wildcited by 7
- 2025Speculative End-Turn Detector for Efficient Speech Chatbot Assistantcited by 6
- 2025Visual Cues Support Robust Turn-taking Prediction in Noisecited by 3
- 2023Adaptive Endpointing with Deep Contextual Multi-armed Banditscited by 1
- 2025Enabling Conversational Behavior Reasoning Capabilities in Full-Duplex Speechcited by 1
- 2026The Role of Prosodic and Lexical Cues in Turn-Taking with Self-Supervised Speech Representationscited by 1
- 2026S-MARC: Causal Streaming Reasoning for Full-Duplex Conversational Behavior Modelingcited by 0
- 2026S-MARC: Causal Streaming Reasoning for Full-Duplex Conversational Behavior Modeling11 Feb 2026
- 2026The Role of Prosodic and Lexical Cues in Turn-Taking with Self-Supervised Speech Representations20 Jan 2026
- 2025Enabling Conversational Behavior Reasoning Capabilities in Full-Duplex Speech25 Dec 2025
- 2025Visual Cues Support Robust Turn-taking Prediction in Noise28 May 2025
- 2025Visual Cues Enhance Predictive Turn-Taking for Two-Party Human Interaction27 May 2025
- 2025Speculative End-Turn Detector for Efficient Speech Chatbot Assistant30 Mar 2025
- 2025Talking Turns: Benchmarking Audio Foundation Models on Turn-Taking Dynamics3 Mar 2025
- 2025EgoSpeak: Learning When to Speak for Egocentric Conversational Agents in the Wild17 Feb 2025
- 2023Adaptive Endpointing with Deep Contextual Multi-armed Bandits23 Mar 2023
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026SayNext-Bench: Why Do LLMs Struggle with Next-Utterance Anticipation?
- 2026TiCo: Time-Controllable Spoken Dialogue Model
- 2026Do Audio LLMs Listen Before They Act? Diagnosing Acoustic-Context Gating in Voice Agents
- 2025From What to Respond to When to Respond: Timely Response Generation for Open-domain Dialogue Agents
- 2026When2Speak: A Dataset for Temporal Participation and Turn-Taking in Multi-Party Conversations for Large Language Models
- 2025Audio MultiChallenge: A Multi-Turn Evaluation of Spoken Dialogue Systems on Natural Human Interaction
- 2026Speak or Stay Silent: Context-Aware Turn-Taking in Multi-Party Dialogue
- 2026When Does a Spoken Agent Have Enough Evidence to Act? The PACT-SLM Contract Test