Stochastic optimization with decision-dependent distributions
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Abstract (arXiv)
Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features so as to improve the likelihood of being positively labeled. Recent works on performative prediction have identified an intriguing solution concept for such problems: find the decision that is optimal with respect to the static distribution that the decision induces. Continuing this line of work, we show that typical stochastic algorithms -- originally designed for static problems -- can be applied directly for finding such equilibria with little loss in efficiency. The reason is simple to explain: the main consequence of the distributional shift is that it corrupts algorithms with a bias that decays linearly with the distance to the solution. Using this perspective, we obtain sharp convergence guarantees for popular algorithms, such as stochastic gradient, clipped gradient, proximal point, and dual averaging methods, along with their accelerated and proximal variants. In realistic applications, deployment of a decision rule is often much more expensive than sampling. We show how to modify the aforementioned algorithms so as to maintain their sample efficiency while performing only logarithmically many deployments.
Key facts. Cited by 65 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 23 Nov 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 8; 2022: 13; 2023: 12; 2024: 12; 2025: 12; 2026: 8.
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- 2022Online Decision Transformercited by 194
- 2021Outside the Echo Chamber: Optimizing the Performative Riskcited by 95
- 2021How to Learn when Data Reacts to Your Model: Performative Gradient Descentcited by 70
- 2023Performative Prediction: Past and Futurecited by 52
- 2022Multiplayer Performative Prediction: Learning in Decision-Dependent Gamescited by 42
- 2022Performative Powercited by 42
- 2022Regret Minimization with Performative Feedbackcited by 40
- 2022Anticipating Performativity by Predicting from Predictionscited by 37
- 2022Multi-agent Performative Prediction: From Global Stability and Optimality to Chaoscited by 33
- 2023Performative Prediction with Neural Networkscited by 33
- 2022Making Decisions under Outcome Performativitycited by 32
- 2022Decision-Dependent Risk Minimization in Geometrically Decaying Dynamic Environmentscited by 31
38 more
- 2023Causal Strategic Classification: A Tale of Two Shiftscited by 30
- 2021How to Learn when Data Gradually Reacts to Your Modelcited by 29
- 2023Plug-in Performative Optimizationcited by 20
- 2021Zeroth-Order Methods for Convex-Concave Minmax Problems: Applications to Decision-Dependent Risk Minimizationcited by 18
- 2023Performative Federated Learning: A Solution to Model-Dependent and Heterogeneous Distribution Shiftscited by 14
- 2021Stochastic Optimization under Distributional Driftcited by 13
- 2023One-Shot Strategic Classification Under Unknown Costscited by 13
- 2022Stochastic Approximation with Decision-Dependent Distributions: Asymptotic Normality and Optimalitycited by 12
- 2023Performative Recommendation: Diversifying Content via Strategic Incentivescited by 12
- 2021Approximate Regions of Attraction in Learning with Decision-Dependent Distributionscited by 11
- 2023Performative Prediction with Bandit Feedback: Learning through Reparameterizationcited by 11
- 2025Revisiting the Predictability of Performative, Social Eventscited by 11
- 2023Zero-Regret Performative Prediction Under Inequality Constraintscited by 10
- 2021Model Transferability With Responsive Decision Subjectscited by 9
- 2024Optimal Classification under Performative Distribution Shiftcited by 9
- 2025Performative Validity of Recourse Explanationscited by 8
- 2023Online covariance estimation for stochastic gradient descent under Markovian samplingcited by 7
- 2024Classification Under Strategic Self-Selectioncited by 7
