mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Localized Conformal Prediction: A Generalized Inference Framework for Conformal Prediction

arXiv 2106.08460 ↗First posted 15 Jun 2021math.ST stat.ME stat.THcited by 112

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Abstract (arXiv)

We propose a new inference framework called localized conformal prediction. It generalizes the framework of conformal prediction by offering a single-test-sample adaptive construction that emphasizes a local region around this test sample, and can be combined with different conformal score constructions. The proposed framework enjoys an assumption-free finite sample marginal coverage guarantee, and it also offers additional local coverage guarantees under suitable assumptions. We demonstrate how to change from conformal prediction to localized conformal prediction using several conformal scores, and we illustrate a potential gain via numerical examples.

Key facts. Cited by 112 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 15 Jun 2021.

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2022: 3; 2023: 12; 2024: 24; 2025: 28; 2026: 45.

112 papers.

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  1. 2023Class-Conditional Conformal Prediction with Many Classescited by 109
  2. 2024Length Optimization in Conformal Predictioncited by 39
  3. 2023Non-Exchangeable Conformal Risk Controlcited by 29
  4. 2025Analyzing Uncertainty of LLM-as-a-Judge: Interval Evaluations with Conformal Predictioncited by 26
  5. 2024Conformal Prediction: A Data Perspectivecited by 25
  6. 2024Conformal Prediction with Learned Featurescited by 23
  7. 2024Probabilistic Conformal Prediction with Approximate Conditional Validitycited by 23
  8. 2024Non-Exchangeable Conformal Language Generation with Nearest Neighborscited by 21
  9. 2022Split Localized Conformal Predictioncited by 20
  10. 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 19
  11. 2024Conformal Prediction for Class-wise Coverage via Augmented Label Rank Calibrationcited by 18
  12. 2025Rectifying Conformity Scores for Better Conditional Coveragecited by 17
38 more
  1. 2023Improving Uncertainty Quantification of Deep Classifiers via Neighborhood Conformal Prediction: Novel Algorithm and Theoretical Analysiscited by 16
  2. 2023Adaptive Conformal Prediction by Reweighting Nonconformity Scorecited by 16
  3. 2024Self-Calibrating Conformal Predictioncited by 16
  4. 2025Wasserstein-regularized Conformal Prediction under General Distribution Shiftcited by 14
  5. 2024Kernel-based Optimally Weighted Conformal Time-Series Predictioncited by 12
  6. 2024Regression Trees for Fast and Adaptive Prediction Intervalscited by 11
  7. 2024Normalizing Flows for Conformal Regressioncited by 11
  8. 2024Conformal Load Prediction with Transductive Graph Autoencoderscited by 11
  9. 2024Weighted Aggregation of Conformity Scores for Classificationcited by 11
  10. 2025Conformal Inference under High-Dimensional Covariate Shifts via Likelihood-Ratio Regularizationcited by 11
  11. 2022Conformal Prediction Intervals with Temporal Dependencecited by 9
  12. 2025Epistemic Uncertainty in Conformal Scores: A Unified Approachcited by 9
  13. 2025Synthetic-Powered Predictive Inferencecited by 9
  14. 2025On Continuous Monitoring of Risk Violations under Unknown Shiftcited by 9
  15. 2023Conformalized Unconditional Quantile Regressioncited by 8
  16. 2023Adaptive Conformal Regression with Jackknife+ Rescaled Scorescited by 8
  17. 2023On training locally adaptive CPcited by 8
  18. 2023SymmPI: Predictive Inference for Data with Group Symmetriescited by 8
  19. 2024Training-Conditional Coverage Bounds under Covariate Shiftcited by 8
  20. 2024Entropy Reweighted Conformal Classificationcited by 8
  21. 2025Direct Prediction Set Minimization via Bilevel Conformal Classifier Trainingcited by 8
  22. 2025Conditional Coverage Diagnostics for Conformal Predictioncited by 8
  23. 2025Conformal Information Pursuit for Interactively Guiding Large Language Modelscited by 7
  24. 2023Is this model reliable for everyone? Testing for strong calibrationcited by 6
  25. 2024Spatial Conformal Inference through Localized Quantile Regressioncited by 6
  26. 2025CLEAR: Calibrated Learning for Epistemic and Aleatoric Riskcited by 6
  27. 2025Conditional Conformal Risk Adaptationcited by 5
  28. 2025Statistical Methods in Generative AIcited by 4
  29. 2026Optimal Decision-Making Based on Prediction Setscited by 4
  30. 2026Efficient Federated Conformal Prediction with Group-Conditional Guaranteecited by 4
  31. 2023Fast Online Value-Maximizing Prediction Sets with Conformal Cost Controlcited by 3
  32. 2023Uncertainty quantification in automated valuation models with spatially weighted conformal predictioncited by 3
  33. 2024Uncertainty Quantification on Graph Learning: A Surveycited by 3
  34. 2024Conformal time series decomposition with component-wise exchangeabilitycited by 3
  35. 2024Conditional Prediction ROC Bands for Graph Classificationcited by 3
  36. 2024A Conformal Approach to Feature-based Newsvendor under Model Misspecificationcited by 3
  37. 2025ResCP: Reservoir Conformal Prediction for Time Series Forecastingcited by 3
  38. 2025A note on conditional PAC-efficient reasoning in large language model routingcited by 3

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