Attentive Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Time-series Classification and Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Neural networks inspired by differential equations have proliferated for the past several years. Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) and neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) are two representative examples of them. In theory, NCDEs provide better representation learning capability for time-series data than NODEs. In particular, it is known that NCDEs are suitable for processing irregular time-series data. Whereas NODEs have been successfully extended after adopting attention, however, it had not been studied yet how to integrate attention into NCDEs. To this end, we present the method of Attentive Neural Controlled Differential Equations (ANCDEs) for time-series classification and forecasting, where dual NCDEs are used: one for generating attention values, and the other for evolving hidden vectors for a downstream machine learning task. We conduct experiments with three real-world time-series datasets and 10 baselines. After dropping some values, we also conduct irregular time-series experiments. Our method consistently shows the best accuracy in all cases by non-trivial margins. Our visualizations also show that the presented attention mechanism works as intended by focusing on crucial information.
Key facts. Cited by 28 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 31 of its 80 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Sep 2021.
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31 of 80 references.
References · 31
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19 more
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 4; 2023: 3; 2024: 8; 2025: 7; 2026: 6.
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- 2024ContiFormer: Continuous-Time Transformer for Irregular Time Series Modelingcited by 61
- 2022GT-GAN: General Purpose Time Series Synthesis with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 43
- 2024Stable Neural Stochastic Differential Equations in Analyzing Irregular Time Series Datacited by 35
- 2024Universal Time-Series Representation Learning: A Surveycited by 28
- 2022EXIT: Extrapolation and Interpolation-based Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Time-series Classification and Forecastingcited by 22
- 2025Comprehensive Review of Neural Differential Equations for Time Series Analysiscited by 20
- 2023Learnable Path in Neural Controlled Differential Equationscited by 8
- 2023Signed Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation for Modeling Continuous-time Dynamicscited by 8
- 2022TimeKit: A Time-series Forecasting-based Upgrade Kit for Collaborative Filteringcited by 7
- 2024Addressing Prediction Delays in Time Series Forecasting: A Continuous GRU Approach with Derivative Regularizationcited by 7
- 2025HD-NDEs: Neural Differential Equations for Hallucination Detection in LLMscited by 6
- 2026Tracing Agentic Failure from the Flow of Successcited by 5
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- 2024DualDynamics: Synergizing Implicit and Explicit Methods for Robust Irregular Time Series Analysiscited by 4
- 2025Neural Predictive Control to Coordinate Discrete- and Continuous-Time Models for Time-Series Analysis with Control-Theoretical Improvementscited by 3
- 2022LORD: Lower-Dimensional Embedding of Log-Signature in Neural Rough Differential Equationscited by 2
- 2024GDFlow: Anomaly Detection with NCDE-based Normalizing Flow for Advanced Driver Assistance Systemcited by 2
- 2025FlowPath: Learning Data-Driven Manifolds with Invertible Flows for Robust Irregularly-sampled Time Series Classificationcited by 2
- 2023Long-term Time Series Forecasting based on Decomposition and Neural Ordinary Differential Equationscited by 1
- 2024Bridging Dynamic Factor Models and Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Nowcasting GDPcited by 1
- 2025Continuum Dropout for Neural Differential Equationscited by 1
- 2026Efficient Neural Controlled Differential Equations via Attentive Kernel Smoothingcited by 1
- 2024Spatial Shortcuts in Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equationscited by 0
- 2025TANDEM: Temporal Attention-guided Neural Differential Equations for Missingness in Time Series Classificationcited by 0
- 2025Random Controlled Differential Equationscited by 0
- 2026U-Former ODE: Fast Probabilistic Forecasting of Irregular Time Seriescited by 0
- 2026INDEQS: Informed Neural controlled Differential EQuationScited by 0
- 2026Continuous-Time Acoustic Modelling with Neural Controlled Differential Equationscited by 0
- 2026Continuous-Time Machine Learning: A Unified Mathematical Perspectivecited by 0
- 2026Continuous-Time Machine Learning: A Unified Mathematical Perspective15 Sep 2026
- 2026Continuous-Time Acoustic Modelling with Neural Controlled Differential Equations10 Sep 2026
- 2026Tracing Agentic Failure from the Flow of Success14 Jul 2026
- 2026INDEQS: Informed Neural controlled Differential EQuationS17 Jun 2026
- 2026U-Former ODE: Fast Probabilistic Forecasting of Irregular Time Series12 Feb 2026