- 2024Distributionally Robust Performative Predictioncited by 7
- 2022Stochastic Saddle Point Problems with Decision-Dependent Distributionscited by 6
- 2022Constrained Stochastic Nonconvex Optimization with State-dependent Markov Datacited by 6
- 2024Learning In Reverse Causal Strategic Environments With Ramifications on Two Sided Marketscited by 6
- 2022Emergent specialization from participation dynamics and multi-learner retrainingcited by 5
- 2025Decision-Dependent Stochastic Optimization: The Role of Distribution Dynamicscited by 5
- 2022Optimizing the Performative Risk under Weak Convexity Assumptionscited by 4
- 2024Clipped SGD Algorithms for Performative Prediction: Tight Bounds for Clipping Bias and Remediescited by 4
- 2024Tight Lower Bounds and Improved Convergence in Performative Predictioncited by 4
- 2025Statistical Inference under Performativitycited by 4
- 2026The Stability of Online Algorithms in Performative Predictioncited by 4
- 2024Practical Performative Policy Learning with Strategic Agentscited by 3
- 2024Parameter-Free Algorithms for Performative Regret Minimization under Decision-Dependent Distributionscited by 2
- 2024Microfoundation Inference for Strategic Predictioncited by 2
- 2025Welfare as a Guiding Principle for Machine Learning -- From Compass, to Lens, to Roadmapcited by 2
- 2025Look-Ahead Reasoning on Learning Platformscited by 2
- 2026On the Computational Complexity of Performative Predictioncited by 2
- 2026Dissecting Performative Prediction: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 2
- 2026Partially Performative Predictioncited by 2
- 2023Covert Planning against Imperfect Observerscited by 1
50 most cited of 65 All 65 (JSON)
- 2026Stabilizing Performative Feedback Loops with Minimal Model Deployments12 Sep 2026
- 2026Local and Global Stability in Performative Reinforcement Learning6 Sep 2026
- 2026Retraining Seeks Stable Signals17 Jul 2026
- 2026Partially Performative Prediction5 Jun 2026
- 2026The Stability of Online Algorithms in Performative Prediction27 Feb 2026
- 2026Dissecting Performative Prediction: A Comprehensive Survey10 Feb 2026
- 2026On the Computational Complexity of Performative Prediction28 Jan 2026
- 2026When Predictions Shape Reality: A Socio-Technical Synthesis of Performative Predictions in Machine Learning7 Jan 2026
- 2025Look-Ahead Reasoning on Learning Platforms18 Nov 2025
- 2025Optimal Regularization for Performative Learning14 Oct 2025
- 2025PAC Learnability in the Presence of Performativity9 Oct 2025
- 2025SPRINT: Stochastic Performative Prediction With Variance Reduction22 Sep 2025
38 more
- 2025Performative Validity of Recourse Explanations18 Jun 2025
- 2025Strategically Deceptive Model Deployment in Performative Prediction10 Jun 2025
- 2025Statistical Inference under Performativity24 May 2025
- 2025Learning-Based Surrogate Method for Stochastic Optimization under Decision-Dependent Uncertainty with Adaptive Random Designs12 May 2025
- 2025Learn to Bid as a Price-Maker Wind Power Producer20 Mar 2025
- 2025Revisiting the Predictability of Performative, Social Events12 Mar 2025
- 2025Decision-Dependent Stochastic Optimization: The Role of Distribution Dynamics10 Mar 2025
- 2025Welfare as a Guiding Principle for Machine Learning -- From Compass, to Lens, to Roadmap17 Feb 2025
- 2024Distributionally Robust Performative Prediction5 Dec 2024
- 2024Tight Lower Bounds and Improved Convergence in Performative Prediction4 Dec 2024
- 2024Practical Performative Policy Learning with Strategic Agents2 Dec 2024
- 2024Microfoundation Inference for Strategic Prediction13 Nov 2024
- 2024Solving Hidden Monotone Variational Inequalities with Surrogate Losses7 Nov 2024
- 2024Optimal Classification under Performative Distribution Shift4 Nov 2024
- 2024Adjusting Pretrained Backbones for Performativity6 Oct 2024
- 2024Learning In Reverse Causal Strategic Environments With Ramifications on Two Sided Markets20 Apr 2024
