Variational Refinement for Importance Sampling Using the Forward Kullback-Leibler Divergence
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Abstract (arXiv)
Variational Inference (VI) is a popular alternative to asymptotically exact sampling in Bayesian inference. Its main workhorse is optimization over a reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence (RKL), which typically underestimates the tail of the posterior leading to miscalibration and potential degeneracy. Importance sampling (IS), on the other hand, is often used to fine-tune and de-bias the estimates of approximate Bayesian inference procedures. The quality of IS crucially depends on the choice of the proposal distribution. Ideally, the proposal distribution has heavier tails than the target, which is rarely achievable by minimizing the RKL. We thus propose a novel combination of optimization and sampling techniques for approximate Bayesian inference by constructing an IS proposal distribution through the minimization of a forward KL (FKL) divergence. This approach guarantees asymptotic consistency and a fast convergence towards both the optimal IS estimator and the optimal variational approximation. We empirically demonstrate on real data that our method is competitive with variational boosting and MCMC.
Key facts. Cited by 29 papers in the map (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 60 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Jun 2021.
Builds on
17 of 60 references.
References · 17
- 2014Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimizationcited by 37,093
- 2013Auto-Encoding Variational Bayescited by 4,024
- 2016Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticianscited by 1,469
- 2015Probabilistic Backpropagation for Scalable Learning of Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 295
- 2016R'enyi Divergence Variational Inferencecited by 104
- 2018Tighter Variational Bounds are Not Necessarily Bettercited by 76
- 2014Reweighted Wake-Sleepcited by 66
- 2018Importance Weighting and Variational Inferencecited by 55
- 2018Yes, but Did It Work?: Evaluating Variational Inferencecited by 52
- 2015Pareto Smoothed Importance Samplingcited by 42
- 2016Variational Boosting: Iteratively Refining Posterior Approximationscited by 36
- 2019Validated Variational Inference via Practical Posterior Error Boundscited by 26
5 more
- 2016Boosting Variational Inferencecited by 22
- 2019A Contrastive Divergence for Combining Variational Inference and MCMCcited by 20
- 2019Universal Boosting Variational Inferencecited by 13
- 2017Boosting Variational Inference: an Optimization Perspectivecited by 7
- 2016Irreversible Samplers from Jump and Continuous Markov Processescited by 5
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 3; 2022: 5; 2023: 6; 2024: 5; 2025: 5; 2026: 5.
29 papers.
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- 2021Understanding Failures in Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Generative Modelscited by 89
- 2022Variational methods for simulation-based inferencecited by 43
- 2021Greedification Operators for Policy Optimization: Investigating Forward and Reverse KL Divergencescited by 41
- 2023On Sampling with Approximate Transport Mapscited by 21
- 2022Sliced Wasserstein Variational Inferencecited by 17
- 2024A theoretical perspective on mode collapse in variational inferencecited by 14
- 2024Learned Reference-based Diffusion Sampling for multi-modal distributionscited by 9
- 2025Improving the evaluation of samplers on multi-modal targetscited by 9
- 2022Transport Score Climbing: Variational Inference Using Forward KL and Adaptive Neural Transportcited by 8
- 2023Bridging the Gap Between Variational Inference and Wasserstein Gradient Flowscited by 8
- 2022Markov Chain Score Ascent: A Unifying Framework of Variational Inference with Markovian Gradientscited by 6
- 2024Stable Training of Normalizing Flows for High-dimensional Variational Inferencecited by 5
17 more
- 2023Balanced Training of Energy-Based Models with Adaptive Flow Samplingcited by 4
- 2023Forward chi2 Divergence Based Variational Importance Samplingcited by 4
- 2024Inclusive KL Gradient Flows: Otto-Wasserstein, Fisher-Rao-Gaussian, and Local-Estimator Dynamicscited by 4
- 2021Variational Bayes for high-dimensional proportional hazards models with applications within gene expressioncited by 3
- 2022Global convergence of optimized adaptive importance samplerscited by 2
- 2023Learning to Generate All Feasible Actionscited by 2
- 2025metabeta -- A fast neural model for Bayesian mixed-effects regressioncited by 2
- 2024SoftCVI: Contrastive variational inference with self-generated soft labelscited by 1
- 2026Amortized Simulation-Based Inference in Generalized Bayes via Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 1
- 2026How to Approximate Inference with Subtractive Mixture Modelscited by 1
- 2026Even More Guarantees for Variational Inference in the Presence of Symmetriescited by 1
- 2023Stochastic automatic differentiation for Monte Carlo processescited by 0
- 2025Safe Beyond the Horizon: Efficient Sampling-based MPC with Neural Control Barrier Functionscited by 0
