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Causal inference with imperfect instrumental variables

arXiv 2111.03029 ↗First posted 4 Nov 2021stat.ML cs.LG quant-phcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Instrumental variables allow for quantification of cause and effect relationships even in the absence of interventions. To achieve this, a number of causal assumptions must be met, the most important of which is the independence assumption, which states that the instrument and any confounding factor must be independent. However, if this independence condition is not met, can we still work with imperfect instrumental variables? Imperfect instruments can manifest themselves by violations of the instrumental inequalities that constrain the set of correlations in the scenario. In this paper, we establish a quantitative relationship between such violations of instrumental inequalities and the minimal amount of measurement dependence required to explain them. As a result, we provide adapted inequalities that are valid in the presence of a relaxed measurement dependence assumption in the instrumental scenario. This allows for the adaptation of existing and new lower bounds on the average causal effect for instrumental scenarios with binary outcomes. Finally, we discuss our findings in the context of quantum mechanics.

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References · 13

  1. 2021Convex optimizationcited by 2,515
  2. 2013On the Testability of Causal Models with Latent and Instrumental Variablescited by 26
  3. 2013Instrumentality Tests Revisitedcited by 8
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  5. 2016On falsification of the binary instrumental variable modelcited by 5
  6. 2014Beyond Bell's Theorem II: Scenarios with arbitrary causal structurecited by 4
  7. 2019Quantum Inflation: A General Approach to Quantum Causal Compatibilitycited by 4
  8. 2014A unifying framework for relaxations of the causal assumptions in Bell's theoremcited by 3
  9. 2017Identification of Treatment Effects under Conditional Partial Independencecited by 3
  10. 2020Quantifying causal influences in the presence of a quantum common causecited by 2
  11. 2021A convergent inflation hierarchy for quantum causal structurescited by 2
  12. 2020Assessing Sensitivity to Unconfoundedness: Estimation and Inferencecited by 1
1 more
  1. 2021Causal Networks and Freedom of Choice in Bell's Theoremcited by 1

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