- 2024Clipped SGD Algorithms for Performative Prediction: Tight Bounds for Clipping Bias and Remedies17 Apr 2024
- 2024Classification Under Strategic Self-Selection23 Feb 2024
- 2024Parameter-Free Algorithms for Performative Regret Minimization under Decision-Dependent Distributions23 Feb 2024
- 2024On the Stochastic (Variance-Reduced) Proximal Gradient Method for Regularized Expected Reward Optimization23 Jan 2024
- 2023A Deep Learning Based Resource Allocator for Communication Networks with Dynamic User Utility Demands8 Nov 2023
- 2023One-Shot Strategic Classification Under Unknown Costs5 Nov 2023
- 2023Covert Planning against Imperfect Observers25 Oct 2023
- 2023Performative Prediction: Past and Future25 Oct 2023
- 2023Zero-Regret Performative Prediction Under Inequality Constraints22 Sep 2023
- 2023Online covariance estimation for stochastic gradient descent under Markovian sampling3 Aug 2023
- 2023Plug-in Performative Optimization30 May 2023
- 2023Performative Federated Learning: A Solution to Model-Dependent and Heterogeneous Distribution Shifts8 May 2023
- 2023Performative Prediction with Bandit Feedback: Learning through Reparameterization1 May 2023
- 2023Performative Prediction with Neural Networks14 Apr 2023
- 2023Causal Strategic Classification: A Tale of Two Shifts13 Feb 2023
- 2023Performative Recommendation: Diversifying Content via Strategic Incentives8 Feb 2023
- 2022Making Decisions under Outcome Performativity4 Oct 2022
- 2022Optimizing the Performative Risk under Weak Convexity Assumptions2 Sep 2022
- 2022Anticipating Performativity by Predicting from Predictions15 Aug 2022
- 2022Stochastic Approximation with Decision-Dependent Distributions: Asymptotic Normality and Optimality9 Jul 2022
- 2022Constrained Stochastic Nonconvex Optimization with State-dependent Markov Data22 Jun 2022
- 2022Emergent specialization from participation dynamics and multi-learner retraining6 Jun 2022
50 newest of 65 All 65 (JSON)
- 2022Online Decision Transformercited by 194
- 2022Online Decision Transformer11 Feb 2022
- 2021Outside the Echo Chamber: Optimizing the Performative Riskcited by 95
- 2021How to Learn when Data Reacts to Your Model: Performative Gradient Descentcited by 70
- 2023Performative Prediction: Past and Futurecited by 52
- 2022Multiplayer Performative Prediction: Learning in Decision-Dependent Gamescited by 42
- 2022Performative Powercited by 42
- 2022Regret Minimization with Performative Feedbackcited by 40
- 2022Anticipating Performativity by Predicting from Predictionscited by 37
- 2022Multi-agent Performative Prediction: From Global Stability and Optimality to Chaoscited by 33
- 2023Performative Prediction with Neural Networkscited by 33
- 2022Making Decisions under Outcome Performativitycited by 32
- 2022Decision-Dependent Risk Minimization in Geometrically Decaying Dynamic Environmentscited by 31
- 2023Causal Strategic Classification: A Tale of Two Shiftscited by 30
12 most cited of 64 All 64 (JSON)
- 2026Stabilizing Performative Feedback Loops with Minimal Model Deployments12 Sep 2026
- 2026Local and Global Stability in Performative Reinforcement Learning6 Sep 2026
- 2026Retraining Seeks Stable Signals17 Jul 2026
- 2026Partially Performative Prediction5 Jun 2026
- 2026The Stability of Online Algorithms in Performative Prediction27 Feb 2026
- 2026Dissecting Performative Prediction: A Comprehensive Survey10 Feb 2026
- 2026On the Computational Complexity of Performative Prediction28 Jan 2026
- 2026When Predictions Shape Reality: A Socio-Technical Synthesis of Performative Predictions in Machine Learning7 Jan 2026
- 2025Look-Ahead Reasoning on Learning Platforms18 Nov 2025
- 2025Optimal Regularization for Performative Learning14 Oct 2025
- 2025PAC Learnability in the Presence of Performativity9 Oct 2025
- 2025SPRINT: Stochastic Performative Prediction With Variance Reduction22 Sep 2025
12 newest of 64 All 64 (JSON)