Targeted Active Learning for Bayesian Decision-Making
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Active learning is usually applied to acquire labels of informative data points in supervised learning, to maximize accuracy in a sample-efficient way. However, maximizing the accuracy is not the end goal when the results are used for decision-making, for example in personalized medicine or economics. We argue that when acquiring samples sequentially, separating learning and decision-making is sub-optimal, and we introduce an active learning strategy which takes the down-the-line decision problem into account. Specifically, we introduce a novel active learning criterion which maximizes the expected information gain on the posterior distribution of the optimal decision. We compare our targeted active learning strategy to existing alternatives on both simulated and real data, and show improved performance in decision-making accuracy.
Key facts. Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 50 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Jun 2021.
Builds on
20 of 50 references.
References · 20
- 2019Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methodscited by 903
- 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 597
- 2014On the Complexity of Best Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Modelscited by 280
- 2017Max-value Entropy Search for Efficient Bayesian Optimizationcited by 202
- 2014Predictive Entropy Search for Efficient Global Optimization of Black-box Functionscited by 201
- 2017Bayesian Inference of Individualized Treatment Effects using Multi-task Gaussian Processescited by 156
- 2016Simple Bayesian Algorithms for Best Arm Identificationcited by 116
- 2019Variational Bayesian Optimal Experimental Designcited by 116
- 2019Sequential Experimental Design for Transductive Linear Banditscited by 88
- 2017On Nesting Monte Carlo Estimatorscited by 82
- 2019A Unified Stochastic Gradient Approach to Designing Bayesian-Optimal Experimentscited by 58
- 2020"What We Can't Measure, We Can't Understand": Challenges to Demographic Data Procurement in the Pursuit of Fairnesscited by 56
8 more
- 2018Loss-Calibrated Approximate Inference in Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 18
- 2019Active Learning for Decision-Making from Imbalanced Observational Datacited by 16
- 2015Gaussian Process Planning with Lipschitz Continuous Reward Functions: Towards Unifying Bayesian Optimization, Active Learning, and Beyondcited by 15
- 2019Variational Bayesian Decision-making for Continuous Utilitiescited by 15
- 2017Improving drug sensitivity predictions in precision medicine through active expert knowledge elicitationcited by 8
- 2018Active Learning with Logged Datacited by 7
- 2019Understanding Goal-Oriented Active Learning via Influence Functionscited by 6
- 2016Knowledge Elicitation via Sequential Probabilistic Inference for High-Dimensional Predictioncited by 5
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 1; 2024: 2; 2025: 2; 2026: 5.
12 papers.
- 2023Prediction-Oriented Bayesian Active Learningcited by 60
- 2022Active Surrogate Estimators: An Active Learning Approach to Label-Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 26
- 2024Amortized Bayesian Experimental Design for Decision-Makingcited by 20
- 2025ALINE: Joint Amortization for Bayesian Inference and Active Data Acquisitioncited by 8
- 2024Advancing Deep Active Learning & Data Subset Selection: Unifying Principles with Information-Theory Intuitionscited by 7
- 2025BioBO: Biology-informed Bayesian Optimization for Perturbation Designcited by 2
- 2026Observationally Informed Adaptive Causal Experimental Designcited by 1
- 2026Loss-Driven Bayesian Active Learningcited by 1
- 2022Active Learning-Based Multistage Sequential Decision-Making Model with Application on Common Bile Duct Stone Evaluationcited by 0
- 2026Robust Bayesian Decision Making under Adversarial Uncertaintycited by 0
- 2026FleetSieve: Decision-Critical Profiling for SLO-Aware LLM Fleet Configurationcited by 0
- 2026Beyond "AI Helps Humans": Decision-Targeted Evaluation Design for Human-Agent Teams in the Agentic Eracited by 0
- 2026Beyond "AI Helps Humans": Decision-Targeted Evaluation Design for Human-Agent Teams in the Agentic Era1 Sep 2026
- 2026FleetSieve: Decision-Critical Profiling for SLO-Aware LLM Fleet Configuration20 Aug 2026
- 2026Robust Bayesian Decision Making under Adversarial Uncertainty9 Jul 2026
- 2026Loss-Driven Bayesian Active Learning13 Apr 2026
- 2026Observationally Informed Adaptive Causal Experimental Design4 Mar 2026
- 2025BioBO: Biology-informed Bayesian Optimization for Perturbation Design24 Sep 2025
- 2025ALINE: Joint Amortization for Bayesian Inference and Active Data Acquisition8 Jun 2025
- 2024Amortized Bayesian Experimental Design for Decision-Making4 Nov 2024
- 2024Advancing Deep Active Learning & Data Subset Selection: Unifying Principles with Information-Theory Intuitions9 Jan 2024
- 2023Prediction-Oriented Bayesian Active Learning17 Apr 2023
- 2022Active Surrogate Estimators: An Active Learning Approach to Label-Efficient Model Evaluation14 Feb 2022
- 2022Active Learning-Based Multistage Sequential Decision-Making Model with Application on Common Bile Duct Stone Evaluation13 Jan 2022