- 2026Efficient Neural Controlled Differential Equations via Attentive Kernel Smoothing2 Feb 2026
- 2025Random Controlled Differential Equations29 Dec 2025
- 2025FlowPath: Learning Data-Driven Manifolds with Invertible Flows for Robust Irregularly-sampled Time Series Classification13 Nov 2025
- 2025Continuum Dropout for Neural Differential Equations13 Nov 2025
- 2025TANDEM: Temporal Attention-guided Neural Differential Equations for Missingness in Time Series Classification24 Aug 2025
- 2025Neural Predictive Control to Coordinate Discrete- and Continuous-Time Models for Time-Series Analysis with Control-Theoretical Improvements3 Aug 2025
- 2025HD-NDEs: Neural Differential Equations for Hallucination Detection in LLMs30 May 2025
16 more
- 2025Comprehensive Review of Neural Differential Equations for Time Series Analysis14 Feb 2025
- 2024Spatial Shortcuts in Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations25 Oct 2024
- 2024Bridging Dynamic Factor Models and Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Nowcasting GDP13 Sep 2024
- 2024GDFlow: Anomaly Detection with NCDE-based Normalizing Flow for Advanced Driver Assistance System9 Sep 2024
- 2024Addressing Prediction Delays in Time Series Forecasting: A Continuous GRU Approach with Derivative Regularization29 Jun 2024
- 2024Stable Neural Stochastic Differential Equations in Analyzing Irregular Time Series Data22 Feb 2024
- 2024ContiFormer: Continuous-Time Transformer for Irregular Time Series Modeling16 Feb 2024
- 2024DualDynamics: Synergizing Implicit and Explicit Methods for Robust Irregular Time Series Analysis10 Jan 2024
- 2024Universal Time-Series Representation Learning: A Survey8 Jan 2024
- 2023Signed Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation for Modeling Continuous-time Dynamics18 Dec 2023
- 2023Long-term Time Series Forecasting based on Decomposition and Neural Ordinary Differential Equations8 Nov 2023
- 2023Learnable Path in Neural Controlled Differential Equations11 Jan 2023
- 2022TimeKit: A Time-series Forecasting-based Upgrade Kit for Collaborative Filtering8 Nov 2022
- 2022GT-GAN: General Purpose Time Series Synthesis with Generative Adversarial Networks5 Oct 2022
- 2022LORD: Lower-Dimensional Embedding of Log-Signature in Neural Rough Differential Equations19 Apr 2022
- 2022EXIT: Extrapolation and Interpolation-based Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Time-series Classification and Forecasting19 Apr 2022
- 2026Tracing Agentic Failure from the Flow of Successcited by 5
- 2026Tracing Agentic Failure from the Flow of Success14 Jul 2026
- 2024ContiFormer: Continuous-Time Transformer for Irregular Time Series Modelingcited by 61
- 2022GT-GAN: General Purpose Time Series Synthesis with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 43
- 2024Stable Neural Stochastic Differential Equations in Analyzing Irregular Time Series Datacited by 35
- 2024Universal Time-Series Representation Learning: A Surveycited by 28
- 2022EXIT: Extrapolation and Interpolation-based Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Time-series Classification and Forecastingcited by 22
- 2025Comprehensive Review of Neural Differential Equations for Time Series Analysiscited by 20
- 2023Learnable Path in Neural Controlled Differential Equationscited by 8
- 2023Signed Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation for Modeling Continuous-time Dynamicscited by 8
- 2022TimeKit: A Time-series Forecasting-based Upgrade Kit for Collaborative Filteringcited by 7
- 2024Addressing Prediction Delays in Time Series Forecasting: A Continuous GRU Approach with Derivative Regularizationcited by 7
- 2025HD-NDEs: Neural Differential Equations for Hallucination Detection in LLMscited by 6
- 2024DualDynamics: Synergizing Implicit and Explicit Methods for Robust Irregular Time Series Analysiscited by 4
12 most cited of 27 All 27 (JSON)
- 2026Continuous-Time Machine Learning: A Unified Mathematical Perspective15 Sep 2026
- 2026Continuous-Time Acoustic Modelling with Neural Controlled Differential Equations10 Sep 2026
- 2026INDEQS: Informed Neural controlled Differential EQuationS17 Jun 2026
- 2026U-Former ODE: Fast Probabilistic Forecasting of Irregular Time Series12 Feb 2026
- 2026Efficient Neural Controlled Differential Equations via Attentive Kernel Smoothing2 Feb 2026
- 2025Random Controlled Differential Equations29 Dec 2025
- 2025FlowPath: Learning Data-Driven Manifolds with Invertible Flows for Robust Irregularly-sampled Time Series Classification13 Nov 2025
- 2025Continuum Dropout for Neural Differential Equations13 Nov 2025
- 2025TANDEM: Temporal Attention-guided Neural Differential Equations for Missingness in Time Series Classification24 Aug 2025
- 2025Neural Predictive Control to Coordinate Discrete- and Continuous-Time Models for Time-Series Analysis with Control-Theoretical Improvements3 Aug 2025
- 2025HD-NDEs: Neural Differential Equations for Hallucination Detection in LLMs30 May 2025
- 2025Comprehensive Review of Neural Differential Equations for Time Series Analysis14 Feb 2025
12 newest of 27 All 27 (JSON)