- 2025Two tales for a geometric Jensen--Shannon divergencecited by 0
- 2025TinyMusician: On-Device Music Generation with Knowledge Distillation and Mixed Precision Quantizationcited by 0
- 2026Total Variation Guarantees for Sampling with Stochastic Localizationcited by 0
- 2026Amortized Factor Inference Networks for Posterior Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Amortized Factor Inference Networks for Posterior Inference26 May 2026
- 2026Even More Guarantees for Variational Inference in the Presence of Symmetries23 Apr 2026
- 2026How to Approximate Inference with Subtractive Mixture Models17 Apr 2026
- 2026Total Variation Guarantees for Sampling with Stochastic Localization31 Mar 2026
- 2026Amortized Simulation-Based Inference in Generalized Bayes via Neural Posterior Estimation29 Jan 2026
- 2025metabeta -- A fast neural model for Bayesian mixed-effects regression8 Oct 2025
- 2025TinyMusician: On-Device Music Generation with Knowledge Distillation and Mixed Precision Quantization31 Aug 2025
- 2025Two tales for a geometric Jensen--Shannon divergence7 Aug 2025
- 2025Improving the evaluation of samplers on multi-modal targets11 Apr 2025
- 2025Safe Beyond the Horizon: Efficient Sampling-based MPC with Neural Control Barrier Functions20 Feb 2025
- 2024Inclusive KL Gradient Flows: Otto-Wasserstein, Fisher-Rao-Gaussian, and Local-Estimator Dynamics31 Oct 2024
- 2024Learned Reference-based Diffusion Sampling for multi-modal distributions25 Oct 2024
17 more
- 2024A theoretical perspective on mode collapse in variational inference17 Oct 2024
- 2024SoftCVI: Contrastive variational inference with self-generated soft labels22 Jul 2024
- 2024Stable Training of Normalizing Flows for High-dimensional Variational Inference26 Feb 2024
- 2023Forward chi2 Divergence Based Variational Importance Sampling4 Nov 2023
- 2023Bridging the Gap Between Variational Inference and Wasserstein Gradient Flows31 Oct 2023
- 2023Stochastic automatic differentiation for Monte Carlo processes28 Jul 2023
- 2023Balanced Training of Energy-Based Models with Adaptive Flow Sampling1 Jun 2023
- 2023On Sampling with Approximate Transport Maps9 Feb 2023
- 2023Learning to Generate All Feasible Actions26 Jan 2023
- 2022Sliced Wasserstein Variational Inference26 Jul 2022
- 2022Markov Chain Score Ascent: A Unifying Framework of Variational Inference with Markovian Gradients13 Jun 2022
- 2022Variational methods for simulation-based inference8 Mar 2022
- 2022Transport Score Climbing: Variational Inference Using Forward KL and Adaptive Neural Transport3 Feb 2022
- 2022Global convergence of optimized adaptive importance samplers2 Jan 2022
- 2021Variational Bayes for high-dimensional proportional hazards models with applications within gene expression19 Dec 2021
- 2021Greedification Operators for Policy Optimization: Investigating Forward and Reverse KL Divergences17 Jul 2021
- 2021Understanding Failures in Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Generative Models14 Jul 2021
- 2021Understanding Failures in Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Generative Modelscited by 89
- 2022Variational methods for simulation-based inferencecited by 43
- 2021Greedification Operators for Policy Optimization: Investigating Forward and Reverse KL Divergencescited by 41
- 2023On Sampling with Approximate Transport Mapscited by 21
- 2022Sliced Wasserstein Variational Inferencecited by 17
- 2024A theoretical perspective on mode collapse in variational inferencecited by 14
- 2025Improving the evaluation of samplers on multi-modal targetscited by 9
- 2022Transport Score Climbing: Variational Inference Using Forward KL and Adaptive Neural Transportcited by 8
- 2023Bridging the Gap Between Variational Inference and Wasserstein Gradient Flowscited by 8
- 2022Markov Chain Score Ascent: A Unifying Framework of Variational Inference with Markovian Gradientscited by 6
- 2024Stable Training of Normalizing Flows for High-dimensional Variational Inferencecited by 5
- 2023Balanced Training of Energy-Based Models with Adaptive Flow Samplingcited by 4
12 most cited of 27 All 27 (JSON)
- 2026Amortized Factor Inference Networks for Posterior Inference26 May 2026
- 2026Even More Guarantees for Variational Inference in the Presence of Symmetries23 Apr 2026
- 2026How to Approximate Inference with Subtractive Mixture Models17 Apr 2026
- 2026Amortized Simulation-Based Inference in Generalized Bayes via Neural Posterior Estimation29 Jan 2026
- 2025metabeta -- A fast neural model for Bayesian mixed-effects regression8 Oct 2025
- 2025TinyMusician: On-Device Music Generation with Knowledge Distillation and Mixed Precision Quantization31 Aug 2025
- 2025Two tales for a geometric Jensen--Shannon divergence7 Aug 2025
- 2025Improving the evaluation of samplers on multi-modal targets11 Apr 2025
- 2025Safe Beyond the Horizon: Efficient Sampling-based MPC with Neural Control Barrier Functions20 Feb 2025
- 2024Inclusive KL Gradient Flows: Otto-Wasserstein, Fisher-Rao-Gaussian, and Local-Estimator Dynamics31 Oct 2024
- 2024A theoretical perspective on mode collapse in variational inference17 Oct 2024
- 2024SoftCVI: Contrastive variational inference with self-generated soft labels22 Jul 2024
12 newest of 27 All 27 (JSON)