Multi-scale Attention Flow for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
The probability prediction of multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging but practical task. On the one hand, the challenge is how to effectively capture the cross-series correlations between interacting time series, to achieve accurate distribution modeling. On the other hand, we should consider how to capture the contextual information within time series more accurately to model multivariate temporal dynamics of time series. In this work, we proposed a novel non-autoregressive deep learning model, called Multi-scale Attention Normalizing Flow(MANF), where we integrate multi-scale attention and relative position information and the multivariate data distribution is represented by the conditioned normalizing flow. Additionally, compared with autoregressive modeling methods, our model avoids the influence of cumulative error and does not increase the time complexity. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our model achieves state-of-the-art performance on many popular multivariate datasets.
Key facts. Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 36 of its 71 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 May 2022.
Builds on
36 of 71 references.
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 3; 2023: 3; 2024: 5; 2025: 6; 2026: 2.
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- 2022Detecting Multivariate Time Series Anomalies with Zero Known Labelcited by 21
- 2023Label-Free Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detectioncited by 14
- 2022W-Transformers : A Wavelet-based Transformer Framework for Univariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 12
- 2023Hierarchical Skeleton Meta-Prototype Contrastive Learning with Hard Skeleton Mining for Unsupervised Person Re-Identificationcited by 9
- 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecastingcited by 9
- 2025K2VAE: A Koopman-Kalman Enhanced Variational AutoEncoder for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 8
- 2024Modeling Temporal Dependencies within the Target for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 6
- 2024Physics-Informed Real NVP for Satellite Power System Fault Detectioncited by 4
- 2024ContextFlow++: Generalist-Specialist Flow-based Generative Models with Mixed-Variable Context Encodingcited by 3
- 2024UmambaTSF: A U-shaped Multi-Scale Long-Term Time Series Forecasting Method Using Mambacited by 3
- 2025MSDformer: Multi-scale Discrete Transformer For Time Series Generationcited by 3
- 2025Beyond All-to-All: Causal-Aligned Transformer with Dynamic Structure Learning for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
7 more
- 2022Knowledge-based Deep Learning for Modeling Chaotic Systemscited by 0
- 2023Probabilistic Learning of Multivariate Time Series with Temporal Irregularitycited by 0
- 2024MGCP: A Multi-Grained Correlation based Prediction Network for Multivariate Time Seriescited by 0
- 2025Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systemscited by 0
- 2025GluMind: Multimodal Parallel Attention and Knowledge Retention for Robust Cross-Population Blood Glucose Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026Beyond Static Uncertainty: Modeling Temporal Uncertainty Dynamics for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026ProbRes: Volatility Learning for Probabilistic Time-Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026ProbRes: Volatility Learning for Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting1 Jun 2026
- 2026Beyond Static Uncertainty: Modeling Temporal Uncertainty Dynamics for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting25 Mar 2026
- 2025GluMind: Multimodal Parallel Attention and Knowledge Retention for Robust Cross-Population Blood Glucose Forecasting22 Sep 2025
- 2025K2VAE: A Koopman-Kalman Enhanced Variational AutoEncoder for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting29 May 2025
- 2025Beyond All-to-All: Causal-Aligned Transformer with Dynamic Structure Learning for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting22 May 2025
- 2025MSDformer: Multi-scale Discrete Transformer For Time Series Generation20 May 2025
- 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecasting28 Apr 2025
- 2025Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systems8 Jan 2025
- 2024UmambaTSF: A U-shaped Multi-Scale Long-Term Time Series Forecasting Method Using Mamba15 Oct 2024
- 2024Modeling Temporal Dependencies within the Target for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting7 Jun 2024
- 2024ContextFlow++: Generalist-Specialist Flow-based Generative Models with Mixed-Variable Context Encoding2 Jun 2024
- 2024MGCP: A Multi-Grained Correlation based Prediction Network for Multivariate Time Series30 May 2024
7 more
- 2024Physics-Informed Real NVP for Satellite Power System Fault Detection27 May 2024
- 2023Label-Free Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection17 Dec 2023
- 2023Hierarchical Skeleton Meta-Prototype Contrastive Learning with Hard Skeleton Mining for Unsupervised Person Re-Identification24 Jul 2023
- 2023Probabilistic Learning of Multivariate Time Series with Temporal Irregularity15 Jun 2023
- 2022Knowledge-based Deep Learning for Modeling Chaotic Systems9 Sep 2022
- 2022W-Transformers : A Wavelet-based Transformer Framework for Univariate Time Series Forecasting8 Sep 2022
- 2022Detecting Multivariate Time Series Anomalies with Zero Known Label3 Aug 2022
- 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecastingcited by 9
- 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecasting28 Apr 2025
- 2022Detecting Multivariate Time Series Anomalies with Zero Known Labelcited by 21
- 2023Label-Free Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detectioncited by 14
- 2022W-Transformers : A Wavelet-based Transformer Framework for Univariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 12
- 2023Hierarchical Skeleton Meta-Prototype Contrastive Learning with Hard Skeleton Mining for Unsupervised Person Re-Identificationcited by 9
- 2025K2VAE: A Koopman-Kalman Enhanced Variational AutoEncoder for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 8
- 2024Modeling Temporal Dependencies within the Target for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 6
- 2024Physics-Informed Real NVP for Satellite Power System Fault Detectioncited by 4
- 2024ContextFlow++: Generalist-Specialist Flow-based Generative Models with Mixed-Variable Context Encodingcited by 3
- 2025MSDformer: Multi-scale Discrete Transformer For Time Series Generationcited by 3
- 2025Beyond All-to-All: Causal-Aligned Transformer with Dynamic Structure Learning for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
- 2022Knowledge-based Deep Learning for Modeling Chaotic Systemscited by 0
- 2023Probabilistic Learning of Multivariate Time Series with Temporal Irregularitycited by 0
12 most cited of 17 All 17 (JSON)
- 2026ProbRes: Volatility Learning for Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting1 Jun 2026
- 2026Beyond Static Uncertainty: Modeling Temporal Uncertainty Dynamics for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting25 Mar 2026
- 2025GluMind: Multimodal Parallel Attention and Knowledge Retention for Robust Cross-Population Blood Glucose Forecasting22 Sep 2025
- 2025K2VAE: A Koopman-Kalman Enhanced Variational AutoEncoder for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting29 May 2025
- 2025Beyond All-to-All: Causal-Aligned Transformer with Dynamic Structure Learning for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting22 May 2025
- 2025MSDformer: Multi-scale Discrete Transformer For Time Series Generation20 May 2025
- 2025Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systems8 Jan 2025
- 2024Modeling Temporal Dependencies within the Target for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting7 Jun 2024
- 2024ContextFlow++: Generalist-Specialist Flow-based Generative Models with Mixed-Variable Context Encoding2 Jun 2024
- 2024MGCP: A Multi-Grained Correlation based Prediction Network for Multivariate Time Series30 May 2024
- 2024Physics-Informed Real NVP for Satellite Power System Fault Detection27 May 2024
- 2023Label-Free Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection17 Dec 2023
12 newest of 17 All 17 (JSON)