Can Explanations Be Useful for Calibrating Black Box Models?
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Abstract (arXiv)
NLP practitioners often want to take existing trained models and apply them to data from new domains. While fine-tuning or few-shot learning can be used to adapt a base model, there is no single recipe for making these techniques work; moreover, one may not have access to the original model weights if it is deployed as a black box. We study how to improve a black box model's performance on a new domain by leveraging explanations of the model's behavior. Our approach first extracts a set of features combining human intuition about the task with model attributions generated by black box interpretation techniques, then uses a simple calibrator, in the form of a classifier, to predict whether the base model was correct or not. We experiment with our method on two tasks, extractive question answering and natural language inference, covering adaptation from several pairs of domains with limited target-domain data. The experimental results across all the domain pairs show that explanations are useful for calibrating these models, boosting accuracy when predictions do not have to be returned on every example. We further show that the calibration model transfers to some extent between tasks.
Key facts. Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 26 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Oct 2021.
Builds on
26 of 41 references.
References · 26
- 2019RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approachcited by 13,372
- 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,555
- 2016"Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifiercited by 5,070
- 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
- 2018GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understandingcited by 4,899
- 2016SQuAD: 100,000+ Questions for Machine Comprehension of Textcited by 4,148
- 2018HotpotQA: A Dataset for Diverse, Explainable Multi-hop Question Answeringcited by 3,754
- 2017Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networkscited by 3,384
- 2017TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehensioncited by 2,955
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- 2019Right for the Wrong Reasons: Diagnosing Syntactic Heuristics in Natural Language Inferencecited by 876
14 more
- 2017Adversarial Examples for Evaluating Reading Comprehension Systemscited by 571
- 2017Regularizing Neural Networks by Penalizing Confident Output Distributionscited by 464
- 2020Calibration of Pre-trained Transformerscited by 315
- 2020Selective Question Answering under Domain Shiftcited by 238
- 2020Evaluating Explainable AI: Which Algorithmic Explanations Help Users Predict Model Behavior?cited by 190
- 2019MRQA 2019 Shared Task: Evaluating Generalization in Reading Comprehensioncited by 184
- 2020Compositional Explanations of Neuronscited by 172
- 2020Neural Unsupervised Domain Adaptation in NLP---A Surveycited by 144
- 2019MultiQA: An Empirical Investigation of Generalization and Transfer in Reading Comprehensioncited by 60
- 2018Do Explanations make VQA Models more Predictable to a Human?cited by 52
- 2019Understanding Dataset Design Choices for Multi-hop Reasoningcited by 50
- 2021Knowing More About Questions Can Help: Improving Calibration in Question Answeringcited by 47
- 2020Multi-Source Domain Adaptation for Text Classification via DistanceNet-Banditscited by 30
- 2021Connecting Attributions and QA Model Behavior on Realistic Counterfactualscited by 20
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 8; 2023: 6; 2024: 5; 2025: 1.
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- 2022Prompting GPT-3 To Be Reliablecited by 260
- 2022The Unreliability of Explanations in Few-shot Prompting for Textual Reasoningcited by 169
- 2023Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensemblingcited by 114
- 2023Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanationscited by 85
- 2024Uncertainty Estimation and Quantification for LLMs: A Simple Supervised Approachcited by 76
- 2022A Close Look into the Calibration of Pre-trained Language Modelscited by 57
- 2024Usable XAI: 10 Strategies Towards Exploiting Explainability in the LLM Eracited by 46
- 2024Position: Towards Bidirectional Human-AI Alignmentcited by 18
- 2024Self-eXplainable AI for Medical Image Analysis: A Survey and New Outlookscited by 18
- 2023CATfOOD: Counterfactual Augmented Training for Improving Out-of-Domain Performance and Calibrationcited by 17
- 2024A Survey of Calibration Process for Black-Box LLMscited by 8
- 2022Calibration Meets Explanation: A Simple and Effective Approach for Model Confidence Estimatescited by 7
8 more
- 2022ER-Test: Evaluating Explanation Regularization Methods for Language Modelscited by 6
- 2022Assessing Out-of-Domain Language Model Performance from Few Examplescited by 6
- 2023Efficient Shapley Values Estimation by Amortization for Text Classificationcited by 4
- 2023Towards Faithful Explanations for Text Classification with Robustness Improvement and Explanation Guided Trainingcited by 4
- 2025Shapley Uncertainty in Natural Language Generationcited by 2
- 2022Contrastive Novelty-Augmented Learning: Anticipating Outliers with Large Language Modelscited by 1
- 2022Re-Examining Calibration: The Case of Question Answeringcited by 0
- 2023Streamlining models with explanations in the learning loopcited by 0
- 2025Shapley Uncertainty in Natural Language Generation29 Jul 2025
- 2024A Survey of Calibration Process for Black-Box LLMs17 Dec 2024
- 2024Self-eXplainable AI for Medical Image Analysis: A Survey and New Outlooks3 Oct 2024
- 2024Position: Towards Bidirectional Human-AI Alignment13 Jun 2024
- 2024Uncertainty Estimation and Quantification for LLMs: A Simple Supervised Approach24 Apr 2024
- 2024Usable XAI: 10 Strategies Towards Exploiting Explainability in the LLM Era13 Mar 2024
- 2023Towards Faithful Explanations for Text Classification with Robustness Improvement and Explanation Guided Training29 Dec 2023
- 2023Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling15 Nov 2023
- 2023CATfOOD: Counterfactual Augmented Training for Improving Out-of-Domain Performance and Calibration14 Sep 2023
- 2023Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanations17 Jul 2023
- 2023Efficient Shapley Values Estimation by Amortization for Text Classification31 May 2023
- 2023Streamlining models with explanations in the learning loop15 Feb 2023
8 more
- 2022Contrastive Novelty-Augmented Learning: Anticipating Outliers with Large Language Models28 Nov 2022
- 2022Calibration Meets Explanation: A Simple and Effective Approach for Model Confidence Estimates6 Nov 2022
- 2022A Close Look into the Calibration of Pre-trained Language Models31 Oct 2022
- 2022Prompting GPT-3 To Be Reliable17 Oct 2022
- 2022Assessing Out-of-Domain Language Model Performance from Few Examples13 Oct 2022
- 2022ER-Test: Evaluating Explanation Regularization Methods for Language Models25 May 2022
- 2022Re-Examining Calibration: The Case of Question Answering25 May 2022
- 2022The Unreliability of Explanations in Few-shot Prompting for Textual Reasoning6 May 2022
- 2024Position: Towards Bidirectional Human-AI Alignmentcited by 18
- 2025Shapley Uncertainty in Natural Language Generationcited by 2
- 2025Shapley Uncertainty in Natural Language Generation29 Jul 2025
- 2024Position: Towards Bidirectional Human-AI Alignment13 Jun 2024
- 2022Prompting GPT-3 To Be Reliablecited by 260
- 2023Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensemblingcited by 114
- 2023Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanationscited by 85
- 2024Uncertainty Estimation and Quantification for LLMs: A Simple Supervised Approachcited by 76
- 2022A Close Look into the Calibration of Pre-trained Language Modelscited by 57
- 2024Usable XAI: 10 Strategies Towards Exploiting Explainability in the LLM Eracited by 46
- 2024Self-eXplainable AI for Medical Image Analysis: A Survey and New Outlookscited by 18
- 2023CATfOOD: Counterfactual Augmented Training for Improving Out-of-Domain Performance and Calibrationcited by 17
- 2024A Survey of Calibration Process for Black-Box LLMscited by 8
- 2022Calibration Meets Explanation: A Simple and Effective Approach for Model Confidence Estimatescited by 7
- 2022ER-Test: Evaluating Explanation Regularization Methods for Language Modelscited by 6
- 2022Assessing Out-of-Domain Language Model Performance from Few Examplescited by 6
12 most cited of 17 All 17 (JSON)
- 2024A Survey of Calibration Process for Black-Box LLMs17 Dec 2024
- 2024Self-eXplainable AI for Medical Image Analysis: A Survey and New Outlooks3 Oct 2024
- 2024Uncertainty Estimation and Quantification for LLMs: A Simple Supervised Approach24 Apr 2024
- 2024Usable XAI: 10 Strategies Towards Exploiting Explainability in the LLM Era13 Mar 2024
- 2023Towards Faithful Explanations for Text Classification with Robustness Improvement and Explanation Guided Training29 Dec 2023
- 2023Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling15 Nov 2023
- 2023CATfOOD: Counterfactual Augmented Training for Improving Out-of-Domain Performance and Calibration14 Sep 2023
- 2023Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanations17 Jul 2023
- 2023Efficient Shapley Values Estimation by Amortization for Text Classification31 May 2023
- 2023Streamlining models with explanations in the learning loop15 Feb 2023
- 2022Contrastive Novelty-Augmented Learning: Anticipating Outliers with Large Language Models28 Nov 2022
- 2022Calibration Meets Explanation: A Simple and Effective Approach for Model Confidence Estimates6 Nov 2022
12 newest of 17 All 17 (JSON)